With a slew of day games on Wednesday, we tried to focus our MLB prop bets on night games because those tend to go more according to plan - at least to the extent that anything in baseball goes according to plan. Somehow, that left us with multiple Royals and multiple Mariners targeted. Both have been quality teams this year, so that didn’t bother us at all, making us quite confident in Wednesday’s props. The odds we’re using are from DraftKings Sportsbook, where new users get a no-sweat bet for their first wager up to $1,500.
Our ears perk up every time we see Albies and the Braves matched up against a left-handed starter. While Albies is having a solid year overall, he’s crushing lefties, batting .333 with an OPS of .844 against southpaws. Albies is 2 for 7 with a home run in his career against Washington starter MacKenzie Gore, so he hasn’t dominated Gore but he’s had some success against him. Plus, the switch-hitting Albies is 5 for 14 (.357) with a pair of extra-base hits over his last four games, so he’s in a good groove right now, which is another reason to like this matchup.
Bet on Nationals vs. Braves Props at DraftKings
We’ve started to target Lugo in just about every start he makes, which makes sense for the MLB leader in ERA. This time around, we’re going to get that he can record at least one out in the seventh inning. Obviously, that’s a tough ask for most starting pitchers. But Lugo has hit this prop in five of his last six starts and seven of 11 starts overall this year. Yet, we’re still getting quite lucrative odds for him to pull off this feat once again.
Hitting-wise, Perez is a member of the Royals we like to target as well, especially when it comes to driving in runs. Despite ranking eighth in the big leagues in RBI, Perez has gone six straight games without adding to his tally. That tells us that he’s due, especially with a four-game hitting streak. Keep in mind that he’s 5 for 14 with two extra-base hits against Minnesota starter Bailey Ober. It’s equally important that Bobby Witt Jr. and Vinnie Pasquantino, who hit right in front of Perez, are a combined 9 for 19 with two walks against Ober. Those guys will get on base, providing Perez with RBI opportunities in Wednesday’s game.
Bet on Royals vs. Twins Props at DraftKings
Conventional wisdom says to ignore someone who’s batting .218. But keep in mind that Crawford was hitting .154 in mid-April. He’s also been better since a recent stint on the IL, collecting a hit in eight of his last nine games. In fact, Crawford has doubled in three straight games, so he’s in a groove. It’s also relevant that he’s 8 for 25 (.320) with a pair of extra-base hits. With these odds, we’ll happily back Crawford to improve his .218 average by getting one measly hit on Wednesday.
Honestly, we were prepared to go under 4.5 strikeouts with Kirby, so getting under 5.5 strikeouts with these odds is a no-brainer. Despite some big strikeout games early in the year, Kirby has been limited to four strikeouts or less in four of his five starts in May. In fact, he’s recorded three or fewer in five of his 11 starts this year, so he’s been all over the map. The kicker is that the Astros have struck out fewer times than any other team in baseball. That makes it hard to believe that Kirby will record a high total on Wednesday.
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