NFL Prop Bets Week 7: Best NFL Player Props

Arizona Cardinals vs. Seattle Seahawks

My Pick – Geno Smith Prop To Account for Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-135)

Last week in the Seattle Seahawks’ road game versus the Cincinnati Bengals, Geno Smith had one of his least efficient performances this year. While fans and football experts blamed Smith for his lackluster performance, the offensive line didn’t give Smith time at all to find his receivers as he was sacked multiple times and hit even more. The right side of the offensive line allowed Smith to get hit nine times alone off the bat.

The Seahawks are looking to bounce back in a big way in week seven at home against the Arizona Cardinals. The Cardinals are one of the worst defenses in the league this year. Arizona ranks 22nd in the league in passing yards allowed per game (243.3) as they have allowed nine passing touchdowns and a completion percentage of 70.9%.

Smith has not had a two-passing touchdown performance since week two overtime win over the Detroit Lions. Since the Seahawks have played great defenses and the offensive line has been filled with injury. With the Cardinals looking terrible on defense, this game should be the huge game that Smith and the Seahawks offense need to get back into the topic of top offenses in the league.

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Green Bay Packers vs. Denver Broncos

My Pick – Aaron Jones Prop To Account for Over 51.5 Rushing Yards (-135)

It has been an incredibly inconsistent year for the Green Bay Packers’ offense. Most of the concern is the injuries to the skill position players, including running back Aaron Jones. Jones suffered a hamstring injury in week one and has only played in one game since. He is set to return completely healthy in the week seven road game versus the Denver Broncos, who have the worst defense in the league.

If there is hope for Jones to have an impactful game for the Packers offense, it will be week seven. The Broncos rank last or near last in almost every major defensive category in the league. They are arranged last in points allowed per game (33.3), rushing yards allowed per game (172.3) and total yards allowed per game (440.3). It's surely remarkable to see how bad of a defense the Broncos possess this year.

On a side note, this might be a game where Jones could boost his trade stock before the NFL trade deadline. It is unknown if both sides are looking to move on, but if they do they will need to build his stock and productivity with this game being the best possible situation.

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Los Angeles Chargers vs. Kansas City Chiefs

My Pick – Patrick Mahomes II Prop To Account for Over 278.5 Passing Yards (-115)

The Kansas City Chiefs with Patrick Mahomes under center has been one of the most dominating times in the NFL. Mahomes has not been particularly easy on the Los Angeles Chargers, especially when facing Justin Herbert. Mahomes is 7-2 versus the Chargers.

In four of the last five games that Mahomes has played against the Chargers, he has thrown for over 255 yards. His last performance was late last year when he threw for 329 yards three touchdowns and no interceptions.

The Chiefs should have absolutely no excuses to crush their divisional rival in week seven. Kansas City will have the home-field advantage and they will face the worst passing defense in the league. The Chargers allow an average of 289 passing yards per game, which should give Mahomes a huge opportunity to have his best game yet this season.

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Miami Dolphins vs. Philadelphia Eagles

My Pick – Tyreek Hill Prop To Account for Over 51.5 Rushing Yards (-135)

The biggest game of week seven is set for a potential Super Bowl matchup between the Miami Dolphins and the Philadelphia Eagles. There is going to be a lot of pressure on both offenses, but there is going to be even more pressure on the Dolphins, especially quarterback Tua Tagovailoa and wide receiver Tyreek Hill.

The Dolphins’ passing offense has been suppressed several times by powerful defensive backs through the last two seasons. The Eagles have the potential to limit the speedy and explosive passing offense of the Dolphins’ especially with Hill despite being weaker this season.

The last time Hill faced the Philadelphia Eagles he caught 11 receptions for 186 yards and three touchdowns and the 2021 regular season with the Kansas City Chiefs.

There is going to be serious concern as he is playing a new style of offense, but it is an offense that builds around him and Tagovailoa’s accuracy and quick delivery of the ball. The Dolphins ranked first in the league in points per game (37.2), total yards per game (498.7), passing yards per game (316.8) and rushing yards per game (181.6). They are on pace to have a historic offense this year, but week seven is their biggest test yet.

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