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NFL Prop Bets Week 16: Best NFL Player Props

Written by: Richard Janvrin
Published December 20, 2023
8 min read

Kicking off Week 16 of the NFL season before we get into the holiday weekend are the New Orleans Saints and Los Angeles Rams on Thursday Night Football. We have a Christmas Day triple-header to close the week, including the Chiefs/Raiders, Eagles/Giants, and Ravens/49ers. 

Below, we have three prop bets to consider wagering on early in this betting week, all coming from Thursday Night Football.

Let’s dive in.

NFL Prop Bets Week 16 2023

New Orleans Saints vs. Los Angeles Rams

Pick: Kyren Williams Over 88.5 Rushing Yards (-115) at Caesars

Kyren Williams missed several games due to injury, playing in Week 6 before returning in Week 12, and it’s as if nothing ever happened to him.

Despite missing that large chunk of games, Williams is still at 953 rushing yards, averaging 5.1 per carry. Since coming back, he’s had one game with less than 100 rushing yards, and it’s—you guessed it—88 rushing yards against a tough Cleveland Browns defense. 

Other than that, he had 143 against Arizona, 152 against Washington, and most impressively, 114 against a stout Ravens league-leading defense. 

The Saints are a quality defense, too, but they allow running backs to go for 93.21 yards per game while averaging 4.21 yards per carry. They haven’t allowed a touchdown over the past two games, but allowed three straight before that. 

At home, the Rams are four-point favorites against an up-and-down Saints offense. 

Here, considering the Saints allow more than this per game, Williams has been electric all season. The Rams are favored, which poses well for having a lead and leaning on the rushing attack, taking the over at 88.5 rushing yards. 

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Pick: Matthew Stafford Over 1.5 Passing TDs (-135) at DraftKings

Don’t look now, but Stafford has been on a tear lately. From Week 12 on, Stafford has 12 passing touchdowns. Before Week 12, he had 11. 

He’s had five multi-touchdown games, with four coming in the last four. He also has just one interception in that stretch. 

This season, the Saints allow 200 passing yards and 1.14 passing touchdowns per game. They’ve allowed five multi-passing touchdown games, with the most recent coming in Week 13 against the Detroit Lions. 

To be fair, though, their last two matchups included ones against Tommy Devito, the New York Giants, and Bryce Young and the Carolina Panthers.

The Rams have many weapons, including wide receivers Puke Nacua and Cooper Kupp and running back Kyren Williams. 

Despite the Saints defense against passing touchdowns, ride the hot hand of Stafford here at home. 

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Pick: Taysom Hill Any Time TD (+175) at FanDuel

After missing Week 14, Hill was back in action in Week 15. There, he caught one pass for four yards and rushed just once for a yard—not really involved, coming off injury. 

However, prior to his injury, Hill had two touchdowns in his last three games, though one did come from the passing game. 

This season, Hill has been used in a variety of ways. 

He has five completions for 72 yards and a touchdown, 68 carries for 347 yards and four touchdowns, and 27 receptions on 33 targets for 233 yards and a score. 

Hill is one of their best weapons outside of Alvin Kamara, and whether or not quarterback Derek Carr can be consistent with Chris Olave downfield. 

The Rams allow many touchdowns to opposing wide receivers, allowing five over their last two games. That said, Hill could be deemed more as a tight end. There, the Rams have allowed seven touchdowns to the position this year.

Take a roll of the dice on Hill involved in multiple facets to score a touchdown. 

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AUTHOR

Richard Janvrin

550 Articles

After graduating from the University of New Hampshire with a BA in Journalism, Richard Janvrin has been covering iGaming and sports betting since December 2018. Richard has covered betting at Bleacher Report, Gambling.com, The Game Day, Forbes, and more.

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