No. 5 Washington vs. No. 11 Oregon State Predictions, Odds & Picks

The No. 5 Washington Huskies (10-0) will hit the road for a Pac-12 matchup against No. 11 Oregon State (8-2) on Saturday.

The Huskies, despite being undefeated and having Heisman candidate Michael Penix Jr. under center, are underdogs to the Beavers. Washington won 10 of its last 11 matchups against OSU, including a 24-21 victory in November last year.

Here, we will go over the betting odds and share our favorite picks for one of the best matchups of the weekend.

No. 5 Washington vs. No. 11 Oregon State Odds

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No. 5 Washington vs. No. 11 Oregon State Betting Preview

UW took down No. 18 Utah at home 35-28 last weekend thanks to 332 yards and two touchdowns from Penix Jr. Running back Dillon Johnson also carries the ball 23 times for 104 yards and a score as the Huskies managed to overwhelm an outstanding, physical Utah defense.

Washington scores the fifth-most points per game (41) in college football. A majority of that can be attributed to Penix, who has the offense as far and away the best through the air in the country. On the year, Penix Jr. averages 353.3 yards per game and has 28 touchdowns to seven interceptions.

Washington also averages 9.9 yards per attempt. They don’t run the ball a ton but gain 125.9 yards rushing per game on 4.7 yards per carry.

Penix steals most of the headlines, but the Huskies’ defense is quietly stout. They’re 48th in points allowed per game (23.5) despite already facing the high-powered offenses of Oregon and USC. They give up a lot of yards because their offense scores so many points and forces opponents to throw the ball, but they've given up a nearly-identical amount of rushing and passing touchdowns.  

The Beavers enter the game fresh off a 62-17 win over the Stanford Cardinal. QB D.J. Uiagalelei went 12/19 for 240 yards and two touchdowns, while Damien Martinez carried the rock 15 times for 146 yards and four TDs. The defense also forced Stanford into four interceptions and produced six sacks.

OSU is 14th in average scoring output at 37.9 points per game. That’s despite Uiagalelei, a former Clemson transfer, failing to throw for 300 yards one time and only managing 3+ touchdown passes once since the season opener. That said, they run for 196.7 yards per game, the 19th-most in Division-I.

The favorites’ offense has been up and down against conference opponents. They scored 52 against California but only managed 26 against an awful Colorado defense and 21 against Utah.

The Beavers’ defense gives up 20.5 points per game, which is good for 33rd in the country. They’re also 39th in third-down defense (35.9% conversion rate allowed), 18th in takeaways, and fourth in sacks per game (3.6).

No. 5 Washington vs. No. 11 Oregon State Picks & Predictions

No. 5 Washington State ML (+120)

Excluding an inexplicable 15-point outing against unranked Arizona State, the Huskies have proven they can score points against anybody. Oregon State is a physical team that will move the ball but lacks the knockout punch a player like Penix provides. We could see this game being similar to the Washington-Oregon game, in which Oregon was excellent and pushed UW to the brink but didn’t make enough plays on offense in the fourth quarter. 

Under 63.5 (-112)

Despite what we said above, we expect both teams to run into their running game early. Washington’s running back room is underrated nationally, while OSU’s is very strong and allows the team to rank high in average time of possession. Expect the game to really take off over the final 15 minutes but be cagey until then.

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How To Watch No. 5 Washington vs. No. 11 Oregon State

• Where: Reser Stadium, Corvallis, OR

• When: Saturday, Nov. 18, 7:30/10:30 p.m. PT/ET

• TV: ABC

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