When you sign-up through links on our site, we may earn an affiliate commission. Learn more >
The New England Patriots (3-11) are going across the country to face the Denver Broncos (7-7) in a Christmas Eve showdown between AFC foes in NFL Week 16.
The Patriots had a chance to beat the Kansas City Chiefs last week but shot themselves in the foot and ultimately lost by 10. The Broncos, meanwhile, had their worst loss since they allowed the Miami Dolphins to score 70 points a week ago but aren’t totally out of the playoff picture.
We built a same-game parlay for the Patriots vs. Broncos showdown on Christmas Eve in NFL Week 16—let’s see how it looks.
Under 30.5 points
Russell Wilson 1+ passing touchdowns
Ezekiel Elliott 40+ rushing yards
Javonte Williams 40+ rushing yards
The Patriots have the lowest-scoring offense in the league and have only won three games all season. Although the Broncos can be frustrating, they played decent football ever since a 1-5 start and have a winning record at home. We also trust their quarterback and coach more than we do the Patriots.
This is going to be a low-scoring game played in the cold winter night of Denver, Colorado in possible snow. Expecting a shootout is unwise, and the first team to score 10 points might just be the one that wins the game. New England’s offensive woes are juxtaposed by a defense that held its last six opponents to an average of just over 15 points, which is even more reason to back the under.
Wilson isn’t a dynamic playmaker like he used to be, but he has 24 passing touchdowns, while the entire team combined for only six rushing touchdowns all season. They tend to throw the ball when they’re in the red zone and get some easy looks at the end zone with their play-action. Expect them to take their chances through the air even if they mostly run the ball between the 20s.
Elliott ran for 40+ yards in four of his last five games and should be in for a large workload with Rhamondre Stevenson seeming unlikely to suit up. The Broncos give up more rushing yards per game than any team in the NFL (146.9), and this style of game sets up well for rushing props more than it does passing props.
Following the same logic, Williams has a great chance to also get over 40 yards. He cashed this line in seven of his last nine games and should get a hefty workload since he averaged 16.8 carries over his last eight games. The Patriots are second in rushing defense, but Denver is more likely to possess the ball for longer and has the home-field advantage, which is why we’re trusting Williams.
DraftKings Sportsbook - Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets
BetMGM Sportsbook - Get $1,500 in Bonus Bets
Caesars Sportsbook - Get $1,000 Bonus Bet
FanDuel Sportsbook - Bet $5 on Moneyline, Get $150
bet365 Sportsbook - $1,000 Safety Net Bet OR $150 in Bonus Bets
When: Sunday, Dec. 24 @ 6:15/8:15 p.m. MT/ET
Where: Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, CO
TV: NFL Network
Grant is a sports and sports betting journalist who prides himself on delivering breaking news and insightful analyses of the industry. Grant graduated from Virginia Tech in 2021 and is feverishly pursuing his ambitions in the sports betting field.
In his free time, Grant can be found passionately watching sports, doing a workout, or searching for adventure with his friends.More info on Grant Mitchell
© Rebel Penguin ApS 2024 (a subsidiary of Gaming Innovation Group Inc.)
We support responsible gambling. 21+ Only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-Gambler.
WSN.com is run by iGaming Cloud Inc (a Gaming Innovation Group Subsidiary) and is registered with the New Jersey Division of Gaming Enforcement (DGE) under affiliate vendor ID 89744, with the Indiana Gaming Commission (IGC) under certificate of registration number SWR-000148, approved by the Pennsylvania Gaming Control Board as a gaming service provider, under certificate registration number 117656-1, possesses a Vendor Minor sports betting license from the Colorado Limited Gaming Control Commission (account number 94414163), granted a vendor registration number VR007603-20-001 by the Michigan Gaming Control Board, an interim Sports Wagering Supplier license, under license number SWS 066, issued by the West Virginia Lottery Commission, a sports betting vendor registration, under registration number #100400, issued by the Director of Gaming Licensing and Investigations of the Virginia Lottery to operate in the State of Virginia, and a Vendor Registration issued by the Sports Wagering Committee of the Tennessee Education Lottery Corporation.
Advertising disclosure: WSN contains links to online retailers on its website. When people click on our affiliate links and make purchases, WSN earns a commission from our partners, including ESPN and various sportsbooks.