Bayern Munich are starting to pile the pressure on Union Berlin in the Bundesliga
Julian Nagelsmann’s side are looking to end the first part of the campaign on top
Werder Bremen are on the cusp of the European qualification places after 13 games
The odds for Bayern Munich vs Werder Bremen are from the DraftKings sportsbook, where a deposit bonus worth up to $1000 is available right now.
The odds might not be spectacular, but we fancy this bet to come through as the German giants seek to be crowned unofficial ‘winter champions'.
Back Bayern Munich to win and both teams to score on Tuesday. (-115)
It was not particularly surprising that Bayern Munich’s trip to Hertha Berlin on Saturday featured five goals, but few would have expected them to be divided pretty evenly between the two teams. A 3-2 victory made for a closer match than Bayern anticipated, but the bottom line is that the champions extended their winning streak to four matches.
It looked like a comfortable assignment for the champions, who remain the strong favorites to win the Bundesliga title with the best online sportsbooks. Jamal Musiala opened the scoring for Bayern in the 12th minute, before a quick-fire double from Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting seemingly put the visitors to the capital in an unassailable position.
However, Hertha scored twice before half-time to make the match a contest. Bayern successfully held off the hosts’ attempt to complete what would have been an extraordinary (and morale-boosting for the relegation battlers) comeback, but the result was not safe until the final whistle sounded.
The story of the game was Choupo-Moting’s brace. Having begun the campaign without a recognized center-forward, Julian Nagelsmann turned to the former Stoke City man after a patchy run of form. He is clearly not in the class of Robert Lewandowski, his predecessor at the Allianz Arena, but Choupo-Moting has been superb of late.
His double in Berlin means he has now scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions, including games in the Bundesliga, DFB-Pokal, and the Champions League. Not bad for a man who could easily have left Bayern in the summer.
Naglesmann deserves credit, too, for switching things up after Bayern went on that four-match winless streak. The champions have now won four on the bounce and five of the last six, and head into the midweek round of fixtures on top of the table after Union Berlin slipped up on Sunday.
To understand how compact much of the Bundesliga table is right now, consider the case of Werder Bremen. Back-to-back wins at the start of October lifted them up to fifth place in the standings, just outside the top four. Then two defeats on the bounce sent them down to 11th, in the bottom half of the table.
Werder have since won successive matches again to rise up to seventh, where only one point separates them from RB Leipzig in the Europa Conference League qualification spot. Their latest victory came over Schalke on Saturday.
Goals either side of half-time from Niclas Fullkrug and Marvin Ducksch put Ole Werner’s side in a commanding position, and even though Dominick Drexler struck in the 89th minute to set up in a very finish, Werder held on for all three points in front of their own fans at the Weser-Stadion.
Although they are an established Bundesliga name, Werder only got promoted back to the top tier last term. Werner’s team could actually benefit from that. As long as they finish comfortably clear of the drop zone, this will be a successful season for Werder. Anything more, such as a challenge for the European spots, would be a bonus. That takes the pressure off.
A trip to the Allianz Arena could bring Werder crashing back down to earth, but they have shown enough this season to suggest they can at least make Bayern work hard for their victory on Tuesday. With just one away defeat to their name so far, Werder are one of the toughest teams for a home side to face.
Ultimately, though, we fancy Bayern to get the job done in their final Bundesliga home game until January 24, when Koln will make the trip to Munich. Since a 4-0 thrashing of Bayer Leverkusen at the end of September, Bayern have scored at least two goals in each of their 11 matches, including Champions League meetings with Inter and Barcelona.
Bayern’s scoring record over that time is remarkable: in those 11 games, they have found the back of the net no fewer than 36 times. That averages out to 3.27 per fixture and a goal every 27.5 minutes.
By more normal standards, Werder have also fared well in forward areas. Only three teams in the division have scored more goals, while Werner’s charges have drawn a blank in just three of their 13 league games. That suggests Bayern’s defense will have to keep its wits about it on Tuesday.
Both of Bayern’s most recent Bundesliga opponents have found a way to breach their backline, and although it has not prevented their defeat, it does at least indicate that the champions’ defense is not impregnable. Back Bayern to win and both teams to score in this one.
Teams: Bayern Munich vs Werder Bremen
Location: Allianz Arena, Munich, Germany
Time: Tuesday, 8 September 2022, 14.30 PM EST
How to Watch: ESPN+
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Greg Lea is a freelance soccer journalist from London. He is the former editor of The Set Pieces, and has contributed to the Guardian, FourFourTwo, and ESPN. A Crystal Palace fan, he is a long-time subscriber to the belief that it's the taking part that counts. Email: [email protected]More info on Greg Lea
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