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The Thanksgiving Day and Black Friday games are in the rear-view mirror and it’s back to regularly scheduled NFL programming for the time being.
On Thursday Night Football, the Cowboys will battle the Seahawks—these are two teams that competed on Thanksgiving Day.
The week rounds out with the Jaguars and Bengals.
Below, we’ll provide the three best early-in-the-week prop bets for this Week 13 slate.
Let’s dive in.
When looking at Any Time TD props, the key is locating value and, ideally, players with “+” odds. One player that stands out is Cowboys No. 2 wide receiver, Brandin Cooks.
The Cowboys have numerous weapons on the roster, but Cooks, especially over the past three weeks, has been more involved than usual, it seems.
Over his last three games, albeit against easier defenses with the Giants, Panthers, and Commanders, Cooks has 19 targets, 16 receptions, 287 yards, and two touchdowns.
His Week 11 performance against Carolina resulted in a modest line of three receptions for 42 yards. Still, he had 173 and a score against the Giants and 72 and a score against the Commanders.
This week, he faces a Seahawks defense that has been kind to opposing wide receivers.
They allow more than 13 receptions on about 21 targets for 156 yards and a touchdown per game to opposing wide receivers. They’ve allowed a touchdown to the position for four straight weeks.
Of course, fellow wide receiver CeeDee Lamb is the go-to player, but Cooks should see plenty of Tariq Woolen and Tre Brown.
Cooks is a solid half-unit wager here.
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With this wager, we’re looking for a team to outscore the opponent in both halves. The Dolphins are nearly 10-point favorites here, and we think they have a great chance at accomplishing this against the Commanders.
The Commanders do have Sam Howell, who throws more than anyone in the league against a squishy Dolphins defense, but the Commanders defense is in all sorts of disarray after firing Jack Del Rio.
Over the last three weeks, the Commanders have allowed 35 points, 103.7 rushing yards, and 300.3 passing yards per game.
Those are not numbers you want to own against this Dolphins offense that averages 30.8 points, 145.2 rushing yards, and 285.3 passing yards per game.
Look for Howell to throw plenty here, but the Dolphins should handle this game, winning both halves.
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This is an interesting prop to take a “yes” on considering the teams at play here, but at -195, this indicates that this has a high upside of happening.
Of the teams, the Chargers are the clear-cut favorite to accomplish this.
The Chargers have had a heartbreaking season. They simply cannot close out games. They lost 41-38 to the Lions a couple of weeks ago, and they were down three with less than three minutes to go against the Ravens in Week 12 but couldn’t pull it out.
While their defense has been atrocious, allowing a league-high 280 passing yards per game, the Patriots offense is in no way a squad that can take advantage of that.
Patriots quarterback Mac Jones is averaging 6.1 yards per attempt and has ten touchdowns and 12 interceptions in 11 games. He has 23 turnover-worthy plays.
The Chargers offense still has quarterback Justin Herbert, running back Austin Ekeler, and a plethora of wide receivers. Their offense can get things going, and this Patriots team isn’t standing in the way despite their defense playing hard.
Remember, for this to hit, the Chargers only need to kick three field goals unanswered or a touchdown and two field goals.
We’re taking “yes” on this wager because we don’t trust the Patriots offense to score more than 10 points, allowing the Chargers many opportunities to score.
After graduating from the University of New Hampshire with a BA in Journalism, Richard Janvrin has been covering iGaming and sports betting since December 2018. Richard has covered betting at Bleacher Report, Gambling.com, The Game Day, Forbes, and more.More info on Richard Janvrin
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