Best NRFI Bets Today: Back a Pair of Cy Young Contenders

With Paul Skenes and Zack Wheeler locked into a pitchers duel, expect the Pittsburgh Pirates and Philadelphia Phillies to get off to a slow start while battling it out against a pair of Cy Young contenders. Unsurprisingly, both aces currently feature prominently near the top of the Cy Young odds. Shortly after their opening pitch takes place, negative regression looms large over the Atlanta Braves as they face off against Michael McGreevy who excels at avoiding contact.

Looking for more MLB betting insights? Check our selection of the Best MLB Home Run Predictions Today.

Best NRFI Bets for Wednesday, July 1

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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies - Paul Skenes vs. Zack Wheeler (6:40 PM, EST)

Expect no Runs to be scored in the first inning with Pittsburgh and Philadelphia facing off against two dominant arms on the mound.

Under 0.5 Run (-135) at BetMGM Sportsbook

After a slow start to the year, Paul Skenes has been able to round back into form, averaging an ERA of 3.10, a WHIP of 0.968, and a FIP of 2.75. Skenes resurgence can be attributed to his power and precision, giving up less than one Hit Against while generating more than one Strikeout per Inning Pitched.

In a favorable matchup against the Philadelphia Phillies, expect Skenes to build on his momentum by taking advantage of an offense who ranks below league average in Hit Rate, Runs Scored, and in On Base Percentage. Even with his back end underwhelming in coverage, the Phillies inability to make contact will keep them off the bases, increasing Skenes chances of keeping a clean sheet.

Locked into a duel with Skenes, Zack Wheeler has been efficient with his starts this season, averaging an ERA of 2.03 and a WHIP of 0.863 in 12 appearances. With Wheeler also in full control of his command while giving up less than one Hit Against per inning, expect the Pirates red hot bats to cool off, keeping them out of scoring position in the process.

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St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves - Michael McGreevy vs. Reynaldo Lopez (7:15 PM, EST)

The Atlanta Braves struggles on offense are poised to persist against Michael McGrevy, battling it out against an arm who gives up Hits at a low rate.

Under 0.5 Run (+100) at BetMGM Sportsbook

After going 3-7 in their last ten games, the Atlanta Braves odds of winning the NL East have steadily declined, possessing just a three game lead over the Phillies for first. Their regression on offense brings in a higher amount of negative variance into their contests, dropping down to the bottom half of the board in Contact Rate. As a result, their current NL East odds are taking a noticeable hit.

Unfortunately for the Braves, the top of their order will continue to struggle with making contact against the St. Louis Cardinals as they face off against Michael McGreevy who is averaging a WHIP of 1.142 while giving up less than one Hit per inning. Especially with his back end narrowing the width of the Braves gaps in the outfield, surrounding McGreevy with a defense who ranks in the top-10 in Fielding Percentage.

In an attempt to match McGreevy’s production, the Braves roll out Reynaldo Lopez who has been a reliable arm in their rotation, averaging an ERA of 3.47 while generating nearly one Strikeout per inning. With the Cardinals also grading out poorly in Contact Rate, Lopez will be able to create Whiffs at a higher rate and hold them scoreless in the first inning.

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Best YRFI Bets Today

• Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies - Max Meyer vs. Kyle Freeland - The Miami Marlins are in a favorable position to score from the opening pitch as they face off against Kyle Freeland who is averaging an ERA of 7.50 while supported by a defense who ranks dead last in Defensive Efficiency.

• Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers - Andrew Abbott vs. Shane Drohan - With Andrew Abbott on the mound, the Milwaukee Brewers will be able to get on base at a high rate, battling it out against an arm who is averaging a WHIP of 1.411 and a FIP of 5.04 while creating less than one Whiff per Inning Pitched.

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