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Copa America 2024 Top Scorer Predictions, Odds, Picks: Who Will Finish as Top Scorer?

Written by: Angelo Zarra
Updated June 10, 2024
11 min read
  • Copa America 2024 is an international tournament that will take place in the United States this summer

  • This will be the 48th edition of this competition which began back in 1916

  • Lionel Messi, Vinicius Jr. and Darwin Nunez will all feature in the tournament.

The 2024 Copa America gets underway on June 29 with the final scheduled for July 14 at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami.

The United States will host the tournament, with the defending Copa America champions in 2021 and reigning FIFA World Cup winners Argentina and Brazil are the favorites to lift the title, but in this article, we take a deep dive into who will finish as the top scorer at the upcoming Copa America? Check out the latest betting odds below. 

Copa America 2024 Top Scorer Odds

The odds for the Copa America 2024 group stage are provided by the bet365 Sportsbook. Sign up today for a $1000 safety net bet or $150 in bonus bets. Also, check out our curated list of the best Copa America 2024 Betting Sites and Promotions.

Copa America 2024 Top ScorerOdds
Lionel Messi +300
Vinicius Jr.+400
Darwin Nunez +500
Julian Alvarez +700
Lautaro Martinez +800
Rodrygo +800
Gabriel Martinelli +1100

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Copa America 2024 Top Scorer Predictions

Who Will Finish as Copa America 2024 Top Scorer?

Lionel Messi +300 at bet365

Turning 37 years old this June, Lionel Messi is showing no signs of slowing down as one of the best to ever do it keeps on continuing writing his story. The Inter Miami product has bagged 23 goals in 27 appearances in all competitions played in his time in the United States.

With Argentina, he has found the back of the net 106 times in 171 international caps. The man has won it all accomplishing everything that’s been thrown in his path. Messi at Inter Miami is managing the amount of playing time he is receiving so fatigued legs shouldn’t be a factor heading into this competition. Lionel Scaloni's men are favored to lift the the title, so for Argentina to get to the final they will be playing the maximum amount of games which will give Messi more of an opportunity to walk away with yet another personal trophy.

Bet on Lionel Messi (+300) at bet365 CTA icon

Vinicius Jr. +400 at bet365

The Real Madrid star had a stellar 2023-24 season finishing as the runner-up on the squad with 15 goals in La Liga. Vinicius will look to be the savior for Brazil with Neymar’s absence from the squad due to injury.

During his 28 appearances playing for his national team, Vinicius has only contributed three goals. If Brazil wants to hoist the title for the 10th time in its men’s program history, Vinicius Jr. will have become the new savior up front for Brazil.

Bet on Vinicius Jr. (+400) at bet365 CTA icon

Darwin Nunez +500 at bet365

Liverpool’s number nine hit double figures in the EPL goal department for the first time in his young career. Nunez tallied up 18 goals across all 54 competitive matches the Uruguayan showcased. In the last stretch of the campaign, Nunez saw his playing reduced minutes, which hampered his stats  as he went nine straight outings without a goal or an assist.

However, Nunez was impressed when he’s been called up to his national team. The 24-year-old has recorded eight goals in 22 international caps. Uruguay is one of the title contenders and arguably has the easiest group facing Panama and Bolivia, two teams Nunez can do damage too making him a solid option as the top scorer in the competition.

Bet on Darwin Nunez (+500) at bet365 CTA icon

Julian Alvarez +700 at bet365

Playing in the shadow of Erling Haaland is no slight towards the young Argentine, Julian Alvarez still put together a respectable campaign in his second year in England. Across all competitions, Alvarez found the back of the net 19 times in 54 games with Manchester City.

Alvarez sprung into the 2022 FIFA World Cup on a high for his country banging in three goals during Argentina’s historic title run. In 29 international caps, the 24-year-old has hit the score sheet seven times. Nobody will ever replace what Messi has done for his country on the pitch, but Alvarez is certainly capable of taking hold of this tournament and running away as the top scorer.

Bet on Julian Alvarez (+700) at bet365 CTA icon

Lautaro Martinez +900 at bet365

It was a historic year at club level personally for Lautaro Martinez. The Argentine helped lead Inter Milan to win their 20th title and get that historic elusive second star on next year’s kit. Martinez capped off his 2023-24 Serie A campaign as the capocannoniere (Serie A leading goal scorer) with 24 goals, was selected as this year's league MVP and was selected as part of the Serie A team of the year.

Five of his 22 goals with the men’s national program were registered in the 2019 and 2021 editions of the Copa America. Considered as one of the best strikers currently in the world these are great odds to take him at with the resume he’s built up.

Bet on Lautaro Martinez (+900) at bet365 CTA icon

Rodrygo +800 at bet365

One of the many starlets to feature on one of the club giants of soccer, Real Madrid winger Rodrygo certainly has all the tools in his repertoire to finish as the leading scorer. He is best known for his blistering speed and work rate he will give the opposition a load to deal with.

The 50 times Rodrygo has dawned the Real Madrid kit this campaign, he finished with 17 goals and maybe more to his stats with a UEFA Champions League final to play for. The 23-year-old has picked up five goals in 22 affairs with Brazil.

Bet on Rodrygo (+800) at bet365 CTA icon

Gabriel Martinelli +1100 at bet365

The third Brazilian to feature on the top seven list is the Arsenal winger Gabriel Martinelli. The 22-year-old had a quieter campaign compared to last season in the EPL. In 35 league games, Martinelli obtained six goals, nine fewer than he did in 2022-23.

Martinelli has what it takes to bag home some goals for Brazil, but with an already stacked front forward line Martinelli might not see as much playing with Brazil as he did with his club team. It’s a long shot he finishes as the top scorer but we have seen surprises in years past so Martinelli can’t be counted out.

Bet on Gabriel Martinelli (+1100) at bet365 CTA icon

Copa America 2024 Top Scorer - My Pick

Lautaro Martinez +900 at bet365

As stated above Martinez had an astonishing year and he could cap off 2024 as the leading goal scorer in the tournament. In the 2021 version, Lautaro finished in second with three goals netted. Argentina could very well go the distance again and that means more opportunities for Martinez to score. Playing in Serie A he doesn’t get the mainstream attention he deserves but make no mistake he knows how to finish off his chances and took a giant step this year personally becoming the player Inter Milan thought he would be.

Bet on Lautaro Martinez (+900) at bet365 CTA icon

Who Were the Copa America 2021 Top Scorers?

It was a two-way tie at the top as Lionel Messi from Argentina and Luis Diaz from Columbia finished with four goals each.

Who Are the All-Time Goal Scorers in Copa America History?

Zizinho (Brazil)17
Norberto Méndez (Argentina)17
Teodoro Fernández(Peru)15
Severino Varela(Uruguay) 15
Eduardo Vargas(Chile) 14
Paolo Guerrero(Peru)14
Lionel Messi(Argentina) 13
Ademir de Menezes (Brazil)13
Gabriel Batistuta (Argentina)13
Jair da Rosa Pinto(Brazil)13

How to watch Copa America 2024

  • Dates: June 20-July 14

  • Location: United States

  • How to watch: Fox Sports, TUDN


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Angelo Zarra

55 Articles

Hailing from the great white north in Canada, over the last 15 years, Angelo has been wagering on sports and, more specifically, the sport that’s in his blood, soccer. Well-versed in soccer leagues across the globe, keeping tabs on what’s happening in the world of soccer. Since 2022, Angelo has published MLS betting previews on various websites, including on Major League Soccer's official betting page for a short while. Through the power of social media, Angelo has been invited to talk soccer betting on national TV & radio on Sports Grid.

In Angelo’s free time, he can be found walking his dog and lounging at home watching any game that's on while enjoying his second favourite thing after sports: food! 

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