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Week 11 wraps up with one of the most highly anticipated games of the season between the Chiefs and Eagles. These two teams have been top-tier in the league for the last few years and competed in the Super Bowl last season.
Philadelphia has been one of the most complete teams since acquiring wide receiver A.J. Brown in the 2021 offseason. The Eagles' only loss came to the Jets back in week seven. There have been some flaws along the way, but Nick Sirianni’s team finds ways to win.
Kansas City has continued to stay at the top of the NFL mountain. Patrick Mahomes has played at a high level and only gets better with age.
The Chiefs are 2.5-point favorites coming into this game at home. Picking a side in this game can be hard, but there are a few matchups we’re looking to exploit in the prop market. Let’s break it down!
The Kansas City offense hasn’t been a run-first unit since the arrival of Mahomes. Isiah Pacheco has a good season going thus far, but he hasn’t consistently run the ball. While he has gone over 48.5 rushing yards, he has not seen a run defense like the Eagles.
In the past few games, Pacheco has rushed for 66, 40, and 32 yards. He has hit the under in two of the last three, and in close games or losing games, he typically doesn’t get the ball as much.
Backup running back Jerick McKinnon usually gets the snaps as the passing back when the game is on the line because the Chiefs elect to throw.
Philadelphia’s run defense ranks first in the league. The defense gives up just 66.3 rushing yards per game. This young defense that the Eagles have built over the last few years is finally clicking on all cylinders.
Jalen Hurts has changed the game regarding the quarterback sneak since entering the league. The Eagles created the “brotherly shove,” which is a move that rugby players use in their sport. Hurts has taken full advantage of the play, scoring seven touchdowns in just nine games.
Hurts has consistently gotten the call in short-yardage situations. Hurts rushed for 13 touchdowns in 17 games last season.
While the Chiefs have given up the least amount of rushing touchdowns all season, nobody has found an answer for Hurts' short-yardage rushes. We don’t believe Kansas City will have an answer either on Monday night.
As long as the Eagles can get inside the five-yard line, expect Hurts to get the call and find the endzone once again.
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The trade that brought A.J. Brown from the Titans has proven to be one of the best in the NFL in a very long time. It didn’t just make Brown better but also the entire team stronger.
DeVonta Smith was drafted by the Eagles out of Alabama in 2020. In his first season, he struggled all around with Philadelphia, but since the arrival of Brown, he’s been a top receiver in the league. The 1-2 punch of Brown and Smith is hard to combat.
The Chiefs do have a strong secondary. They only give up 176 yards per game through the air. Yet, this defense will be tested against one of the best, high-scoring offenses in the league.
In the last few months, Brown has been unstoppable. In weeks three through eight, Brown had over 130 receiving yards every game.
He has proven to perform against any team on any given Sunday. On Monday, we will continue riding the hot hand and taking his over-yardage props.
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Tanner Kern has been working in the betting industry since 2020. He currently is a social media content creator at DraftKings and contributes to multiple sites in addition to WSN, including Forbes and VSiN. He is also the cohost of the podcast Ride the Line at WSN.More info on Tanner Kern
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