Texans vs Chiefs opens Divisional Round weekend
Top MVP candidates, Lamar Jackson and Josh Allen, will battle on Sunday night
The Lions are the Super Bowl favorites heading into the Divisional Round
Wild Card weekend didn’t generate many surprises. Besides the Chargers and Buccaneers, the teams expected to win handled business.
Houston and Washington pulled off slight upsets against Los Angeles and Tampa Bay, but these weren't surprising. Eight teams remain in the NFL playoffs, and four games are split between Saturday and Sunday.
The winners of the Divisional Round will compete for their respective conference championships in one week. The Lions are the consensus Super Bowl favorites and the most potent team heading into the weekend.
Here, we will look at each game in the playoffs and provide the storylines to watch heading into each game. If you want to bet on the NFL playoffs, check out FanDuel Sportsbook. New customers on FanDuel can get $200 in bonus bets, just by placing a $5 wager.
Moneyline: Chiefs -450 | Texans +350
Spread: Chiefs -8.5 (-110) | Texans +8.5 (-110)
Total: Over 41.5 (-110) | Under 41.5 (-110)
Patrick Mahomes hasn’t thrown a pass since Christmas Day, and many Chiefs starters have been resting since this date. Kansas City clinched the top AFC seed in Week 17, so they could rest starters in Week 18 and were afforded a bye week to open the playoffs.
Even though the Chiefs had time off, it shouldn’t be an issue because they have much experience coming into the Divisional Round. Patrick Mahomes is 6-0 in the Divisional Round and hasn’t thrown an interception in this playoffs stage.
The Texans have a strong passing defense but haven’t been consistent this season. The Chiefs haven’t been great against the spread, going 8-9, but they have consistently won.
Houston has the roster to keep this game close in Arrowhead Stadium. However, Kansas City has been one of the best teams in the past six seasons at winning big games.
The Chiefs seem to elevate their play in the postseason, and it’s hard not to see this team advance to the AFC Championship Game.
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Moneyline: Lions -520 | Commanders +400
Spread: Chiefs -9.5 (-110) | Texans +9.5 (-110)
Total: Over 55.5 (-110) | Under 55.5 (-110)
The Detroit Lions are the consensus Super Bowl favorites and have been expected to win the big game all season. The Lions still have plenty of football games left to win, but there isn’t a more connected team than Dan Campbell’s squad.
Detroit won their Week 18 matchup against the Vikings, catapulting them to the NFC North title and the top seed in the NFC standings. They’re the heaviest favorite of the Divisional Round and have the best matchup against a young Commanders team.
Washington beat Tampa Bay last week, and this was impressive. However, we fear that this was their Super Bowl because it was the franchise’s first Super Bowl win in 13 years.
Jayden Daniels's high mobility presents many challenges for the Lions' defense. The Commanders are an elite fourth-down team and should be able to score, but they have many flaws on defense.
The Lions will light up the scoreboard, and it would be shocking to see them upset in their building in the Divisional Round.
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Moneyline: Eagles -290 | Rams +235
Spread: Eagles -6.5 (-110) | Rams +6.5 (-110)
Total: Over 44.5 (-110) | Under 44.5 (-110)
The Philadelphia Eagles have one of the most talented rosters in the NFL, but many people are picking against them on Sunday. The Eagles will face one of the hottest teams in the league, the Los Angeles Rams, in a tough matchup.
The Rams have an elite coach in Sean McVay, and a Super Bowl-winning quarterback, Matthew Stafford. Stafford is 5-1 in the playoffs and has been a catalyst for the Rams all season.
Los Angeles has elite weapons like Puka Nacua and Cooper Kupp in the passing game. The Rams have the offense to beat the Eagles, but we’re concerned about defense.
Saquan Barkley ran for 255 yards against the Rams on November 24. A.J. Brown had over 100 yards receiving. Los Angeles can’t eliminate all of Philadelphia’s weapons, so look for the Eagles to pull off a close win.
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Moneyline: Bills +100 | Ravens -118
Spread: Bills +1.5 (-120) | Ravens -1.5 (-110)
Total: Over 55.5 (-110) | Under 55.5 (-110)
The Bills' game against the Ravens in Buffalo is the best weekend matchup on paper. Baltimore dominated Buffalo earlier this season, 35-10, but this is a different game.
The Bills have the team to beat the Ravens, but they must be perfect. Even though Josh Allen is an MVP-caliber quarterback, he faces a multi-time NFL MVP in Lamar Jackson.
If the Ravens can’t win a Super Bowl this season, they may never get it done with Jackson as their quarterback. Jackson leads the NFL in nearly every statistical category and has Derrick Henry by his side.
Henry had a career rushing season and should be prominent in the playoffs. This game will come down to which offense will make more critical plays. Each team will have chances, as both teams are even matched.
The more efficient team will leave Buffalo with a win and advance to the AFC Championship Game.
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