Premier League 2021/22 Top Four Predictions, Odds and Picks

Top Four Predictions

  • Finishing in the top four in the Premier League is a prize worth fighting for
  • Manchester City and Chelsea lead the race for Champions League qualification
  • As many as five other sides could be involved in the race for the top four

Bet on Premier League, Here!

The Premier League 2021/22 season beings on 13 August 2021 and will conclude on 22 May 2022. Each team in the division will play 38 games, with three points available for a win and one point for a tie. The four teams with the most points will qualify for next season’s edition of the Champions League.

Manchester City are overwhelming favorites to finish in the top four, followed by Chelsea, Liverpool and Manchester United. Arsenal, Tottenham Hotspur and Leicester City will also hope to qualify for the Champions League.

Premier League 2021/22 Top Four Odds

Odds taken on 13 September 2021 from DraftKings Sportsbook

Team Odds
Manchester City -3300
BET NOW
Chelsea -500
BET NOW
Liverpool -450
BET NOW
Crystal Palace -350
BET NOW
Leicester City +450
BET NOW
Arsenal +450
BET NOW
Tottenham Hotspur +550
BET NOW
Everton +1100
BET NOW
West Ham United +1200
BET NOW
Leeds United +1200
BET NOW
Aston Villa +1600
BET NOW

Manchester City, Chelsea, Liverpool and Manchester United are the favorites to win the Premier League title and, by extension, the best-placed team to qualify for the Champions League. Chelsea, Liverpool and Manchester United will expect to join them.

Leicester City have come close in each of the last two seasons, finishing fifth in both 2019/20 and 2020/21. Brendan Rodgers’ side could go one better this time around, and there is certainly nothing to suggest they are about to fall away. The Foxes look good as a value bet.

Simply finishing closer to the top four would probably be considered a success by fans of both Arsenal and Tottenham Hotspur. The likes of Everton, West Ham United and Leeds United are clear outsiders.

Who is most likely to win the Premier League 2021/22?

The odds for the top four differ from those for the Premier League title, but the order is usually the same. Manchester City are considered the favorite to win the Premier League this season, followed by Chelsea, Liverpool and Manchester United.

What Happens to the Top Four Teams in the Premier League?

The top four teams in the Premier League automatically qualify for the group stage of the following season’s Champions League. It is therefore a prize worth fighting for, even though the goal of many clubs at the start of the season is to win the Premier League title.

In previous seasons, the top three teams automatically reached the group stage of the Champions League, and the fourth-place finisher entered the qualifying phase. That changed at the start of the 2017/18 campaign when UEFA handed more automatic qualification spots to Europe’s biggest leagues, including England’s top flight.

Which Clubs Have the Most Finishes In the Premier League Top Four?

Club Number of Finishes
Manchester United 25
Arsenal 21
Liverpool 18
Chelsea 18
Manchester City 11
Tottenham Hotspur 6
Newcastle United 5
Blackburn Rovers 3
Leeds United 3
Aston Villa 2

Manchester United have finished in the top four of the Premier League 25 times out of a possible 29. They did not miss out at all during Alex Ferguson’s time in charge but failed to make the cut in 2014, 2016, 2017, and 2019.

Arsenal remains second in the list despite a failure to finish in the top four since 2016 – Liverpool and Chelsea are quickly catching them up. Manchester City, meanwhile, have finished in the top four for 11 seasons in a row. Tottenham Hotspur narrowly edges out Newcastle United in sixth thanks to their success in the 2010s.

The 10 teams listed above have finished in the top four on more than one occasion. In addition, Norwich City, Everton, Leicester City, and Nottingham Forest have secured one top-four finish each.


Editor’s pick:


Who Are the Top Four in the Premier League?

The ‘top four’, more commonly known as the ‘big four’, was a phrase often used in the 2000s to describe the Premier League’s strongest quartet: Manchester United, Arsenal, Chelsea and Liverpool.

Between 2003/04 and 2008/09 inclusive, 23 out of 24 top-four places went to these sides, with Everton the only other team to break into the Champions League places in 2004/05. That came at the expense of Liverpool, who finished fifth.

In recent years it has become more common to refer to the Premier League’s ‘big six’. Manchester City joined the elite from around 2010/11, when they secured their first top-four finish. Tottenham Hotspur made it a sextet when they finished fourth or above in four consecutive seasons between 2015/16 and 2018/19.

Was the Premier League Top Four Always a Goal for Clubs?

It is only in the last 20 years that Premier League clubs have actively targeted a top-four finish. Even a decade ago Arsene Wenger, the long-serving Arsenal manager, was criticized in some quarters for prioritizing a top-four place over trophies like the FA Cup and the League Cup.

In the Premier League’s debut campaign in 1992/93, Manchester United won the title and were the only club in the division to qualify for the Champions League. Second place only offered a pathway to Europe’s elite competition in 1996/97, and the top three qualified for the tournament in 1998/99. The 2001/02 season was the first in which each of the top four finishers secured a spot in the Champions League.

It was around that time that fans and pundits began to talk up the race to qualify for the top four. The Champions League has continued to grow in stature since then, and players, managers and chairmen no longer feel any sense of embarrassment to admit that they are targeting the top four.

Was the Premier League Called the Premiership?

The Premier League was called the Premiership for sponsorship reasons between 1993 and 2007. It has been known as the Premier League ever since.

How Can I Watch the Premier League on TV?

Soccer fans based in the United States can watch the Premier League on NBC. Kick-off times tend to range from 7.30 AM to 3.00 PM (EDT).

Bet on Premier League, Here!

More Premier League Predictions & Odds

Chelsea vs Manchester City Prediction, Odds, Picks
Chelsea vs Manchester City Prediction, Odds, Picks
The two favorites to win the Premier League title meet on Saturday, as Manchester City seek to avenge their defeat by Chelsea in the Champions League final …
23 September | 09:42 | Greg Lea
Tottenham Hotspur vs Chelsea Prediction, Odds, Picks
Tottenham Hotspur vs Chelsea Prediction, Odds, Picks
Two London rivals go head-to-head on Sunday, and although both have similar records so far this season, the mood is brighter at Chelsea than at Tottenham Hotspur.
17 September | 10:15 | Greg Lea
Leicester City vs Manchester City Prediction, Odds, Picks
Leicester City vs Manchester City Prediction, Odds, Picks
The Premier League is back after the international break, and the defending champions Manchester City face a tricky trip to the King Power Stadium to face Leicester City …
9 September | 09:31 | Greg Lea

Greg Lea

Expert on Soccer

Greg Lea is a freelance soccer journalist from London. He is the former editor of The Set Pieces, and has contributed to the Guardian, FourFourTwo, and ESPN. A Crystal Palace fan, he is a long-time subscriber to the belief that it's the taking part that counts. Email: [email protected]