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Baker Mayfield's 2020/21 Production - Predictions and Betting Odds

Written by: Mike Lukas
Updated November 8, 2022
12 min read

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After a record-setting rookie season in 2018, Cleveland Browns quarterback Baker Mayfield had what’s known in the football biz as a “sophomore slump” last season and now the oddsmakers are making it possible on how well the Oklahoma kid will do in 2020.

There are plenty of reasons Mayfield had a lousy 2019 – poor protection, a total lack of reps with his playmakers, and a dearth of experienced coaching – but it comes down to making better decisions when the pressure is on.

Anyone who has followed Baker Mayfield’s football career knows he is in the exact type of situation that thoroughly inspires him to greatness, so we take a look at the predictions and odds of how he will perform overall for the Browns during the 2020 regular season.

Predictions and Odds of Baker Mayfield’s 2020 Production

When it comes to betting on NFL quarterback futures, the two main prop bets are typically based on total passing yards and total passing touchdowns, with both stats being decent indicators of how well a QB is performing.

When it comes to Baker Mayfield, however, these bets can be tricky, since he performed so below his expectations last season that it might be tempting to believe that he is on a downward spiral.

But due to the mystery that is the Cleveland Browns, the 2020 season could go either way for Mayfield, making these two bets all the more exciting.

NOTE: Exactly 16 Regular Season games must be played by the Browns for these bets to stand unless an outcome has already been decided and no further play could produce a different outcome

Mayfield’s Total Passing Yards – Regular Season

Sportsbook Over 3875.5 Under 3875.5
DraftKings -110 -110

Analysis

Mayfield almost would have made the over of this bet a winner during his rookie season (3,725 yards) and came even closer during his horrible sophomore season (3,827 yards) so it stands to reason that with an improved line and better coaching he could throw for enough yards in 2020 to easily beat the under here.

Of course, an injury could change all that, but if Mayfield could survive last season with almost zero blindside help, imagine how well he will actually thrive with more than half a second to make his decisions in the pocket.

Don’t forget that not only does Mayfield have Odell Beckham Jr. and Jarvis Landry to throw to now, he also has tight ends Austin Hooper and David Njoku and running backs Kareem Hunt and Dontrell Hilliard as targets, so with the right game planning and play calling, he could easily top 4,000 passing yards this season.

Mayfield’s Total Passing Touchdowns – Regular Season

Sportsbook Over 23.5 Under 23.5
DraftKings -110 -110

Analysis

The over on this bet seems like a sure thing, because for Mayfield to not throw at least 24 touchdowns in 2020, he would either have to get injured and end his season prematurely or the Browns run game would have to be totally dominating that stat.

Given the Browns beefed up O-line and the extra targets that have been added, expect Mayfield to look nothing like he did last season when he was scrambling for his life on just about every offensive down.

Mayfield threw for 22 touchdowns last year during the worst season of his football career, so for him to connect for a score at least 24 times with the amount of receiving talent he now has seems like the safest bet in town.

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The Browns could exercise the fifth-year option on his contract in 2022, and if they do, Mayfield would then become an undrafted free agent before the following season in 2023.

Baker Mayfield FAQ

Who Is Baker Mayfield?

Was Mayfield a Walk-On at Two Major Colleges?

What Is the “Baker Mayfield Rule”?

How Good a Player was Mayfield in College?

Why Was Mayfield a Controversial Draft Pick in 2018?

How Talented Is Mayfield as an NFL Quarterback?

Why Did Mayfield Have a Sophomore Slump in 2019?

Does Mayfield Throw a Lot of Interceptions?

Has Mayfield Become Overweight?

Is Case Keenum Now Mayfield’s Backup or Is it the Opposite?

Would Mayfield Be Okay as a Backup QB?

How Have the Browns Used Free Agency and the Draft to Help Mayfield?

Why Is Mayfield Expected to Play Better in 2020?

How Much Will Mayfield Be Paid in 2020?

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AUTHOR

Mike Lukas

1204 Articles

Mike Lukas is a retired standup comedian turned freelance writer now living in Dallas, Texas, originally from Cleveland, Ohio. His love for the game of football and all things Cleveland Browns turned Mike into a pro blogger years ago. Now Mike enjoys writing about all thirty-two NFL teams, hoping to help football gamblers gain a slight edge in their pursuit of the perfect wager. Email: [email protected]

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