NFL Prop Bets Week 5: Best NFL Player Props
Baltimore Ravens vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
Lamar Jackson Prop To Account for Over 46.5 Rushing Yards (-125 at DraftKings)
One of the easiest prop bets to make for week five of the 2023 NFL Season involves the running abilities of Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson. Through four games this season, Jackson has rushed for 220 yards on 41 carries for an average of 5.4 yards per carry. He has averaged 53.7 rushing yards per game.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have been put into terrible situations thanks to their unproductive offense. The Steelers are ranked 29th in rushing yards allowed per game (148.5). It hasn't helped the Steelers that they have lost star defensive end/tackle Cameron Heyward for the season.
Jackson has helped the Ravens become the 12th-ranked scoring offense (24.8 points per game) and fourth-ranked rushing offense (151.2 rushing yards per game). He has rushed for 55 or more yards in three of the five games played against the Steelers. With this game being a rivalry game, Jackson will look to make a statement win in a division that could feature the Ravens as an early winner.
New Orleans Saints vs. New England Patriots
My Pick – Cameron Jordan Prop To Account for Over 0.25 sacks (+130 at DraftKings)
The New Orleans Saints' defense is doing it can to help carry the team to a potential NFC South Championship season, with the offense playing inefficiently. The Saints have a solid pass rush, but not from their long-time sack leader Cameron Jordan. Through four games this season, the Saints have gotten the most productivity in the pass rush from defensive end Carl Granderson (2.5).
Jordan has been locked down this season as he has only accounted for 0.5 sacks. At 34 years old, Jordan is starting to show signs of aging and slow production. He will get back on track as a tenacious pass rusher this Sunday against the New England Patriots.
The offensive line for the Patriots has allowed eight sacks this season. Jordan has three quarterback hits, so he has shown his availability to get to the quarterback. With a non-mobile quarterback like Mac Jones in the pocket, the pass rushers for the Saints could have a big game.
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Kansas City Chiefs vs. Minnesota Vikings
My Pick – Travis Kelce Prop To Account for Over 78.5 Receiving Yards (-105 at DraftKings)
Kansas City Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce has been one of the biggest names in the league this season due to his off-the-field love life with Taylor Swift. On the field this season, Kelce hasn't had the dominating performance he usually has. It is not the knee injury that kept him out of the week one Thursday Night Football matchup or distracted by the off-the-field events.
Teams have been double-covering Kelce because of his ability to be a matchup nightmare against opposing defenses. The Chiefs have also faced tough defenses like the Jacksonville Jaguars and the New York Jets, both on the road.
This Sunday, the Chiefs will face the Minnesota Vikings on the road, who possess a defense that is in the bottom half of the league in all major defensive categories. The Vikings are ranked 19th in points allowed per game (23.8), 20th in passing yards allowed per game (233.5), and 16th in rushing yards allowed per game (111.3). Kelce will be a problem for the Vikings' linebackers and secondary.
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New York Jets vs. Denver Broncos
My Pick – Zach Wilson Prop To Account for Over 1.5 passing touchdowns (+180 at DraftKings)
If you had said before the 2023 NFL Season or a few weeks ago that Zach Wilson would throw two touchdowns against the Kansas City Chiefs, it would've been thought it was in garbage time or it would have been a dream. Wilson easily had the best game of his NFL career on Sunday Night Football in the 23-20 home loss to the Kansas City Chiefs. Wilson completed 28-of-39 of his passes for 245 yards and two touchdowns.
This was a testament game of hope for Wilson. This Sunday's game is the test to see if he can finally develop. The Jets are traveling to Denver to take on the Broncos, who have the worst defense in the league. Denver is ranked 32nd (last) in points allowed per game (37.5), 32nd in total yards allowed per game (461.5), and 30th in passing yards allowed per game (285.5). Last week, they allowed Chicago Bears quarterback Justin Fields to throw four touchdowns.
After a solid game against Kansas City, Wilson showed maturity and the drive to be better. Wilson might finally live up to the potential of being the franchise quarterback when he was drafted second overall in the 2021 NFL Draft.
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