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The 2023 regular season in college football is winding down, but before it ends, we have a Georgia and Ole Miss showdown scheduled this weekend in Week 11. Here, we have the best bets for this matchup, including the point spread, total, and winning margin prop.
We found the top odds from the best sports betting sites to examine this matchup.
Learn more about this matchup and the promo offer at DraftKings Sportsbook below.
|Ole Miss Rebels||+10.5 (-108)||+360||O 58.5 (-110)|
|Georgia Bulldogs||-10.5 (-112)||-470||U 58.5 (-112)|
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The Bulldogs are 9-0 this season and hosting the 8-1 Rebels. However, these teams have polar opposite records against the spread. Ole Miss is 6-2-1 ATS, while Georgia is 2-6-1.
Considering these offenses, Ole Miss has the advantage in rushing yards per game (186 to 168.6). Besides that, Georgia has the advantage, including points, passing yards, points allowed, rushing yards, and passing yards allowed.
That said, when you look at the schedules, Georgia has had a breeze of a schedule.
Pro Football Focus has Ole Miss with the 33rd toughest schedule compared to Georgia’s 81st.
Ole Miss runs a 50/50 offense when it comes to passing and rushing, and Georgia favors the pass, with 57% of their offensive snaps going through the air.
However, the Bulldogs will face a dynamic weapon at quarterback in Jaxson Dart. He has 467 rushing yards and seven touchdowns. Passing the ball, he’s completed 160 of 247 balls for 2,466 yards, 16 touchdowns, and four interceptions. Of his attempts, 15% have been 20+ yards downfield. Of his 2,466 yards, 633 come on throws 20+ yards downfield.
The Bulldogs defense has their toughest task yet.
Piggybacking off of our faith in Dart, we’re backing the Rebels here. In Week 10, the Bulldogs beat Missouri, but it was by a margin of just 30-21. At the same time, Missouri’s quarterback, Brady Cook, threw for just 212 yards, one touchdown, and two interceptions.
Dart isn’t afraid to throw the ball downfield, and while this could result in turnovers, this type of play could also result in massive swing for the Rebels.
Not only do we think the Rebels cover here, but there’s a decent chance at an upset here.
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We’re taking the under here, but this game could go either way. The Bulldogs defense allows just 16.5 points per game, but we believe this Rebels offense can score above that average. For the Rebels, they allow 24.9 points per game.
The Bulldogs passing attack has been interesting this season, with 316 yards per game.
Quarterback Carson Beck is averaging 301 passing yards against fellow SEC teams, but those SEC teams include South Carolina, Auburn, Kentucky, Vanderbilt, Florida, and Missouri.
This will be a game similar to Missouri in that the Rebels defense won’t allow Georgia to score their season average of 38.3 points per game. At the same time, Ole Miss does keep pace to cover.
Georgia won 31-27.
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The spread here is 10.5 points, but this will finish much closer. The Rebels offense is too good to be beaten by two scores. They’re 8-1 this season and have an aggressive quarterback who can run and a running back in Quinshon Judkins who’s fantastic, rushing for 794 yards and 12 scores this season.
They’ll keep it close while Georgia pulls off a four-point win.
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Game: Georgia vs. Ole Miss
When: 7:00 p.m. EST on Saturday, Nov. 11
After graduating from the University of New Hampshire with a BA in Journalism, Richard Janvrin has been covering iGaming and sports betting since December 2018. Richard has covered betting at Bleacher Report, Gambling.com, The Game Day, Forbes, and more.More info on Richard Janvrin
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