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Last week’s parlay came a Drew Lock drive away from hitting. Hopefully, Week 16 will provide less pain. Here is your weekly dosage of parlays!
|Payout (Increasing with each leg, top to bottom)
|BUF @ LAC: ALT Bills -9.5
|$10 to win $16.53
|SEA @ TEN: Seahawks -2.5
|$10 to win $30.91
|ARI @ CHI: ALT OVER 40.5
|$10 to win $50.48
|DAL @ MIA: Jake Ferguson anytime TD
|$10 to win $121.15
|CIN @ PIT: Tanner Hudson o28.5 receiving yards
|$10 to win $222.11
The Bills have rounded into form with wins over the Chiefs and Cowboys over the last two weeks. Meanwhile, Aidan O’Connell and the Raiders just obliterated the Chargers on national television a week ago.
This Chargers team is among the worst of the worst without Justin Herbert under center. The franchise quarterback isn’t coming back anytime soon, creating good value for a Buffalo team in desperate need of wins.
One of these teams is red-hot, and the other is not. Take the Bills with some confidence, especially if you buy points to bring it to -9.5.
Take note that teams can rally after a coach is fired. Brandon Staley’s firing could cause some pause. Trust the talent to work this one out.
This doesn’t make sense. The Seahawks should return Geno Smith this week, and with their shocking win over Philadelphia in Week 15, Seattle cannot drop this game.
Meanwhile, the Titans just choked a lead and subsequently the game to a Case Keenum-led Texans team that also was without Nico Collins, Tank Dell and Will Anderson, to name a few. These teams are in different brackets in terms of current motivators.
Similarly to Buffalo, ride the hot hand against a team that is close to ice cold.
This over has hit in seven of Justin Fields’ nine games, excluding Week 6 when he left the game early. Both of these teams still allow plenty of points.
With each team returning starting quarterbacks in Fields and Kyler Murray in recent weeks, there is no reason to expect the offenses not to put up points. The Cardinals have put up 24 and 29 points against the Steelers and 49ers, respectively, and should keep that trend going against the Bears.
This over has also hit in three of Kyler Murray’s five starts.
Here’s a bit of a stab in the dark. The Dolphins have allowed just three touchdowns to tight ends this season, but that doesn’t tell the full story.
Miami still allows 75% of opposing targets to tight ends to be completed, albeit for only a 14th-ranked 688 yards. Completed passes are realistically all that are needed when it comes to touchdowns, and Ferguson’s usage is a bit different than the average tight end.
Only teammate CeeDee Lamb has seen more red zone targets than Ferguson, whose 22 targets have yielded five touchdowns this year. That leads all tight ends, with the Wisconsin product seeing five more red zone targets than the great Travis Kelce. The Cowboys utilize tight ends more than the average team, adding some value at +140.
The Steelers have been decimated by injuries in recent weeks. With countless holes at linebacker and safety — Damontae Kazee has been suspended while Minkah Fitzpatrick is out with a knee injury — expect Jake Browning to lean on his tight end.
Hudson has routinely put up good numbers over the last month, hitting this over in five of his last seven games. With Ja’Marr Chase also out with a shoulder injury, there should be even more of a focus to find Hudson across the middle.
The Steelers allow 47.4 receiving yards per game to tight ends.
Michael Sicoli has been writing about fantasy football and betting within the NFL space since 2020. He works as a writer and content creator with ClubFantasyFFL and runs an NFL defensive (IDP) newsletter with The IDP Guys. A graduate from Quinnipiac University, Michael is a long-time NFL fan with a love for soccer and the NBA.More info on Michael Sicoli
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