Image for Richard Janvrin Richard Janvrin - January 18, 2023

NFL Prop Bets Week 18 | NFL Player Prop Bets

NFL Prop Bets Week 18

As we head into Week 18, the final week of the NFL regular season, we can’t help but continue thinking about Buffalo Bills safety Damar Hamlin and his recovery. In what was truly one of the scariest incidents ever on an NFL field, it’s almost unfathomable that the Bills are set to play against the New England Patriots this weekend.

There’s no good way to transition out of something like that in a good way through text, especially when talking about something like prop bets, but that’s what we’re here to do.

Below are the best ones to make this weekend. 

Las Vegas Raiders vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Pick: Patrick Mahomes Over 2.5 Passing TDs (+100) at DraftKings

DraftKings

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Any time I see Mahomes getting a plus price on the over for passing touchdowns, it’s an immediate bet. 

The front-runner for the MVP award, Mahomes has thrown for three touchdown passes in two of his last four games and eight times this season. 

The Chiefs played the Raiders back in Week 5, and Mahomes threw for 292 passing yards, four touchdowns, and zero interceptions. 

The Raiders are coming off a Week 17 loss to the San Francisco 49ers and allowed two passing touchdowns to Brock Purdy.

The Chiefs are still competing for the No. 1 seed, although the status of the Bills and Cincinnati Bengals game does add a wrinkle that’s hard to project in terms of how they’ll use Mahomes in this game. However, as of right now, it’s safe to assume Mahomes will play most of the game, and he’ll carve up this defense. 

Get a $1,000 deposit bonus at DraftKings Sportbook when you sign up using our exclusive link. 

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Tennessee Titans

Pick: Derrick Henry Over 21.5 Rush Attempts (-125) at DraftKings

DraftKings

9/10

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Heading into a game that has “win and you’re in” implications, the Titans are set to start quarterback Joshua Dobbs on the road against the Jaguars. 

Dobbs played well in his first-ever NFL start last week, throwing for 231 yards, one touchdown, and one interception, but if the Titans want a real shot at winnings this game, they’ll need to get Henry going.

Henry didn’t play in Week 17, but in the two weeks prior, he had 23 carries in Week 16 and 21 in Week 15. He’s also posted touchdowns in three straight games he’s played in. 

On the road with a game worth a film to use against him now, Dobbs is likely to be less effective than he was in his game against the Dallas Cowboys. Remember, he didn’t play in a dominating fashion—he just played much better than fellow quarterback Malik Willis.

Henry is their only chance. 

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cleveland Browns

Pick: Najee Harris Any Time TD (-130) at Caesars 

Caesars

9/10

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There are just three teams that allow more rushing touchdowns per game than the Browns. This season, the Browns allow 1.3 rushing touchdowns per game, and Harris is, of course, the Steelers lead back. 

Over his last three games, Harris is averaging over 20 carries per game. He last scored in Week 15, but he’s coming off of a 5.0 yards per carry game against the Baltimore Ravens in which he ran for over 100 yards and also caught a touchdown on two receptions. 

The Steelers are home favorites here with a chance to make the postseason, and the Browns have been terrible defensively all season long. 

Get a $1,250 risk-free bet at Caesars Sportsbook by clicking our link and signing up for an account. 

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AUTHOR

Richard Janvrin

345 Articles

After graduating from the University of New Hampshire with a BA in Journalism, Richard Janvrin has been covering iGaming and sports betting since December 2018. Richard has covered betting at Bleacher Report, Gambling.com, The Game Day, Forbes, and more.

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