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There are three main NFL leader categories that oddsmakers pay close attention to every season – total passing yards, receiving yards and rushing yards – and it is no surprise to see some of the same talented players predicted to be at the top of those lists again.
Of course, one of the things that makes NFL betting so much fun is the fact that any of these favored athletes could have a breakout season and suddenly be the new leader in their particular category, though it’s just as likely that a few of them will be on teams that mysteriously tank in 2020.
So here we examine each of these three totals categories and list the predictions and odds of the top-10 athletes in each, plus we make our picks and explain our logic with the hope that taking a look at this data will help you make a more educated wager for yourself.
Odds taken from DraftKings
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Keep in mind the odds in these wagers will shift plenty of times before the actual games are played, so be sure to check back here often to get all the latest numbers.
|QB With Most Passing Yards||Odds|
|Patrick Mahomes, Kansas City Chiefs||+450|
|Matt Ryan, Atlanta Falcons||+500|
|Jarod Goff, Los Angeles Rams||+700|
|Tom Brady, Tampa Bay Buccaneers||+800|
|Dak Prescott, Dallas Cowboys||+800|
|Matthew Stafford, Detroit Lions||+1400|
|Ben Roethlisberger, Pittsburgh Steelers||+2000|
|Deshaun Watson, Houston Texans||+2000|
|Philip Rivers, Indianapolis Colts||+2200|
|Drew Brees, New Orleans Saints||+2500|
|Kyler Murray, Arizona Cardinals||+2500|
This pick could totally backfire, sure, but when you think about GOAT Tom Brady being suddenly placed in a Tampa Bay Buccaneers passing attack that last year allowed their quarterback Jameis Winston to lead the league in this category despite throwing to the opposition an NFL-leading 30 times, the possibilities are mind-blowing.
With Brady and his advanced level football IQ under center, most of those interceptions will be gone and those same superstar receivers – Mike Evans and Chris Godwin – will now be targeted by one of the most accurate quarterbacks in the league who has been desperate to throw at veteran targets.
Then add Brady’s ability to throw to Gronk again, that is unretired tight end Rob Gronkowski, (plus the other Bucs tight end, O.J. Howard, is no slouch as a receiver either) and suddenly this relatively “long shot” QB could take this honor over some far younger competition.
|Most NFL Receiving Yards in 2020||Odds|
|Michael Thomas, New Orleans Saints||+600|
|Julio Jones, Atlanta Falcons||+900|
|Chris Godwin, Tampa Bay Buccaneers||+1200|
|Davante Adams, Green Bay Packers||+1400|
|Mike Evans, Tampa Bay Buccaneers||+1400|
|Tyreek Hill, Kansas City Chiefs||+1400|
|DeAndre Hopkins, Arizona Cardinals||+1600|
|Kenny Golladay, Detroit Lions||+2000|
|Juju Smith-Schuster, Pittsburgh Steelers||+2000|
|Travis Kelce, Kansas City Chiefs (Tight End)||+2200|
|Courtland Sutton, Denver Broncos||+2200|
|Terry McLaurin, Washington Redskins||+2500|
|Adam Thielen, Minnesota Vikings||+2500|
This one seems like a no-brainer – the way the New Orleans Saints offense typically game plans, deep threat receiver Michael Thomas is targeted almost twelve times a game, which last season culminated in 149 receptions and 1,725 total yards with 9 touchdowns, a clear first in this category.
No reason to think anything will change in 2020 – Thomas is healthy and his quarterback is hungry for another Super Bowl ring, especially after alienating himself from his teammates of color with some controversial remarks he made to the media this offseason.
But Brees has made sincere amends so now Thomas and he should be able to move forward and lather, rinse and repeat what they did last season so that the 2x All-Pro and 3x Pro Bowl receiver can keep atop the charts at his position once again.
|Most NFL Rushing Yards in 2020||Odds|
|Derrick Henry, Tennessee Titans||+700|
|Nick Chubb, Cleveland Browns||+800|
|Ezekiel Elliott, Dallas Cowboys||+800|
|Saquon Barkley, New York Giants||+900|
|Christian McCaffrey, Carolina Panthers||+1100|
|Joe Mixon, Cincinnati Bengals||+1200|
|Dalvin Cook, Minnesota Vikings||+1400|
|Josh Jacobs, Las Vegas Raiders||+1400|
|Chris Carson, Seattle Seahawks||+1600|
|Kenyan Drake, Arizona Cardinals||+2000|
|Lamar Jackson, Baltimore Ravens, (Quarterback)||+2000|
This honor will once again be a close race between the Tennessee Titans’ Dereck Henry and the Cleveland Browns’ Nick Chubb, the battle coming down to Week 17 last season when Henry surged ahead for the win with 1,540 total yards compared with Chubb’s 1,494.
Expect the Cleveland star to take the win in this category this season – Chubb’s Browns are going to be even more run-centric in 2020 and he will be receiving most of the carries, with rookie head coach Kevin Stefanski a big fan of featuring the rushing attack in his offensive game plans and looking to make his mark in the league.
The Browns play winter football in Ohio, so having a dependable rusher like Chubb in the backfield keeps Cleveland’s offense consistent even when there’s snow on the ground or in the air making Baker Mayfield’s passing attack less effective, so expect him to carry the team on his back (and legs) once again.
Mike Lukas is a retired standup comedian turned freelance writer now living in Dallas, Texas, originally from Cleveland, Ohio. His love for the game of football and all things Cleveland Browns turned Mike into a pro blogger years ago. Now Mike enjoys writing about all thirty-two NFL teams, hoping to help football gamblers gain a slight edge in their pursuit of the perfect wager. Email: [email protected]More info on Mike Lukas
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