The four-time World Cup champions have reached the knockout stage of the tournament for the first time since their 2014 title-winning campaign. Awaiting them in the Round of 32 is Paraguay, which advanced as the third-placed team in Group D after collecting four points in the group stage.
This Round of 32 clash sees Germany enter as overwhelming favorites, with pre-match projections giving them roughly a 73% chance of securing victory in regulation time.
Location: Boston Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts, United States
Date & Time: Monday, June 29, 4:30 pm ET
How to Watch: FOX
| Germany vs. Paraguay | FanDuel | DraftKings | BetMGM | Caesars |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | -280 | -255 | -256 | -275 |
| Draw | +400 | +400 | +380 | +375 |
| Away | +800 | +700 | +675 | +700 |
| Disclaimer: The odds listed in this table are accurate at the time of writing and will fluctuate as game day approaches. | ||||
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Below are our three top World Cup predictions and tips for Germany vs. Paraguay, including two straight bets and one same-game parlay.
Germany moneyline (3-way)
Die Mannschaft are pegged as the heavy favourites, which will most likely see them feature in the Round of 16. After a shocking defeat to Ecuador, Julian Nagelsmann and his men will be chomping at the bit to get back into winning ways, which they did in their opening two World Cup fixtures.
With quality across every area of the pitch, Germany has the tools to overwhelm the opposition with the individual quality of its players. Germany will have moments when they dominate possession and create scoring opportunities, which is a bad spot for Paraguay to be in, since they have struggled to generate much offence so far in this World Cup.
Deniz Undav to score or assist anytime
During the group stage, it didn't seem to matter whether Undav started on the bench. He emerged as one of Germany's most influential players across the three matches, which is why we are backing him to register a goal contribution on Monday.
During his 86 minutes of play throughout the opening three contests, the VfB Stuttgart employee has tallied three goals and a pair of assists. With his blistering displays on the pitch, especially against Curaçao and the Ivory Coast, there are calls for him to feature in the starting XI, which will increase the likelihood he will ink his name on the stat sheet.
Jamal Musiala & Felix Nmecha to each register two or more shot attempts
Germany will take an attacking approach, with Musiala and Nmecha expected to be at the heart of their success thanks to their active boots. The pair haven’t been shy about taking their opportunities when available; it also helps they have a high percentage to start, as they both did during the three group stage affairs.
In order of the number of matches played, Jamal Musiala catalogued (three, two and one) total shot attempts, while Felix Nmecha took (Four, two and two) throughout the group stage. This Round of 32 tilt will see them involved once again, and they are expected not to shy away from setting their sights on the target.
On their way to topping Group E, Germany thrashed World Cup debutants Curaçao, suffered against a stingy Ivory Coast, but came back to steal all three points, clinching first place. After pouncing on an early lead, The National Eleven let Ecuador back into the game, finishing behind in a 2-1 setback. The defeat didn’t hurt Germany’s ranking, as they get to star in their first-round knockout game since their 2014 victory.
There are a lot of positives going for Germany; the most encouraging sign is that their top players are contributing on the scoreboard or in other effective ways on attack. The backend could be their Achilles heel, as Germany has now conceded a goal in nine consecutive World Cup matches; their last clean sheet came during their 2014 triumph over Argentina.
Germany could be without up to two defensive line players, as Nico Schlotterbeck suffered a ligament injury against the Ivory Coast. Questionable to play is right wing-back Nathaniel Brown, who had a solid club season with Eintracht Frankfurt in the Bundesliga, picking up eight goal contributions this term.
After getting trounced against the co-hosts to kick off their tournament, Paraguay answered back, securing four points over Türkiye, who won down a man and Australia to finish third overall in Group D. Los Guaraníes ' defence came through to help their side reach the knockout stage, collecting two clean sheets in their final two matches after conceding four versus the USMNT.
Gustavo Alfaro and his squad continued their impressive run by guiding Paraguay out of the group stage for just the sixth time in the nation's history. In each of their previous five World Cup appearances, Paraguay successfully advanced to the knockout rounds.
For Paraguay, Julio Enciso has become one of the country's brightest young stars and is expected to play a major role once again on Monday. Facing a heavyweight German side, the attacking forward will need to impose his creativity in the final third on the pitch, as he did with RC Strasbourg this campaign, collecting 12 goals and nine assists in 42 outings with the Ligue 1 outfit. So far, the 22-year-old has a pair of assists in this edition of the tournament.
The two opponents in Monday’s round of 32 clash have previously met twice, first in 2002 during the World Cup and again in 2013 in a friendly; on both occasions, Paraguay failed to get their noses in front.
Germany should look to control possession and pin Paraguay deep in their own half. Crisp, quick passing can stretch Paraguay's compact defense and create openings. By remaining patient, organized, and applying constant pressure, Germany can gradually wear Paraguay down and increase their chances of finding the breakthrough.
Paraguay, on the other hand, staying compact and limiting space against Germany is a massive key to success. Challenging Germany's attackers and disrupting their rhythm is the best course of action to swing the momentum their way. The longer Paraguay keeps the score level, the more aggressive Germany may become, leaving gaps for Paraguay to pounce on in counterattacks.
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