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Week 12 in the NFL ends with a division matchup between the Chicago Bears and the Minnesota Vikings. The Bears are coming off of a close loss in Detroit against the Lions. The Vikings lost to the Broncos, and this snapped a five-game winning streak.
Chicago is 3-8 and in contention for yet another early draft pick. It’s been a positive season compared to the past few for the Bears, but there is still a lot of work to do within this organization. Their defense has been the biggest flaw this season.
The Bears' offense has vastly improved from where they were just a season ago. The addition of D.J. Moore and the progression of Justin Fields has made a massive difference for the team.
Chicago’s offensive line seems to be one of the best in football regarding run blocking because the group has helped their backs produce.
Minnesota season has been up and down. It appeared the season would be over when they lost Kirk Cousins to an Achilles tear, but the team has rallied around newly acquired quarterback Joshua Dobbs. Dobbs was traded from the Cardinals to the Vikings at the trade deadline, and the move has been successful.
The Vikings also lost Justin Jefferson to an injury that landed him on injured reserve, but he is expected to return for this contest. This gives Dobbs one of the best receivers in the game in his arsenal.
The Vikings are three-point favorites for this Monday night showdown, but the best way to attack this game is through prop betting.
Minnesota’s resiliency through their tough injuries this season has surprised many football fans. The emergence of Dobbs has been stellar, and some people think he’s doing better than Cousins all seasons.
This season, the Vikings have only hit this over in five of their 11 games. While we understand that this stat isn’t the most favorable for this prop, we believe that the return of Justin Jefferson will put this team over the top.
The Bears defense is horrendous. It's in the bottom five in nearly every category in the NFL.
Chicago gives up 26 points per game on average this season, which is the fourth most in football. We believe Dobbs will successfully pass the ball, and Alexander Mattison will also succeed on the ground to hit this team total.
Fields has done a much better job this season, making smarter plays and spreading the ball around to all his weapons. Fields has also improved with using his legs to buy more time in the pocket to make the big plays instead of just immediately trying to run the ball.
In the last four weeks, Kmet has been targeted 29 times. He’s hogged most of the targets lately from Moore and Mooney. The tight end has five touchdowns on the season so far, and we believe he is about to get his sixth in this game.
The Vikings defense hasn’t been great this year against the pass. Opposing teams have averaged almost two passing touchdowns and 36 pass attempts per game.
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Mattison has taken the role of the number-one running back since the departure of Dalvin Cook. However, he hasn’t shown that he can be a consistent back in the NFL.
Mattison has hit this under eight times in the Vikings' 11 games this season. He is much more productive catching passes out of the backfield, but he doesn't get it done as far as rushing yards are concerned.
Surprisingly, the Bears' defense is second in the league in least rushing yards allowed. They only allow 79.5 rushing yards per game, which is just worse than Philadelphia. We believe Mattison will continue to struggle as he has for most of the year and hit this under.
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Tanner Kern has been working in the betting industry since 2020. He currently is a social media content creator at DraftKings and contributes to multiple sites in addition to WSN, including Forbes and VSiN. He is also the cohost of the podcast Ride the Line at WSN.More info on Tanner Kern
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