After re-tooling their roster throughout the offseason with multiple star powered acquisitions, the Nashville Predators were projected to be one of the contenders for the Stanley Cup heading into the season. Now 11 games in, the Predators are currently at the bottom of the Central division standings with a 4-6-1 record. With the Kings defense excelling at smothering shot attempts, the Predators offense may need to rely on Roman Josi to help stretch out their coverage.
Shortly after their puck drop, we turn our attention towards the New Jersey Devils and Edmonton Oilers as Edmonton looks to continue their win streak while Connor McDavid is out with an injury. After getting the benefit of masking McDavid’s loss of production against the reeling Calgary Flames, the Oilers now have to go against a much tougher back line as the Devils defense ranks top-5 in Expected Goals Against.
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While the Nashville Predators defense has yet to play at a competitive level, their revamped offense continues to climb up the board in Expected Goals as they currently rank sixth overall in Expected Goals For in All Situations. More intriguing yet, Steven Stamkos has yet to make an impact since signing with the Preds as he enters Monday’s contest against the Los Angeles Kings with just 5 total points and a +/- of -9.
With the Kings defense ranked top six in Expected Goals Against in All Situations, the Preds surrounding cast will need to to be aggressive in their efforts of pressuring their net to help pull coverage away from their star talent. Their defenseman Roman Josi has been doing just that this season, entering the contest averaging 4.45 Shots on Goal per game. With Nashville’s front line expected to struggle, expect Josi to continue to generate a high amount of Shots on Goal in an effort to scramble the Kings coverage.
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On the other side of the ice, the Los Angeles Kings offense have not had the same success as their defense as their front line currently ranks 17th overall in Expected Goals For in All Situations. Even amidst their struggles, Kevin Fiala has had no issue with generating a high amount of Expected Goals as he currently averages 0.43 Expected Goals per game. With Nashville’s defense struggling to defend at a league average rate, expect Fiala to continue to find himself with favorable scoring opportunities.
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With Connor McDavid reported to be out for 2-3 weeks while nursing an ankle injury, it was expected the Edmonton Oilers offense would regress while without his high level of production. Fortunately for Edmonton, their offense got the opportunity to continue to play at a high rate while without him in their last contest as Calgary’s defense has regressed down to 17th overall in Expected Goals Against in All Situations.
While their 4-2 win was concrete after generating an Expected Goal of 3.45, regression looms large as the Oilers offense faces a much tougher back line with the New Jersey Devils defense ranking 5th overall in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. Jacob Markstrom has also bounced back after a cold stretch of play, now averaging just 2.62 Goals Against per game and a Save Percentage of .907. Should Jake Allen get the starting nod instead, then reduce the amount risked on this prop.
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Not only does the New Jersey Devils defense rank top-5 in Expected Goals Against, but their offense also ranks near the top of the board in Expected Goals For in All Situations. Nico Hischier has played a major role in their high marks on offense, entering the contest averaging an Expected Goal of 0.57. With the Oilers offense poised to regress, the Devils may receive an uptick in their number of offensive possessions. This may lead to more scoring opportunities, increasing the chances of Hischier scoring his 11th goal of the season.
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