There have been over 50 total points in five of Cincinnati’s eight games this season
The Dolphins are 1-11 in their last 12 games against the Bills, including six straight losses in Buffalo
The Colts are 7-1 against the spread this season, including 5-0 against the spread as an underdog
Now that we’ve reached the middle of the NFL season, the league is getting a little easier to read. For the second straight week, our four-leg NFL parlay was a success. We ended up teasing some lines more than we needed to, but cashing a parlay with +535 odds is never a bad thing. That’s why we’ll follow a similar strategy by teasing some of the picks we like in Week 9 to give us a little bit of a cushion without losing too much value.
At Caesars Sportsbook, there is a tool that makes it easy to tease the spread of every NFL game. This is one reason Caesars is good for parlays like this. Plus, new users at Caesars can get a bonus bet of up to $1,000 if they lose the first best they make after signing up. Therefore, it makes sense to bet on a high-value parlay with your first wager because even if it doesn’t work out, you’ll have your bonus bet in your back pocket to try again. Of course, we hope to win our four-leg parlay for a third straight week. At Caesars, the odds for our parlay are currently +445.
Once you have your bet with Caesars in place, don’t forget to learn how to stream NFL Week 9 games for free on the Caesars platform. That will make it easier to track your parlay and any other bets. Plus, it’s always a good time to look at the current Super Bowl LIX odds. But first, take a closer look at the picks in our Week 9 NFL parlay.
Both of these teams are 5-3 O/U this season, which is just one reason why the over is a safe pick in this game. The Bengals have already had five games that have exceeded 50 total points, including two games that went over 70 points. Unless they’re playing a true terrible offensive team, the Cincinnati defense has been vulnerable, often giving up at least 30 points. At the same time, Joe Burrow has too many weapons around him for the Cincinnati offense to stay contained for 60 minutes.
To be fair, the Raiders are among the worst offensive teams in the NFL. But they’ve also faced some tough defensive teams this year. They should be able to get something going against the Cincinnati defense, especially since the Raiders are likely to be forced to throw the ball and take chances. That’s because the Las Vegas defense is giving up over 26 points per game. If the Bengals are clicking, reaching 30 points against the Raiders isn’t out of the question. Meanwhile, the Raiders have a clear path to at least 20 points against Cincinnati’s defense, making the over a safe bet.
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Miami was better last week with the return of Tua Tagovailoa. But the Dolphins failed to close out the game and remain a flawed team. It seems unlikely that they’ll be able to walk into Buffalo this week and get a win. The Bills dominated the Dolphins 31-10 in Week 2 and had a comfortable lead long before Tagovailoa left that game with a concussion. That makes it safe to bet against the 2-5 Dolphins.
It’s also worth mentioning that the Dolphins haven’t won in Buffalo since 2016, long before the Bills drafted Josh Allen. While a couple of those games were close, most were lopsided Buffalo wins. In fact, the Dolphins have just one win in their last 12 games against the Bills. Just in case the Dolphins make this a competitive game, we’ll tease the spread to 2.5 points. However, we fully expect the Bills to win this game, making it a safe play for a parlay.
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This is another game that looks easy to call, but we’ll only tease the spread to 2.5 points to retain some value. To their credit, the Jaguars have shown some signs of life in recent weeks. However, they are also winless on the road this season. The Jags also rank near the bottom of the NFL in points allowed after conceding at least 30 points in three of their last four games. There is no way for Trevor Lawrence to overcome a defense that bad, especially with so many of Jacksonville’s skill players battling injuries.
Against a porous Jacksonville defense, Jalen Hurts and the Philadelphia offense could have a field day. The Eagles have won three in a row, appearing to hit their stride offensively, especially after a 37-17 win last week. It’s amazing what’s possible with A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith healthy. Don’t forget the Eagles also have Saquon Barkley, which is another reason why they should run away with this game. But just in case the Jags make things interesting, Philadelphia only needs to win by a field goal in our parlay.
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This is another line we’re teasing but in the opposite direction. The Vikings are favored by six points at home, but we’ll give the Colts 10.5 points just to be safe. The Indy defense hasn’t been the most reliable this season. However, the Colts have played better since that embarrassing 37-34 defeat to the Jaguars. It’s also worth noting the Colts are 7-1 against the spread this year, including 5-0 ATS as an underdog. With a few extra points, this feels like a safe pick.
At the same time, the Vikings have lost back-to-back games after their 5-0 start. Of course, it’s not the end of the world for them, as they could easily bounce back. But they haven’t had a convincing win since they dismantled the Texans in Week 3. Even if Minnesota can get back on track with a win, the Colts won’t make it comfortable for them, which is why Indy +10.5 points is a safe parlay pick.
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