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Premier League Top Four Odds, Predictions, Picks 2024

Written by: Greg Lea
Updated April 17, 2024
10 min read
  • The Premier League 2023/24 season began on August 11 and will end on May 19

  • The campaign will feature 38 rounds of fixtures spread over more than nine months

  • Several teams could be in contention for a top-four finish in the 2023/24 season

The Premier League 2023/24 top-four race promises to be a thrilling one as England’s top clubs battle it out for a place in the Champions League. Fifth place could be enough to qualify this time around, but as things stand only the top four are guaranteed a spot in the expanded tournament.

The season got underway on August 11 and will conclude on May 19. Every team will play each other home and away across 38 rounds of fixtures, as is customary in the Premier League.

Which clubs will finish in the top four, and which will miss out? Let’s look at the odds before we take a broader look at the battle for the top four.

Premier League 2023/24 Top Four Odds

The odds for the Premier League 2023/24 top four are provided by the Betway sportsbook. Bet $25 and get $150 if your first bet wins.

Premier League 2023/24 Top FourOdds
Aston Villa-200
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Tottenham Hotspur+163
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Newcastle United+6600
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Manchester United+10000
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Chelsea+25000
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Top 4 Predictions

Who Will Finish in the Premier League Top Four 2023/24?

For an analysis of Manchester City, Liverpool, and Arsenal, check out our Premier League Title Winner piece.

Aston Villa (-200) at Betway

After an eventful weekend in the Premier League, Aston Villa are the new favorites to take fourth with the best online sportsbooks. A surprise 2-0 defeat of Arsenal on Sunday moved them three points clear of Tottenham Hotspur, although the north Londoners do have a game in hand.

Villa are enjoying a magnificent season under Unai Emery and they also have a slight goal difference advantage over Spurs. There will no doubt be many more twists and turns to come in the race for the top four, though.

Tottenham Hotspur (+163) at Betway

Tottenham were thrashed 4-0 by Newcastle United a day before Aston Villa overcame Arsenal. That result was damaging for their goal difference, with Ange Postecoglou’s side now three behind Villa’s +19.

Spurs have a tricky run-in, with games against all three Premier League title contenders - Arsenal, Liverpool and Manchester City - to come, plus a duel with an improving Chelsea side. Tottenham have plenty of work to do in their bid for a top-four finish.

Newcastle United (+6600) at Betway

Newcastle United punched above their weight to finish in the top four last season, but there has been a reversion to the mean this time around. An injury crisis has not helped matters, but Eddie Howe’s team have also gone backwards - particularly defensively.

However, a recent rally has boosted their hopes of qualifying for the Europa League, with the Magpies having taken 10 points from the last 12 available. However, a 13-point gap means they need a miracle to finish in the top four from here.

Manchester United (+10000) at Betway

This has been a season to forget for Manchester United, who crashed out of the Champions League in the group stage and will not be qualifying for next season’s edition of Europe’s premier tournament.

Erik ten Hag’s side are on a four-match winless streak in the Premier League, leaving them 13 points adrift of the top four. United are giving up too many chances to their opponents, although they do have a kinder run of fixtures on the horizon.

Chelsea (+25000) at Betway

Chelsea thrashed Everton 6-0 in their last game, rising up to ninth place. A victory in their game in hand would see Mauricio Pochettino’s team move up to seventh, so they still have something to play for in 2023/24.

The top four is beyond them, though. Even if they were to win all their remaining games, the Blues would only be on 68 points - just five more than Aston Villa, the team currently in the final guaranteed Champions League spot.

What Happens to the Top Four Teams in the Premier League?

The top four teams in the Premier League automatically qualify for the group stage of the following season’s Champions League. It is therefore a prize worth fighting for, even though the goal of many clubs at the start of the season is to win the Premier League title.

In previous seasons, the top three teams automatically reached the group stage of the Champions League, and the fourth-place finisher entered the qualifying phase. 

That changed at the start of the 2017/18 campaign when UEFA handed more automatic qualification spots to Europe’s biggest leagues, including England’s top flight.

Which Clubs Have the Most Finishes in the Premier League Top Four?

ClubNumber of Finishes
Manchester United26
Arsenal22
Chelsea19
Liverpool19
Manchester City13
Tottenham Hotspur7
Newcastle United6
Blackburn Rovers3
Leeds United3
Aston Villa2

When it comes to winning the title and finishing in the top four, Manchester United are the most successful side in Premier League history in that regard. Arsenal moved further clear of the chasing pack in second thanks to their second-place finish last term.

Manchester City are still relatively low down this list due to the fact that their first Premier League top-four finish came in 2010/11. They will probably continue to close the gap on the teams above them in the next few seasons.

Premier League Top Four FAQ

Who Are the Top Four in the Premier League?

Was the Premier League Top Four Always a Goal for Clubs?

Was the Premier League Called the Premiership?

How Can I Watch the Premier League on TV?

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AUTHOR

Greg Lea

786 Articles

Greg Lea is a freelance soccer journalist from London. He is the former editor of The Set Pieces, and has contributed to the Guardian, FourFourTwo, and ESPN. A Crystal Palace fan, he is a long-time subscriber to the belief that it's the taking part that counts. Email: [email protected]

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