Best Sunday Night Football Prop Bets Week 16: Patriots vs. Broncos

Written by: Tanner Kern
Published December 24, 2023
4 min read

Merry Christmas from all of us here at WSN! Week 16’s edition of Sunday Night Football kicks off with a matchup between the New England Patriots and Denver Broncos. The plummeting Patriots have been the laughingstock of the NFL this entire season, and things are getting worse!

The Patriots have gone back and forth with starting quarterbacks for most of the season. They have chosen Bailey Zappe to finish the year out as their signal caller. While this decision doesn’t create success, it yields stability in the offense. 

Denver enters the matchup with their playoff hopes still alive at 7-7, while the Patriots are trying to play spoiler at 3-11. Denver has beaten some of the best competition in the league and continues to show signs of positivity moving forward. 

Russell Wilson has been very impressive compared to his 2022 campaign with the team. The quarterback has helped bring out the best of Courtland Sutton. While injuries remain problematic for the Broncos, Sutton has been the light at the end of the tunnel.

The Broncos enter the game as a touchdown favorite, which seems large regardless of the issues in New England’s locker room. The matchup looks unwatchable on paper but it could turn out to be a very close game. Let’s break down our favorite props for the game!

NFL SNF Prop Bets Week 16 2023
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Courtland Sutton Over 4.5 Receptions (+106) on DraftKings Sportsbook

With all of Denver's struggles this season, Sutton has been the silver lining. Wilson has completed 58 passes to Sutton this season, receiving many targets every game. 

He has averaged just over four catches per game and has hit this over in nearly half of his starts. Sutton has at least six targets in six of his last ten games. This matchup with New England is great for Sutton because we expect Denver to throw the football. 

New England is 22nd in the league regarding completions allowed at 23 per game. The Patriots' defense is still top 12 in the NFL, but there hasn’t been a team this season that could lock down Sutton. We expect Sutton to continue seeing his fair share of targets as he has proven to be the most effective offensive player. 

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Russell Wilson Over 19.5 Rushing Yards (-110) on DraftKings Sportsbook

Wilson has never been afraid of scrambling when the pocket collapses. He has rushed for over 19.5 rushing yards in eight of his 15 games. He’s also averaged just over 21 yards per game on the ground. 

New England's defense has been dominant against the run all season long. They’re currently second in the league, allowing just 85 total rushing yards per game. 

We expect Wilson to feel the pass rush and use his legs throughout the game. This has been the way Denver has moved the sticks in 2023. The way he has scrambled thus far, he can hit this over on a couple of attempts.

Head over to DraftKings Sportsbook to place your bets

Javonte Williams Under 53.5 Rushing Yards (-103) on DraftKings Sportsbook

Javonte Williams has been the clear lead back for the Denver offense for the last six weeks. Williams has averaged just under 50 yards rushing in 14 games this season. We believe this is the perfect matchup for Williams to go under his total because of New England’s stout rushing attack. 

The New England rushing defense is second in the league against the run. Williams has consistently struggled to get anything going in his games this year, especially against top defenses. 

We expect Williams to get plenty of opportunities to hit his over but don’t expect him to exceed this line. If you don’t like a sweat, stay away from this line.

This stingy Patriots defense has been able to shut down some of the best running backs in the NFL. Denver will stick to the ground game, so Williams will approach this number, but we believe he will stay under. 

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Patriots vs. Broncos Odds

TeamMoneylineSpreadTotal
Patriots+270+6.5 (-102)Over 34.5 (-105)
Broncos-335-6.5 (-120)Under 34.5 (-115)

Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook. Wager $5 at DraftKings and get $150 in bonus bets!

How to Watch Patriots vs. Broncos

  • Who: New England Patriots vs. Denver Broncos

  • Where: Empower Field at Mile High Stadium. Denver, CO

  • When: Sunday, December 24th, 8:20 p.m. ET

  • TV: NBC 

  • Streaming: NBC

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Tanner Kern

Sports Betting Analyst & On-Air Host

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Tanner Kern has been working in the betting industry since 2020. He currently is a social media content creator at DraftKings and contributes to multiple sites in addition to WSN, including Forbes and VSiN. He is also the cohost of the podcast Ride the Line at WSN.
Nationality: American
Education: M.S in Sports Journalism
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