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Sports bettors will love this NFL Week 11 NFC cross-divisional matchup featuring the Dallas Cowboys taking on the Minnesota Vikings, with the Cowboys still (maybe) without start RB Zeke Elliott (knee – MCL) and in third place of the NFC East while the Vikings sit atop the NFC North after their glorious Week 10 victory over the mighty Buffalo Bills in miraculous overtime.
Minnesota has failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games against NFC opponents and we expect them to have trouble doing it here given that Dallas is 6-2 against the spread in their last eight games, though they must still be furious for falling apart in the fourth quarter last week against the Packers allowing 14 points while scoring nothing, an overtime loss, 28-31.
The oddsmakers see this matchup as almost equal so treat it as a PICK ‘EM and take your favorite team, each with its own set of playmakers to counter the other team’s stars, one such matchup being Vikings deep threat WR Justin Jefferson who leads the league in receiving yards per game (117.8) versus Cowboys speedy CB Trevon Diggs who has 3 INTS and 12 PDs.
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Tough to score points when you’re avoiding the rush which is the challenge the Vikings face playing the Cowboys, with Dallas first in the league in total sacks (35) with a pressure rate of 34.3% thanks to quarterback hunters like DE Demarcus Lawrence and LB Micah Parson, which could spell trouble for Minnesota LT Christian Darrisaw (concussion) who is listed as questionable to play.
Seven of Minnesota’s last eight games at U.S. Bank Stadium have gone over the total points line, and since the weather will not affect the passing game in this enclosed stadium, these offenses could score like normal, with the Vikings’ averaging 25.1 points per game and the Cowboys posting 23.4 points each time, that total of 48.5 points over what oddsmakers have predicted.
For those bettors who expect this to be a defensive matchup, the under makes more sense since Dallas’ defense allows opponents to score 18.2 points per game and Minnesota allows 21.2 points each game, that total of 39.4 points just under what the pros anticipate here, with low scores the norm so far during this 2022 NFL season thanks to a shortened preseason.
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A major key to an outright win for either of these two teams is whether they can protect the ball and produce turnovers, with the Dallas Cowboys 15th in the league in INTs (7) and tied for second in forced fumbles (12) facing a Minnesota Vikings team that ranks 5th in INTs (10) and is tied for 19th in forced fumbles (7), two bullish teams used to stealing the football.
The Cowboys have won four of their last five games against the Vikings so if you believe that trend will continue bet $124 on the money line and if Dallas does win you would pocket $100 plus your initial bet, but Vikings fans only have to bet $100 here to win $106 plus your original investment if Minnesota pulls off the upset, both fun ways to make this game even more thrilling.
Last thing bettors should do before cracking open their betting kitties is to check the injury report on both teams since key playmakers could be missing which might affect the outcome of the game, with the Cowboys listing three players as questionable including LB Anthony Barr (hamstring) while the Vikings have four coach’s decisions including LB Za’Darius Smith (knee).
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