New York allowed the Texans to average 5.2 YPC in Week 9
The Cards have won four of their last five games
The Jets' O-line has a win rate of 53% when pass-blocking
There are some great games this weekend, but the matchup between the New York Jets and Arizona Cardinals may be among the best. The Jets will be playing to keep their playoff hopes alive, while the Cards will seek to defend their division lead. These teams have significant issues combined with elite talent, which should make for an exciting matchup.
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Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
---|---|---|---|
New York Jets | -1.5 (-110) | -110 | Over 46.5 (-110) |
Arizona Cardinals | +1.5 (-110) | +110 | Under 46.5 (-110) |
The Jets managed to snap a five-game losing streak against the Texans in Week 9, but we aren’t giving the victory much weight. That is mainly because Houston was without two of its biggest offensive stars and has not looked like the Super Bowl contender they were expected to be. Add that the game was in New York, and you can see why we aren’t convinced that momentum will continue into Week 10.
New York's most significant challenge on Sunday will be stopping a talented Arizona run attack. The Cardinals’ 5.3 YPC average is the second-highest in football, and they get solid contributions from three different backs, plus Kyler Murray. That is terrible news for a Jets defense that allowed Houston to rush for 187 yards on 26 attempts (5.2 YPC).
This game will depend on the Jets’ offense. Arizona’s defense can be feisty, but it ranks in the bottom half of the league in both yards and points allowed per game. New York’s offense ranks in the bottom ten in both yards and points gained, so don’t expect them to be able to take advantage of a shaky Arizona defense.
While the Jets got a badly-needed win last week, the Cardinals have won four of their previous five to take the lead in the NFC West. They are playing like a playoff team and will be at home, making this an easy game for us to pick.
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Wilson has been one of the top receivers in the league over his last five games, averaging 94.4 yards per game. The addition of Davante Adams has helped open the young receiver up, and it seems he has earned the trust of Aaron Rodgers.
The Cardinals’ pass defense hasn’t been great, allowing 228.6 yards per game. However, we expect their defensive line to win the battle up front and keep pressure on Rodgers. That will lead the former NFL MVP to look for his new favorite target, leading to many yards for Wilson.
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The Jets' pass defense has been one of the best in the league, but Kyler Murray is passing at an elite level over his last four games. He has easily surpassed that total in those games, completing 70% of his passes. Two of those games came against the Eagles and Bears, both of whom have pass defenses that rank among the top ten of the league.
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The Jets have issues on their offensive line and will face an Arizona defense that ranks in the top ten in blitz percentage (28.9). The Jets’ line has a win rate of just 53% on passing plays, which is too low given Rodgers’ lack of mobility.
Rodgers is not the pressure passer that he once was. His inability to move in the pocket exacerbates the issues with pass blocking, leading to New York ranking in the league's bottom half in passing yards per game.
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When: Sunday, November 10 at 4:25 PM EST
Where: State Farm Stadium in Glendale, AZ
Where to Watch: CBS, NFL Sunday Ticket
Ashtyn Davis S - Questionable
Michael Carter II CB - Questionable
Solomon Thomas DE - Questionable
Chazz Surratt LB - Questionable
Morgan Moses OT - Questionable
L.J. Collier DE - Questionable
James Conner RB - Questionable
Darius Robinson DE - Questionable
Jonah Williams OT - IR-R
Dennis Gardeck LB - IR
Best Jahmyr Gibbs Prop Bets in NFL Week 10
Sunday Night Football Picks: NFL Week 10
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