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At the beginning of the season, this game looked like a barn-burner on paper, but now, the Chiefs’ offense is borderline inept by their standards, and the Bengals have a backup quarterback on the field.
That said, we have the three best prop bets for this matchup below.
Browning has been the starter for the Bengals since Week 12, and over that time, he’s exceeded 235 passing yards in all but one game.
However, we’re leaning under here.
The Chiefs defense has been excellent this season, which has helped keep them in games. They allow just 193.2 passing yards per game and haven’t allowed 235 or more since Week 13. This season, just six quarterbacks have gone over on this line.
Browning managed well over 300 last week despite scoring so few points, but at home, quarterbacks are averaging just 145.6 passing yards per game against the Chiefs.
The Washington alum is going to have a tough outing here.
Piggybacking off of his under on passing yards above, we’re going to take the under on passing touchdowns here, too.
Despite his high passing totals since taking over as the starter, Browning has just two games with multiple touchdown passes.
The Chiefs allow just 1.2 passing touchdowns per game, and that average is 0.7 at home.
This season, only four quarterbacks have had double-digit passing touchdowns in a game against the Chiefs. Those quarterbacks include Josh Allen, Russell Wilson, Kirk Cousins, and, believe it or not, Zach Wilson.
Look for Browning to have a line close to his first career start, which was 227 passing yards and one touchdown.
It’s not a secret that the Chiefs offense has been putrid compared to past seasons. Despite that, Mahomes is still throwing for plenty of yards. He has nearly 4,000 passing yards but just 26 passing touchdowns.
The line here over 263.5 has been topped eight times this season, and here, he’ll take on a Bengals defense that has allowed 264 passing yards or more in four of their last five games. In eight home games, Mahomes has hit the over on this line four times.
With Isiah Pacheco likely out due to a concussion, Mahomes will have to throw more here and get Kelce more involved. Tight ends average almost 70 receiving yards per game against the Bengals, which bodes well for Mahomes’ passing stats.
Take the over here in a big-time revenge game after Christmas Day's blunder.
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Where: Kansas City, Missouri
When: Sunday, Dec. 31, 4:25 p.m. ET
How to Watch: CBS
After graduating from the University of New Hampshire with a BA in Journalism, Richard Janvrin has been covering iGaming and sports betting since December 2018. Richard has covered betting at Bleacher Report, Gambling.com, The Game Day, Forbes, and more.More info on Richard Janvrin
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