When you sign-up through links on our site, we may earn an affiliate commission. Learn more >
We dominated Week 8 of the college football season, sweeping our prop picks. Bucky Irving, Blake Shapen, and Xavier Worthy all exceeded their prop lines, and it wasn’t even close.
There is always prop value in college football because of the number of games on the schedule. Week 9 is no different, and we’re looking for another 3-0 sweep.
We break down our favorite props every Friday for the Saturday games. Don’t miss out, and check back weekly, as we’re 12-5 in the past five weeks!
Florida gets their crack at the number one team in the nation, the Georgia Bulldogs. Georgia is a tremendous team, and they’re favored by two touchdowns in this game.
Billy Napier’s team has been inconsistent this season. Their marquee win came against Tennessee at home, but nothing has been smooth since. Kentucky blew them off the field in Lexington and came from behind against South Carolina last week.
The common theme this season for Florida has been Graham Mertz throwing the ball. Despite having a solid run game at times, the Gators have leaned on Mertz’s arm in high-leverage situations. He will be in a high-pressure game for 60 minutes against Georgia, so we expect Flordia to throw.
Mertz is coming off a game where he threw for 423 yards against South Carolina. The Gamecocks defense is nothing close to the Bulldogs, but Mertz could hit this prop just off volume alone.
He has surpassed 194.5 passing yards in four straight games and has thrown the ball 84 times in the past two weeks. This Graham Mertz is different than the version we saw at Wisconsin.
Florida has nothing to lose against the Bulldogs as a 14.5-point favorite, and we expect Mertz to play this way throughout the game. Additionally, if Georgia takes a big lead, Florida will quickly abandon the run game.
The Bulldogs can score quickly, which gives us confidence the Gators will have to throw to match the pace. This is another reason to take the over on such a moderate passing yards line.
Head to FanDuel to bet on our pick. Bet $5 on a Money Line, Get $150 in Bonus Bets!
Sportsbooks still haven’t caught up to Blake Shapen regarding his passing yards line. This makes sense as he has only started four games, but Shapen has one of the best arms in the Big 12 Conference.
We took Shapen’s passing prop last week, which was set in the low 200s, against Cincinnati. He threw for 316 yards on 42 attempts with one touchdown. This included a long completion of 55 yards.
Baylor is built on passing the football, so it’s unbelievable that Shapen’s line is still set at 246.5. Based on what he has done this season, Shapen should have one of the highest passing yard lines in the country every Saturday.
Shapen has thrown for at least 290+ yards in every game. He has gone over 300 yards in three starts, with a high of 324 yards. Baylor is asking Shapen to throw the ball 30+ times per game; his average completion is in the mid-eight-yard mark.
If he has an average day, he will surpass 246.5 passing yards against Iowa State. The Cyclones have been productive in the secondary, but they’re not the best team in the conference. If they take it to the Bears early, Shapen will have even more passing attempts.
The best stat to look at for passing yards is passing attempts. Attempts equate to yards, and Shapen has gone well over 246.5 every week. There is no reason not to trust him on Saturday at home.
Place your bets on FanDuel using our exclusive link!
Tanner Kern has been working in the betting industry since 2020. He currently is a social media content creator at DraftKings and contributes to multiple sites in addition to WSN, including Forbes and VSiN. He is also the cohost of the podcast Ride the Line at WSN.More info on Tanner Kern
© Rebel Penguin ApS 2023 (a subsidiary of Gaming Innovation Group Inc.)
We support responsible gambling. 21+ Only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-Gambler.
WSN.com is run by iGaming Cloud Inc (a Gaming Innovation Group Subsidiary) and is registered with the New Jersey Division of Gaming Enforcement (DGE) under affiliate vendor ID 89744, with the Indiana Gaming Commission (IGC) under certificate of registration number SWR-000148, approved by the Pennsylvania Gaming Control Board as a gaming service provider, under certificate registration number 117656-1, possesses a Vendor Minor sports betting license from the Colorado Limited Gaming Control Commission (account number 94414163), granted a vendor registration number VR007603-20-001 by the Michigan Gaming Control Board, an interim Sports Wagering Supplier license, under license number SWS 066, issued by the West Virginia Lottery Commission, a sports betting vendor registration, under registration number #100400, issued by the Director of Gaming Licensing and Investigations of the Virginia Lottery to operate in the State of Virginia, and a Vendor Registration issued by the Sports Wagering Committee of the Tennessee Education Lottery Corporation.
Advertising disclosure: WSN contains links to online retailers on its website. When people click on our affiliate links and make purchases, WSN earns a commission from our partners, including ESPN and various sportsbooks.