Best Cowboys vs. Dolphins Player Props: Two Top Offenses Battle

Written by: Richard Janvrin
Published December 24, 2023
4 min read
Cowboys vs Dolphins Prop Bets NFL Week 16

While they scored only ten in Week 15, the Dallas Cowboys are still one of the best teams in the NFL. Here, they travel on the road, in the Miami humidity, to take on the Miami Dolphins, who dropped 30 without Tyreek Hill against the New York Jets. 

Below are the three best prop bets for this game.

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Cowboys vs. Dolphins Prop Bets

Pick: Micah Parsons Over 0.75 Sacks (-195) at DraftKings

After having seven pressures in their massive Week 15 loss, Parsons could not finish any of them for a sack. However, this week, albeit in the Miami heat, Parsons has a great matchup here.

The biggest issue for Parsons will be going up against Tua Tagovailoa, who takes just 2.34 seconds to throw the ball, the fastest amongst all quarterbacks in the NFL with at least 100 dropbacks this season. 

Even with that, the Dolphins have allowed 17 sacks and 99 pressures. Parsons typically lines up near the right tackle, but he can line up anywhere. Right tackle Austin Jackson has allowed 16 pressures and three sacks, while starting interior linemen Robert Jones and center Liam Eichenberg have allowed five sacks combined. Jones has played just 138 pass-blocking snaps. 

Look for Parsons to notch one here, despite how quickly Tagovailoa gets the ball out.

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Pick: Tua Tagovailoa Under 263.5 Passing Yards (-115) at DraftKings

This season, the Cowboys defense allows just 192.93 passing yards per game to opposing quarterbacks. Coupling that with Tagovailoa going under on this number in six of his last nine games certainly gives pause. 

The Dolphins have running backs Raheem Mostert and De’Von Achane, who they can rely on if needed, which helps offset a lot of the pressure on Tagovailoa to make plays. He has three passing touchdowns over his last three games, so there’s a correlation between those two backs in the lineup and his passing production. 

Look for him to go under the number despite the total being 50 points.

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Pick: Dak Prescott Over 13.5 Rushing Yards (-117) at Caesars 

When you look at the game logs of quarterbacks against the Dolphins, the ones who are a bit more apt to rush, like Sam Howell, Patrick Mahomes, Jalen Hurts, and even Will Levis, tend to have decent rushing totals. 

This season, the Dolphins are allowing just 12.71 rushing yards per game to opposing quarterbacks, but here’s a list of the quarterbacks who’ve run for 13 yards or less against them:

  • Russell Wilson

  • Bryce Young

  • Mac Jones

  • Aidan O’Connell

  • Tim Boyle

  • Trevor Siemian/Zach Wilson (Wilson was injured in the game)

Wilson is perhaps the most surprising of that list, but as he ages, he’s also been running less. Other than that, none of those players are really known to break the pocket and run.

As for Prescott, he has 212 rushing yards this season, including ten or more in all but one game since Week 6. 

Look for Prescott to go over this number here.  

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How to Watch Cowboys vs. Dolphins

  • Where: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami, Florida

  • When: Sunday, Dec. 24, 4:25 p.m. ET

  • How to Watch: FOX

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Richard Janvrin

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After graduating from the University of New Hampshire with a BA in Journalism, Richard Janvrin has been covering iGaming and sports betting since December 2018. Richard has covered betting at Bleacher Report, Gambling.com, The Game Day, Forbes, and more.
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