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UFC 274: Oliveira vs Gaethje Picks, Predictions, Odds

Written by: Ryan Bristlon
Updated October 14, 2022
12 min read
  • Two title fights headline UFC 274 this Saturday
  • Lightweights Michael Chandler and Tony Ferguson do battle
  • Fan favorite Donald Cerrone returns to action

UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje

The odds for this match are provided by the DraftKings Sportsbook. Click on the odds below to head to DraftKings and place a bet.

Fighter Odds
(C) Charles Oliveira -165
Justin Gaethje +145
Fighter Odds
(C) Rose Namajunas -195
Carla Esparza +165
Fighter Odds
Michael Chandler -410
Tony Ferguson +310
Fighter Odds
Mauricio Rua +200
Ovince St. Preux -250
Fighter Odds
Donald Cerrone -165
Joe Lauzon +145

UFC 274: Oliveira vs Gaethje Picks & Predictions

(C) Charles Oliveira vs Justin Gaethje – Lightweight Championship

Charles Oliveira (-165)

(C) Rose Namajunas vs Carla Esparza – Women’s Strawweight Championship

Carla Esparza (+165)

Michael Chandler vs Tony Ferguson – Lightweight Division

Michael Chandler (-410)

Mauricio Rua vs Ovince St. Preux – Light Heavyweight Division

Mauricio Rua (+200)

Donald Cerrone vs Joe Lauzon – Lightweight Division

Donald Cerrone (-165)

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Charles Oliveira Vs Justin Gaethje

(C) Charles Oliveira vs Justin Gaethje – Lightweight Championship

Charles Oliveira TALE OF THE TAPE Justin Gaethje
32 Age 33
5 ft. 10 in. Height 5 ft. 11 in.
74 in. Reach 70 in.
32-8,1 no-contest Record 23-3

Former interim lightweight champion Justin Gaethje gets his second chance at undisputed gold this Saturday when he takes on champion Charles Oliveira – who is making his second title defense since winning the vacated championship.

Gaethje receives this title shot, surprisingly, coming off of only one win – a unanimous decision over Michael Chandler that took place last November at UFC 268.

The champion is riding a ten-fight winning streak that most recently saw him defend his title against number-one contender Dustin Poirier – whom Oliveira defeated via third-round submission.

Oliveira has a third-degree black belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu and holds the record for most submission wins (15) in UFC history.

Gaethje will stand one inch taller but the champion will have a significant four-inch reach advantage over his opponent.

To find out how to place your bets for this UFC 274 main event, check out our ultimate UFC betting guide to get started.

(C) Rose Namajunas vs Carla Esparza – Women’s Strawweight Championship

Rose Namajunas TALE OF THE TAPE Carla Esparza
29 Age 34
5 ft. 5 in. Height 5 ft. 1 in.
65 in. Reach 63 in.
11-4 Record 18-6

These two women last fought each other in the TUF Finale in 2014 to crown the first-ever women’s strawweight championship, with Carla Esparza taking the win via third-round submission.

Heading into the title rematch, both women are riding winning streaks. The champ Rose Namajunas has won her last three in a row – most recently defeating Zhang Weili via split-decision last November.

Esparza most recently defeated Yan Xiaonan via second-round TKO. The win marked her fifth in a row.

The champion will have a four-inch advantage in height, a two-inch advantage in reach, and is listed as the -195 favorite.

Michael Chandler vs Tony Ferguson – Lightweight Division

Michael Chandler TALE OF THE TAPE Tony Ferguson
36 Age 38
5 ft. 8 in. Height 6 ft.
71 in. Reach 76.5 in.
22-7 Record 25-6

Since joining the UFC, Michael Chandler has gone just 1-2 but that stretch includes two post-fight bonuses and a shot at the vacant lightweight title.

His last fight came against Justin Gaethje at UFC 268 – an instant classic that was deemed fight of the night. Unfortunately, Chandler lost the decision.

Tony Ferguson, a former interim champion, had won 12-fights in a row before suffering a TKO loss to Justin Gaethje in 2020. He has now dropped three straight fights – most recently losing a decision to Beneil Dariush last May.

Ferguson stands four-inches taller than Chandler and will have a 5.5-inch reach advantage. However, Chandler will enter the octagon Saturday at -410; the largest betting favorite on the main card.

Mauricio Rua vs Ovince St. Preux – Light Heavyweight Division

Mauricio Rua TALE OF THE TAPE Ovince St. Preux
40 Age 39
6 ft. 1 in. Height 6 ft. 3 in.
76 in. Reach 80 in.
27-12-1 Record 25-16

Two UFC veterans do battle for the first time in their careers, with both fighters needing a win.

Former champion Mauricio Rua is coming off of a second-round TKO loss to Paul Craig that took place in November 2020. He is 2-2-1 in his last five fights.

Ovince St. Preux is 2-5 over his last seven fights, which included two heavyweight bouts. His most recent fight took place in the heavyweight division against Tanner Boser last June. St. Preux lost the fight via second-round TKO.

St. Preux is the longer and taller man and is, somewhat surprisingly, the -250 favorite to win.

Donald Cerrone vs Joe Lauzon – Lightweight Division

Donald Cerrone TALE OF THE TAPE Joe Lauzon
39 Age 37
6 ft. Height 5 ft. 10 in.
73 in. Reach 71.5 in.
36-16, 2 no-contest Record 28-15

Two legendary Brazilian jiu-jitsu black belts kick off the main card in a fight that could see the loser call it quits.

The elder Donald Cerrone has lost his last five fights in a row (with one no-contest thrown in) – most recently losing via first-round TKO to Alex Morono last May.

Joe Lauzon has not competed in MMA since 2019. His last fight was a first-round TKO win over Jonathan Pearce but he had lost three straight prior to that.

Cerrone has the edge in height and reach and, despite the losses, has stayed more active in the sport. Likely due to these facts, plus his edge when it comes to kickboxing, he is listed as the -165 favorite.

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How to Watch UFC 274: Oliveira vs Gaethje

UFC 274 Information
Event UFC 274: Oliveira vs Gaethje
Location Footprint Center, Phoenix, Arizona
Time Saturday, May 7, 10PM EST
How to watch PPV, UFC Fight Pass, ESPN+
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Ryan Bristlon

435 Articles

Ryan Bristlon is a Canadian writer currently residing in Hamilton, Ontario. He studied print and broadcast journalism at Humber College and has been a lifelong fan of hockey, the NHL in general, and UFC.

Email: [email protected]

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