Best NRFI Bets Today: Fade the Rays Against Kevin Gausman

With the Tampa Bay Rays struggling to score, expect their top of the order to get off to a slow start as they face off against Kevin Gausman who excels at keeping opposing runners out of scoring position. Shortly after their opening pitch, we turn our attention towards the Minnesota Twins and Washington Nationals with two productive arms set to take the mound.

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Best NRFI Bets for Tuesday, May 5

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Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays - Kevin Gausman vs. Drew Rasmussen (6:40 PM, EST)

Negative regression looms large over the Tampa Bay Rays, battling it out against Kevin Gausman who is averaging less than one runner on base per inning.

Under 0.5 Run (-135) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Since the start of the regular season, Kevin Gausman has been able to remain in contention for the AL Cy Young award, averaging an ERA of 3.10 and a WHIP of 0.959. Even though Gausman struggles to generate Strikeouts, he is still able to neutralize opposing batters by putting them in low quality contact scenarios, conceding less than one Hit Against per inning. His consistent ability to limit baserunners and manage damage has kept him firmly in the conversation, as reflected by his current AL Cy Young odds.

Heading into Tuesday night, expect Gausman to strengthen his claim for the award by taking advantage of a Tampa Bay Rays lineup who ranks below league average in Hit Rate, RBIs, Runs Scored, and in OPS. With the Rays incapable of making contact at a consistent rate, they will struggle to advance their runners, lowering their chances of scoring.

Facing off against Gausman is Drew Rasmussen, a productive arm in the Rays rotation who is averaging a WHIP of 0.848 and more than one Strikeout per Inning Pitched. With the Blue Jays residing near the bottom of the board in On Base Percentage, expect Rasmussen to make quick work of the top of their order while creating whiffs at a high rate and keep a clean sheet in the first inning.

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Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals - Taj Bradley vs. Cade Cavalli (6:45 PM, EST)

Taj Bradley must continue to play at a high level against Washington if the Minnesota Twins want to avoid falling further down the AL Central division standings. A dominant performance on the mound could significantly shift the AL Central odds back in Minnesota's favor as they look to climb out of the division cellar.

Under 0.5 Run (-105) at BetMGM Sportsbook

After struggling to play at a competitive level last year, the Washington Nationals have been able to round back into competitive form, ranking in the top-10 in Hit Rate, Runs Scored, and in RBIs. Their high level of play on offense helps reduce the amount of variance in their contest, making it easier for them to pull away on the scoreboard.

Unfortunately for the Nationals, their offense will fall back down to reality against the Minnesota Twins, battling it out against Taj Bradley who is averaging an ERA of 2.85 and a FIP of 3.85. Especially with Bradley’s success stemming from his elite command of the ball, generating less than one Hit Against and more than one Strikeout per Inning Pitched.

On the other side of the field, Cade Cavalli is projected to get the start for Washington, a productive arm who is averaging an FIP of 2.85. While his current WHIP is certainly alarming, Cavalli gets the benefit of attacking an offense who struggles with making contact, exploiting a Twins lineup who ranks in the bottom half of the board in Hit Rate.

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Best YRFI Bets Today

• Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers - Brayan Bello vs. Framber Valdez - The Detroit Tigers will have a great opportunity to start the scoring early against the Boston Red Sox as they face off against Brayan Bello who is currently averaging an ERA 9.12 and over two runners on base per inning.

• Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs - Andrew Abbott vs. Jameson Taillon - Expect the Chicago Cubs to get off to a hot start against the Cincinnati Reds, battling it out against Andrew Abbott who is averaging an ERA of 5.97 and a WHIP of 1.673 while supported by a defense who ranks near the bottom of the board in Defensive Efficiency.

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