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NFL Wild Card Round Prop Bets: Best NFL Player Props

Written by: Richard Janvrin
Published January 10, 2024
4 min read
NFL Prop Bets Wild Card Round 2024

Here we are. The NFL Playoffs have arrived, and to kick things off, we have six Wild Card Round games between the following teams:

  • Buffalo Bills vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

  • Kansas City Chiefs vs. Miami Dolphins

  • Houston Texans vs. Cleveland Browns

  • Dallas Cowboys vs. Green Bay Packers

  • Detroit Lions vs. Los Angeles Rams

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Below are the three best early-in-the-week prop bets leading up to the round that’ll decide what teams appear in the Divisional Round.

Houston Texans vs. Cleveland Browns Best Props

Pick: Race to 20 Points: Browns (-105) at DraftKings

As we head into this matchup, we have some recent data to go off of as the Texans hosted the Browns on Christmas Eve. However, there’s one pretty significant caveat—C.J. Stroud was out with a concussion, and Davis Mills drew the start.

In that game, the Browns won 36-22, but the Texans had seven points heading into the fourth quarter, scoring two garbage-time touchdowns late in the quarter. 

Stroud being in the lineup will certainly boost the offense, but the Browns defense has been a top defensive unit all year. 

There’s a narrative regarding the Browns defense on the road, and while that was a legitimate difference, they’ve narrowed the gap down the stretch with Joe Flacco as their starting quarterback. 

This season, the Browns allow 207.9 passing yards and 123.4 rushing yards on the road. 1.3 rushing touchdowns and 1.9 passing touchdowns per game. The passing yardage ranks eighth-least in the NFL, while the rushing yards rank 20th. 

Since Flacco became the starter against the Rams in early December, they’ve scored 20 points or more in every game except his first start against the Rams (19 points) and in Week 18, where they rested their starters. 

Here, we expect the Browns offense to score on a Houston defense that allows 239.1 passing yards, 1.1 rushing touchdowns, and 1.1 passing touchdowns per game. In contrast, their defense keeps the passing game in check. 

The goal for Cleveland’s defense will be to slow down Devin Singletary and Dameon Pierce based on their rushing statistics allowed on the road. 

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Pick: Either Team to Score 3 Unanswered Times: No (+130) at DraftKings

While we think the Browns will win the race to 20 points, we can’t see either team scoring three unanswered times, as these are two talented offenses. 

The Browns passing yardage numbers are low, but they still allow plenty of rushing yards, rushing touchdowns, and passing touchdowns per game. Conversely, the Texans allow plenty of passing yards at home. Against Flacco on Christmas Eve, he had 368 passing yards, three touchdowns, and two picks. 

Expect a back-and-forth here with Stroud back in the lineup and Flacco, who can accumulate many yards and pass touchdowns while throwing turnovers. 

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Kansas City Chiefs vs. Miami Dolphins Best Props

Pick: Chiefs Total Points: Over 23.5 (-120) at Caesars

The Chiefs are at home in the first round of the playoffs against a weakened Dolphins squad and have the upper hand here to take home the win. 

Over the last three games, the Dolphins are allowing 32.3 points per game and 29.4 per game on the road throughout the season. 

Meanwhile, the Chiefs have allowed 17.3 points per game all season. 

Here, quarterback Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs offense will square up against a Dolphins defense missing key defensive players like Bradley Chubb, Jerome Baker, Andrew Van Ginkle, Xavien Howard, Cameron Goode, and Jaelen Phillips. They could also be without offensive players Jaylen Waddle and Raheem Mostert. 

The Dolphins are plagued with injuries, and while the Chiefs offense has struggled this season, averaging just 21.8 points per game and 17.3 over their last three, they’re getting a matchup here against numerous second-string defensive players, which should allow them to top this 23.5 total, especially with their season total being so close at 21.8. 

Look for a Chiefs first-round win, scoring 25 points or more. 

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Richard Janvrin

Sports Betting Analyst & Content Specialist

Online Sports Betting
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After graduating from the University of New Hampshire with a BA in Journalism, Richard Janvrin has been covering iGaming and sports betting since December 2018. Richard has covered betting at Bleacher Report, Gambling.com, The Game Day, Forbes, and more.
Nationality: American
Education: Bachelor of English/ Journalism
Favourite Sportsbook: FanDuel Sportsbook
Favourite Casino: BetMGM Casino
9 years
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