Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs Predictions, Odds, Picks

Written by: Mike Lukas
Updated October 14, 2022
5 min read
  • Buffalo Bills QB Josh Allen ranked 3rd at his position during the regular season
  • The best QB in 2021 was KC Chiefs Patrick Mahomes despite a 10 pick, 4-4 start
  • Kansas City has won their last seven home games at Arrowhead Stadium

Bills vs Chiefs Odds

Bills Vs Chiefs January 23

This AFC battle should be one fans get to see for years to come featuring two of the league’s best QBs facing off, with the Buffalo Bills’ Josh Allen ranked 3rd at his position during the regular season, his team now with a first ranked defense that keeps opponents to just 17 points per game, capable of beating the Chiefs after having done so in Week 5 last October, 38-20.

The best QB in 2021 was Kansas City Chiefs Patrick Mahomes, and that’s despite a slow 4-4 start where he threw ten interceptions by Week 8, his second-seeded team now need to figure out this tricky Bills defense that tends to keep the opposition out of the end zone, though HC Andy Reid will no doubt game plan a way to exploit whatever Buffalo weak spot he can find.

These two AFC rivals have played each other 51 previous times (including 4 postseason games), with the Kansas City Chiefs winning 23 of those games and the Buffalo Bills winning 27 of the games, plus there has been one tie.

Take a look at other Divisional playoff games, here

Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs Predictions

Can Bills QB Josh Allen Continue His Superior Play?

The Buffalo Bills are on a five-game win streak including the shellacking they gave to Bill Belichick’s Patriots last week, 47-17, an offensive surge led by QB Josh Allen who not only makes big throws in critical moments, but he also has the football IQ to abuse the Chiefs.

Allen’s 2021 regular season started out with a mysterious loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers in Week 1 that the Bills followed up with four straight victories, and now on a similar string of success, expect this young QB to do what he’s been doing which is throwing for TDs.

This season Allen has completed 409 passes for 4,407 yards and 36 touchdowns with 15 interceptions while completing 63.3 percent of his passes, a QB who is comfortable in the pocket and who, despite his 6’ 5” 237-pound frame, can still get mobile when he must.

Can the Chiefs Defense Stop the Bills Productivity?

The Bills offense led by QB Josh Allen have been scoring over 28 points per game, so the Chiefs 27th ranked defense should have their hands full stopping them, although the fact that they are playing in front of a noisy Arrowhead Stadium hometown crowd should help.

In fairness, Kansas City’s DC Steve Spahnuolos’ defense has been improving, keeping opponents to 14 points or less six times in the second half of the season as the Chiefs went on an exciting eight game win streak that eventually put them back on top of the AFC West.

The Bills are ninth best passing and sixth best on the ground and either way the Chiefs will have their hands full, so watch for the front line to step up big, including veteran DE Frank Clark and DT Chris Jones, who have been trouble for opposing QBs all season.

Bills Key Player: (RB) Devin Singletary

For three seasons now, the Buffalo Bills have enjoyed dual threat production from their third-round pick in the 2019 NFL Draft, that being running back Devin Singletary, a Florida Atlantic standout who is having the best season of his still young NFL career.

At 5’ 7” and 203 pounds, Singletary is not a huge back who tries to overpower linemen, but instead Devin uses speed and quickness to find the open holes and creases and tends to earn yards after he is first hit, this season with 188 carries for 870 yards and 7 touchdowns.

From out of the backfield, Singletary acts as a checkdown receiver with hands soft enough to catch 80 percent of the passes thrown his way, this season with 40 receptions for 228 yards and a touchdown, a valuable part of OC Brian Daboll’s offensive game plan.

Chiefs Key Player: (TE) Travis Kelce

As long as the Chiefs TE Travis Kelce is healthy (he is!), expect him to be a big part of Kansas City’s offensive game plan, the 6’ 5” 256 playmaker capable of running tricky-to-cover routes like a receiver and earn yards after the catch like a running back, a valuable asset to have.

Kelce acts as a check down option for QB Mahomes in the event that the primary receiver is not open, but Travis can also be a primary target, especially in the red zone and on third downs, this season with 92 receptions for 1,125 yards and 9 touchdowns.

Expect Kelce to play a big role in any Chiefs win, but especially against a Bills defense that is best in the league against the pass, this former third-round pick now in his ninth season ready to help his team earn yet another trip to the Conference Championship round.

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How to Watch Bills vs Chiefs

Bills vs Chiefs Information
What Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs
Where Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, MO
When Sunday, January 23, 2022; 6:30 PM ET
How to watch CBS
21+ | Terms and conditions apply
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Mike Lukas

Sports Betting & Gambling Industry Analyst

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Mike Lukas is a retired standup comedian turned freelance writer now living in Dallas, Texas, originally from Cleveland, Ohio. His love for the game of football and all things Cleveland Browns turned Mike into a pro blogger years ago. Now Mike enjoys writing about all thirty-two NFL teams, hoping to help football gamblers gain a slight edge in their pursuit of the perfect wager.
Nationality: American
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