Best NRFI Bets Today: Two Monday Afternoon NRFIs

If you managed to read our Monday YRFI breakdown, you would notice that we are targeting the YRFI in game 2 of the Atlanta Braves and San Diego Padres series. The opposite is the case for game one, targeting an NRFI in a matchup that features two pitchers at the top of their game. Shortly after the conclusion of that matchup, we target two anemic offenses with the Chicago White Sox and Toronto Blue Jays facing off against two productive pitchers. For more information about the NRFI market and what factors into them being worth a wager, read our breakdown of Daily No Run First Inning.

When making a wager on an NRFI, it’s important to have as many sportsbooks as you can get in order to line shop. Each sportsbook has their own unique signup bonus, giving new users a boost to their bankroll in order to get a head start with their betting during the MLB season. FanDuel Sportsbook for example is giving new users $150 in bonus bets for simply creating an account and winning their first bet of at least $5 wagered. Be sure to wager the $5 on a heavy favorite immediately after creating an account with the FanDuel Sportsbook, maximizing your chances of winning the bet and collecting the $150 in bonus bets.

San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves - Dylan Cease vs. Reynaldo Lopez (12:20 PM, EST)

Under 0.5 Run (-117) at FanDuel

We kick off our Monday by backing a NRFI on the first game of the day, giving us some quick afternoon action. As noted before, this is game one of a doubleheader between the San Diego Padres and Atlanta Braves while we have a different type of bet in mind for the second game. Sticking to just game one, expect defense to take center stage as both Dylan Cease and Reynaldo Lopez have been dominant so far this year.

Starting with Dylan Cease, he gets the opportunity to continue to give the Braves offense fits as they have been steadily declining over the past few weeks. Once a unit that ranked near the top of the board in most offensive metrics and a World Series contender, the Braves now rank well below league average in Team Total Hits, RBIs, and Total Runs Scored.

Going up against Dylan Cease will do them no favors in their attempt to round back into form, even with positive regression looming large as they have continued to excel at getting on base by ranking above average in On Base Percentage. Cease has been creeping up as a contender to win the Cy Young award as he currently possesses an ERA of 2.45, a WHIP of 0.782, 68 Total Strikeouts, only 26 Hits Allowed, and 15 Earned Runs Against in nine games played.

As for the Braves defense, they turn towards Reynaldo Lopez who has stepped up with his production as a viable starting option amidst the absence of Spencer Strider. Every bit of Reynaldo’s production will be called upon against a Padres offense that ranks well above average across the board in offensive metrics. Luckily for Atlanta, Lopez comes into the matchup with an ERA of 1.34 and a WHIP of 1.091 and is more than capable of neutralizing the Padres elite top of their order.

Bet on Under 0.5 Run (-117) at FanDuel 

Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays - Erick Fedde vs. Jose Berrios (3:07 PM, EST)

Under 0.5 Run (-117) at FanDuel

Keeping our sights set on the afternoon slate, we target the NRFI in the next game of the day when two lackluster offenses try to find production against two dominant pitchers. It hasn’t exactly been a banner year for either the Chicago White Sox or Toronto Blue Jays offenses, both ranking well below average in Team Total Hits, RBIs, Total Runs Scored, and On Base Percentage.

While the White Sox offensive woes were predictable heading into this season, the Blue Jays underwhelming level of play is an oddity. Especially since they boast an elite top of their order with Bo Bichette and Vladimir Guerrero Jr kicking things off. Bichette especially has yet to look like his former elite self, now having to try to round back into form against the White Sox Erick Fedde who possesses an ERA of 2.60 and a WHIP of 1.058.

As for the White Sox and their anemic offense, their bottom ranked unit goes against the Blue Jays starting pitcher Jose Berrios who has had an impressive start to his 2024 campaign. Berrios heads into this contest with an ERA of 2.82, a WHIP of 1.049, 42 Total Strikeouts, 41 Hits Allowed, and 17 Earned Runs Against in nine games played.

Bet on Under 0.5 Run (-117) at FanDuel 

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