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We’re through Christmas, which means we’re on the eve of the final week of the NFL regular season. Week 17 has arrived, and the New York Jets and Cleveland Browns are kicking it off.
Below, we’ll review the best prop bets for this matchup.
If there’s one wager we’re really in on this week, it’s Njoku scoring a touchdown. In his last three games, he’s caught four touchdowns and has at least 91 receiving yards in two. Quarterback Joe Flacco has made him a favored target.
He’ll go up against a Jets defense that’s been fairly stout all year long despite their lack of offense. Still, they’re allowing almost five catches for 45 yards and 0.53 touchdowns per game to opposing tight ends.
Njoku is receiving plenty of targets, and despite the 0.53 touchdowns per game number, he’s a primary target of Flacco. Look for the Jets to try to hold down wide receiver Amari Cooper after a 265-yard performance in Week 16, leaving more room for Njoku to perform.
If there’s one narrative to follow this season, it’s the Browns defense at home versus on the road.
At home, the Browns defense has been incredible. Opposing quarterbacks that come into Cleveland are averaging 0.9 passing touchdowns per game. That average is 1.3 on the entire season, including away games.
He’s made three appearances this season, attempting 89 passes. He has just one passing touchdown, which came in his lone start this season against the incredibly cushy Washington Commanders. He also has six turnover-worthy plays.
In this one, look for the Jets to get the most out of the rushing attack and avoid putting Siemian in situations where he needs to throw—it could end poorly.
Piggybacking off of what we discussed above, the Browns defense should roll here, combined with the Jets game plan of hitting the rushing attack more.
At home, the Browns allow just 110.5 passing yards per game to opposing quarterbacks. The average is 160.1 on the season, which is still less than the line here.
The Jets are 7.5-point underdogs, so they may need to throw at some point, but limit your faith in Siemian’s ability, even if there’s garbage time. This Browns defense is relentless at home, and we’re riding that here.
Where: Cleveland Browns Stadium, Cleveland, OH
When: Thursday, Dec. 28, 8:15 p.m. ET
How to Watch: AMAZON
After graduating from the University of New Hampshire with a BA in Journalism, Richard Janvrin has been covering iGaming and sports betting since December 2018. Richard has covered betting at Bleacher Report, Gambling.com, The Game Day, Forbes, and more.More info on Richard Janvrin
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