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Best College Football Prop Bets Week 5 | CFB Picks & Predictions

Written by: Tanner Kern
Published September 28, 2023
8 min read

Week 5 of the college football season is here, so it’s time for some prop bets. Plenty of options are on the board; we’re here to break it down on WSN. We swept the board in our prop plays last week, so let’s stay hot on Saturday!

We break down our favorite props every Friday for the Saturday games. Don’t miss out, and check back weekly, as we’re 7-2 in the past three weeks!

College Football Prop Bets Week 5

Graham Mertz Over 195.5 Passing Yards (-110) vs Kentucky (DraftKings)

“Whenever you go on the road, it’s a mentality. It’s a road warrior mentality.” - Graham Mertz 

The quarterback said this on the Paul Finebaum show earlier this week. The chip on Mertz's shoulder is massive, and it’s getting bigger because he still isn’t getting the respect that he deserves. This isn’t the same Graham Mertz that we saw at Wisconsin. 

He has thrown for 951 yards on the season with four touchdowns and an interception. He has exceeded 195.5 yards twice in four games, but his efficiency has been amazing in every spot. The 196-yard mark isn’t high for Mertz, considering the talent Florida has on the offense and the fact that they should be able to run the ball on Kentucky. 

Mertz works really well in play-action, and this should be an emphasis for Billy Napier. This game will be a battle, and this is another reason to take his over. The games he missed were against McNeese State and Tennessee. 

The Gators didn’t need to throw against McNeese at all, and they just ran the clock out in the second half against Tennessee. Kentucky will be competitive in this game and force Florida to take some downfield shots to regain momentum in this contest. 

We like Florida to win as a road underdog. It won’t be an easy game for the Gators, but Mertz deserves respect, and Kentucky hasn’t faced anyone this season that can compete with Florida in any phase of the game. 

Head to DraftKings here to bet on our pick. Claim a $200 welcome bonus at DraftKings when you bet $5!

Shedeur Sanders Over 307.5 Passing Yards (-110) vs USC (DraftKings)

Shedeur Sanders had his first lackluster start of the season against Oregon, but he was still relatively efficient, considering he had no blocking. He completed 70% of his passes for 159 yards and a touchdown. It was a lot of quick game, but he stood tall in the pocket under a lot of pressure. 

The Ducks aren’t elite on defense, but they’re much better than the Trojans. USC lives and dies by their offense, and we don’t trust any Lincoln Riley team to win tight defensive battles. There are going to be points scored in this contest from both teams. For Colorado to stay in the game, they must throw. 

USC has the eighth-ranked defense in the Pac-12, and they haven’t played anyone. Colorado isn’t great, but they have elite speed with their receivers. If the offensive line can hold up, Sanders can rack up yardage. 

USC has played San Jose State, Nevada, Stanford, and Arizona State. A bad Arizona State team covered 21.5 against USC last week, which is the spread for this game, and Drew Pyne threw for 221 while the offense rushed for 130. 

We should see a totally different Colorado team this week. They got punched in the mouth and, hopefully, realized they’re not that good, and this should mean Sanders has some more time in the pocket. Xavier Weaver and Jimmy Horn Jr. can get open down the field if he does. 

We believe Colorado will cover the spread in this game, meaning they must be clicking through the air. This would be a correlated play and an opportunity to add a same-game parlay to the mix. 

Bet on College Football at DraftKings, here!

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AUTHOR

Tanner Kern

377 Articles

Tanner Kern has been working in the betting industry since 2020. He currently is a social media content creator at DraftKings and contributes to multiple sites in addition to WSN, including Forbes and VSiN. He is also the cohost of the podcast Ride the Line at WSN.

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