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LIV Golf Adelaide Predictions: DeChambeau Can Dominate Down Under

Written by: Matt Cooper
Updated April 24, 2024
6 min read
  • Jon Rahm is still chasing a first win on LIV

  • Our expert tipped the +2800 winner Dean Burmester in the last LIV event

  • The Watering Hole is a raucous stadium-style par-3

LIV Golf Adelaide Odds

Odds from bet365. Head over to bet365 to place your bets and claim $1,000 First Bet Safety Net or Bet $5 Get $150.

Jon Rahm+650
Joaquin Niemann+900
Cameron Smith+1000
Bryson DeChambeau+1000
Tyrrell Hatton+1100
Talor Gooch+1200
Louis Oosthuizen+2000
Dustin Johnson+2000
Brooks Koepka+2200
Abraham Ancer+2200

LIV Golf Adelaide Picks and Predictions

LIV Golf Adelaide 2024 Predictions

LIV Golf Adelaide Intro

Last year’s LIV Golf Adelaide debut was quite a show.

Off the course, the Aussies came in their thousands to cheer on their homegrown heroes Cameron Smith and Marc Leishman, and to drink and party at The Watering Hole, the stadium-style par-3 that rocked all week.

On the course, the American Talor Gooch opened the tournament in sensational style, carding two rounds of 62 to open up an enormous 10-shot pre-final round advantage.

He closed with a 73 – the fourth-worst score of the day – but it was job done: He still ended the week three shots clear of his closest pursuers.

Expect more drama this week both inside and outside the ropes.

Who will take the honors? Can an Aussie prompt scenes of jubilation? Let’s find out.

Last year’s LIV Golf Adelaide Leaderboard

PositionPlayer and Winning Score
1stTalor Gooch (U.S.A.) -19
2ndAnirban Lahiri (India) -16
3rdPat Perez (U.S.A.) -15
Patrick Reed (U.S.A.) -15
Cameron Smith (Australia) -15
Cameron Tringale (U.S.A.) -15

The Grange GC Course Notes

  • The course is a par 72 that plays to 6,946 yards

  • It is a composite of The Grange’s East and West Courses

  • LIV Commissioner Greg Norman renovated the East Course

  • It is located on the Adelaide sand belt

  • It features the firm and lightning-fast greens typical of the sand belt

  • It also has many fiendish sand traps protecting both fairways and greens

Favorites to Win the LIV Golf Adelaide

Jon Rahm (+650) at bet365

It’s over a year since the Spaniard last won but surely that drought will end sooner rather than later? That said, he looked bad-tempered when finishing 45th in the Masters and, although he is 5-for-5 at finishing top 10, he’s yet to catch fire in any LIV final round. His only previous experience of sand belt golf was when eighth with Rafa Cabrera Bello in the 2016 World Cup.

Joaquin Niemann (+900) at bet365

The Chilean will be delighted to return down under after he won the Australian Open in December last year. He’ll also be feeling confident of improving on the 30th he recorded last year after already landing two wins this year on LIV. Despite that fine form he still couldn’t land a first major championship top 10 in the Masters but he remains a significant threat.

Cameron Smith (+1000) at bet365

After a slow start 12 months ago – understandable after he led all the pre-event publicity – the Aussie favorite raced through the field to finish third and he’ll be eager to build on that this week. He hasn’t won yet this season but was only defeated in extra holes at LIV Hong Kong and he was impressive when finishing sixth at Augusta National in the Masters.

DeChambeau Can Dominate Down Under 

Like Smith, the big-hitting Bryson DeChambeau made a slow start in last year’s event.

In his case, he was a dismal 40th after 18 holes following a 73 but he responded with laps of 65-69 to finish 26th.

He’s in much better form ahead of this week having registered five top 10s in a row, the first four in LIV events and the most recent when sixth at the Masters two weeks ago.

It’s also worth noting that he’s no stranger to Australian sand belt golf having played the UNIQLO Masters in 2015 when he finished second.

That event took place on the Melbourne sand belt rather than Adelaide but the characteristics are very similar. 

Take the +1000 at Caesars Sportsbook with the each-way terms paying five places.

Take Heed, Back Reed 

Nobody played the final 36 holes of last year’s LIV Adelaide better than Patrick Reed whose pair of 65s in the second and third rounds saw him finish third, and he can repeat the dose this week.

His form took a dip either side of New Year but, since he finished fourth on the Asian Tour in March, he has added ninth at LIV Miami and then 12th in the Masters.

That improving form could see him contend this week on a test he warmed to.

He knows that he is closing in on a good result. “I’m swinging it really well,” he said at Augusta National. “And I’m hitting a lot of good putts.”

He’s an excellent each-way option (five places) at +2800 with Caesars Sportsbook.

Do the Cam Can

Keep it simple in the top-five market by backing Cameron Smith.

We’ve already discussed how he eventually came to terms with all the attention last year and found his form last time out at the Masters.

There’s also a rather straightforward case to be made about backing him on courses shorter than 7,000 yards.

In the LIV era, he’s come up against five such courses finishing fourth, third, 12th, first, and second.

In other words, he’s 4-for-5 at finishing top five so the numbers are in our favor.

Take him at +210 for a top-five with bet365.

How to Watch LIV Golf Adelaide

  • Tournament: LIV Golf Adelaide

  • Location: The Grange Golf Club, Adelaide, Australia

  • Date: Friday, April 26 - Sunday, April 28

  • How to Watch: Friday on the CW App. LIV Golf Plus and Caffeine. Saturday-Sunday on The CW Network, CW App, and LIV Golf Plus.


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Matt Cooper

Golf Betting Analyst

Betting Picks
Matt Cooper has been a sports journalist since 2009 with his work appearing at ESPN, Sky Sports, NBC, Sporting Life and the Planet Sport Network among many others, in addition to guest appearances on the BBC and CNN. Although a specialist in golf, who has traveled the world to cover the sport, Matt has also covered rugby, cricket, football and the Olympics.
Nationality: British
Education: Bachelor of Arts (History)
Favourite Sportsbook: bet365 Sportsbook
Favourite Casino: BetMGM Casino
16 years
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