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Match Spread | Odds |
Bayern Munich -1.5 | -220 BET NOW |
Bayern Munich -2.5 | +105 BET NOW |
Bayern Munich – 3.5 | +245 BET NOW |
Back Bayern Munich -2.5 in the spread. That would require the Bavarians to win by at least three clear goals, which looks distinctly possible given the form they are in right now.
It is not a surprise to see Bayern Munich winning the majority of matches they contest. That was the case even under Carlo Ancelotti and Niko Kovac, two managers who struggled at the Allianz Arena and were ultimately sacked. The fact that Julian Nagelsmann has won nine of his first 10 matches is therefore not especially remarkable, as good a record as it is. More noteworthy is the manner of Bayern’s performances under their new boss.
The German champions are playing the best soccer in the world right now. There is a long way to go before the prizes are handed out at the end of the campaign, but at this moment in time, it is hard to think of a team that could live with Bayern in this form. That is true in both the Champions League, where they thrashed Dynamo Kyiv 5-0 this week having already beaten Barcelona 3-0 on matchday one, and the Bundesliga. It is surely a matter of if, not when Bayern win their 10th consecutive German title.
The team has a fine balance to it right now, but it is impossible not to be drawn towards Bayern’s attack. Nagelsmann’s side have scored 46 goals in their 10 games this term. Twenty-three of those have come in the Bundesliga, which is a record in a manager’s first six games in charge of a club in the German top tier.
Robert Lewandowski continues to amaze upfront; the evergreen Pole has scored 13 goals in nine outings to date. Leroy Sane is back to his best on one flank and Serge Gnabry has also stepped up his game from last season. Crucially, Bayern’s attacking output has not come at the expense of domestic solidity: they are yet to concede in the Champions League and have let in only five goals in six Bundesliga encounters.
There was an unprecedented degree of managerial change in the Bundesliga over the summer, with seven of last season’s top eight under new leadership. Yet whereas Nagelsmann has already made an impression at Bayern, the man who will be in the opposite dugout on Sunday has had a sticky start to his Eintracht Frankfurt tenure.
Oliver Glasner did a tremendous job at Wolfsburg. After finishing seventh in his first season at the Volkswagen Arena, the former LASK head coach guided the Wolves into the Champions League last term. It was perhaps a little surprising that he decided to move on rather than lead his former club in Europe’s principal competition, but Wolfsburg’s loss appeared to be Frankfurt’s gain.
That has not proved to be the case so far, though. Glasner got off to an inauspicious start with a DFB-Pokal defeat by lowly Waldhof Mannheim, and there has not been a great deal of improvement since then. Eintracht have lost just one match in the Bundesliga, but they are one of only three teams yet to win a game. A record of five draws in six games illustrates that Eintracht are struggling to break down stubborn opposition. With only six goals to their name, they are yet to replace the scoring prowess of Andre Silva, who joined RB Leipzig in the summer.
Glasner is a defense-first coach and his Wolfsburg side were never free-scoring. That was not a problem given how good their defensive record was, but Eintracht have only kept one clean sheet up to now. It is fair to say that Glasner has not had as smooth a start as Nagelsmann.
Eintracht, in fairness, have not done too badly at the back despite the lack of clean sheets: since a 5-2 thrashing by Borussia Dortmund on the opening weekend, they have conceded only four goals in five games. The underlying data is also relatively favorable. FBref shows that Eintracht have the fifth-best defensive record in the league in terms of expected goals against.
The problem this weekend is that they will be coming up against a formidable Bayern attack. Nagelsmann’s side have blown away virtually every team they have faced, and it is hard to see this game ending in anything other than a comfortable home victory. Eintracht’s struggles going forward do not bode well for a match in which they will be starved of possession and restricted to only occasional attacking bursts.
As one would expect, the odds on a simple Bayern win are not particularly enticing. It is best to look to other markets when the Bavarians are at home in the Bundesliga, and the spread is the optimum choice here. Back Bayern to beat Eintracht with a 2-5 handicap.
Bayern Munich vs Eintracht Frankfurt Information | |
Teams | Bayern Munich vs Eintracht Frankfurt |
Location | Allianz Arena, Munich, Germany |
Time | Sunday, 3 October 2021, 11.30 AM EDT |
How to watch | ESPN |
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