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Best MLB Prop Bets Today | MLB Player Props, July 4

Written by: Tanner Kern
Published July 4, 2023
13 min read
MLB Player Props July 4 2023

Joe Musgrove Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-146 on FanDuel Sportsbook)

Joe Musgrove hasn’t been one of the reasons why the Padres are struggling in 2023. He has been very competitive for his team, and we expect this to be the case on the Fourth of July. Musgrove will take the ball for San Diego against the Los Angeles Angels. The Padres are coming off a blowout win over the Angels on Monday, so they have a ton of momentum. This game will be tougher for San Diego to win because they will face Shohei Ohtani, but look for Musgrove to shine. 

The pitcher is 6-2 with a 3.8 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP. Over 66.1 innings, he has recorded 61 strikeouts, and his total on Tuesday is set at 5.5 for -146 odds. These odds are slightly juiced, but this is a prop worth taking because Musgrove has found a ton of swings and misses as of late. 

He has gone over this total in two straight games, and has four quality starts in his past five contests. Additionally, the Angels are eighth in baseball for most strikeouts per game. If Musgrove continues to pitch as he has over his past two starts, he will hit this prop with ease. 

Jesus Luzardo Over 6.5 Strikeouts (-112 on FanDuel Sportsbook)

Jesus Luzardo has made a massive statement in the big leagues this season. Luzardo was highly touted, but he is starting to come into his own and he is just 25 years old. The pitcher will take the ball on Tuesday for the Marlins, and he is 6-5 with a 3.53 and a 1.15 WHIP. Over 97 innings, he has recorded 112 strikeouts, and he relies on power to get out of jams. 

Luzardo’s strikeout success has been glaring as of late. He recorded nine punchies in each of his past two games against the Red Sox and Pirates. He has also had at least 8 strikeouts in three of his past five contests. Luzardo will face the St. Louis Cardinals today, and this will be a tough challenge for the pitcher. 

St. Louis’ record doesn’t indicate how talented they are on offense. The team is very good at the dish, and they should challenge Luzardo in multiple facets of his strategy. However, St. Louis' offense  has also been very inconsistent in 2023, and this will not change. Luzardo is one of the better pitchers the Cardinals have seen this year, so look for him to exceed 6.5 strikeouts. 

Kyle Hendricks Over 3.5 Strikeouts (-144 on FanDuel Sportsbook)

Kyle Hendricks isn’t known for being a strikeout pitcher because he isn’t overpowering. Hendricks hasn’t been able to blow fastballs by any hitter over the course of his career, but this has taught the pitcher how to locate and win with strategy. Hendricks is having a career season, and this is even more impressive considering he can barely hit 90 miles per hour on the radar gun. 

The pitcher is 3-3 with a 2.81 ERA and a 0.96 WHIP. The 0.96 WHIP over 41.2 innings of work has been one of the best in baseball amongst qualified pitchers. Hendricks strikeout numbers aren’t very impressive as he has recorded just 22 this season, but the matchup is present against the Milwaukee Brewers. The Brewers are one of the most strikeout prone teams in all of baseball, ranking fourth. Hendricks has gone over 3.5 strikeouts in two of his past five games. The pitcher is averaging 6.4 innings per start this month, so he should have plenty of time to find four punchies. 

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Tanner Kern

337 Articles

Tanner Kern has been working in the betting industry since 2020. He currently is a social media content creator at DraftKings and contributes to multiple sites in addition to WSN, including Forbes and VSiN. He is also the cohost of the podcast Ride the Line at WSN.

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