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|Match Result and Four or More Goals||Odds|
Back Bayern Munich to win and four goals or more in the Caesars sportsbook.
Bayer Leverkusen are a high-scoring team and they could contribute to an entertaining encounter.
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Bayern Munich were held by Eintracht Frankfurt until the 71st minute of their game at the Deutsche Bank Park last weekend, but a goal from Leroy Sane earned them all three points.
It was a big win which only became bigger after Borussia Dortmund were held to a 1-1 draw with Augsburg the following day.
Bayern are now eight points clear at the top of the Bundesliga. Their goal difference is vastly superior, which means their lead is essentially the equivalent of nine points. If the title race is not already over yet, it surely will be if Bayern beat Leverkusen this weekend.
Saturday’s clash at the Allianz Arena is one of Bayern’s toughest remaining fixtures. Borussia Dortmund still have to visit Munich, while Julian Nagelsmann’s side will also face fifth-placed Freiburg, sixth-placed Hoffenheim, and seventh-placed Union Berlin before the end of the campaign.
If Dortmund are to finish top of the table, they will need Bayern to lose three or four matches between now and the middle of May.
Leverkusen are certainly good enough to beat Bayern on their day, but Nagelsmann’s side will expect to get the job done in front of their own fans. Bayern’s performances have not been completely convincing of late.
They only narrowly beat Eintracht Frankfurt last weekend, before which they were held to a 1-1 draw by Red Bull Salzburg in the Champions League. They also lost 4-2 to Bochum last month in one of the most surprising results of the European season.
Still, Bayern’s recent results have only been interpreted as a wobble because of how imperious they usually are. Nagelsmann’s men have lost only two of their last 15 fixtures.
They are one of the top three favorites to win the Champions League. And they are now within touching distance of another Bundesliga crown.
Bayer Leverkusen are having a fine campaign themselves. A sixth-place finish last term was a little disappointing given that Leverkusen had spent much of the season in the top four, before a late-season drop-off led to Peter Bosz’s departure and the appointment of Hannes Wolf as caretaker manager.
Wolf was never likely to be handed the reins on a permanent basis, and Leverkusen moved to install Gerardo Seoane in the BayArena dugout almost as soon as the season finished.
Seoane has done an excellent job so far. Leverkusen are four points clear of fifth place at present. It is far too early for them to begin celebrating Champions League qualification, but they are certainly on course to book a spot in Europe’s premier competition.
Leverkusen have long prided themselves on an attack-minded philosophy, and Seoane has proved to be a fine stylistic fit. His team have scored 63 goals in their 24 games to date – an average of 2.63 per match.
There is certainly room for improvement defensively, with only five teams having conceded more goals, but a top-four finish would be a fine achievement in Seoane’s first season in charge of the club – and his first in a top-five European league.
Bayern ground out a victory over Eintracht Frankfurt last time out, but there is reason to believe this will be a much more entertaining affair. For starters, Bayern are particularly free-scoring in front of their own fans at the Allianz Arena. Their three Champions League home games yielded 13 goals.
In the Bundesliga they have found the net 37 times in 12 matches on home turf – more than three per fixture on average.
As mentioned above, Leverkusen are also adept at putting the ball between the posts.
Seoane has them playing proactive, front-foot soccer, and while they will struggle to dominate possession against Bayern away from home, they will look to pose a threat in transition.
Bayern did keep a clean sheet against Frankfurt, but that was their first in five league games and they are yet to completely get to grips with the back three that has recently been introduced.
Nagelsmann’s side should prove too strong for Leverkusen, though.
Dortmund’s dropped points last weekend has given Bayern an opportunity to in effect wrap up the title in early March.
They will look to make a quick start against Leverkusen, and while they might not necessarily be able to prevent the visitors finding the net, they have enough firepower to outscore any other team in the division.
At +120, a home win and at least four goals is the way to go here.
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|Bayern Munich vs Bayer Leverkusen Information|
|Teams||Bayern Munich vs Bayer Leverkusen|
|Location||Allianz Arena, Munich, Germany|
|Time||Saturday, 5 March 2022, 9.30 AM EST|
|How to watch||ESPN|
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Greg Lea is a freelance soccer journalist from London. He is the former editor of The Set Pieces, and has contributed to the Guardian, FourFourTwo, and ESPN. A Crystal Palace fan, he is a long-time subscriber to the belief that it's the taking part that counts. Email: [email protected]More info on Greg Lea
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