Best Sunday Night Football Prop Bets Week 14

The Sunday slate for Week 14 of the NFL season closes with the Los Angeles Chargers hosting the Miami Dolphins. 

Here, we’ll take a look in the best prop bets for the game. 

Jeff Wilson Over 55.5 Rush/Receiving Yards (-110) at DraftKings

Coming off a game in which he had just one carry for three yards, there’s a definite reason to give pause to any projection of production for Wilson. 

However, before this game, Wilson averaged 13 carries per game with the Dolphins, including a 17-carry outing in Week 10. 

Wilson also saw a season-low two targets in the passing game since he’s been with his new team. Before that, he averaged just under four per game and had at least one catch. 

He’s had lousy yards per carry the past two weeks but is still at 5.3 in his four games with Miami. 

The game got out of hand for the Dolphins in Week 13 against the 49ers, and they pretty much abandoned the run game altogether. 

Against the Chargers, they should have a much easier go of it against a team that allows over 150 rushing yards per game and a defense that allows over 370 total yards per game. 

Wilson will return to form here, and at just 55.5 total yards, he can get on that on just 10 touches. 

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Tyreek Hill Any Time TD (-119) at Caesars

Despite a bad loss against the San Francisco 49ers, Hill had 13 targets, caught nine of them, and went for 146 yards and a score. 

That touchdown marked his third over the last four games. 

This week, he draws a Chargers secondary that hasn’t played well. They’ve been somewhat protected thanks to how bad the Chargers run defense is, but none of the starting cornerbacks will pose an issue for Hill.

Hill, who plays both outside and in the slot, will match up with these cornerbacks:

• Asante Samuel Jr.: 61.5% reception rate, 12.8 yards per reception, six touchdowns allowed

• Bryce Callahan: 75.6% reception rate, 11.2 yards per reception, three touchdowns allowed

• Michael Davis (9 games; 275 coverage snaps): 56.5% reception rate, 10.3 yards per reception, one touchdown allowed 

In a game with the Chargers having their full array of weapons with Mike Williams, Austin Ekeler, Keenan Allen, Josh Palmer, and more, plenty of points should be scored here. Hill is a massive part of that. 

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Tua Tagovailoa Over 22.5 Completions (+450) at DraftKings

Through 10 games this season, Tagovailoa is averaging just over 21.5 completions per game. The Chargers possess a defense that allows 220 yards per game and 20 completions per game. However, this isn’t due to secondary strengths—a lot of it is due to their terrible run defense.

In his last five games, Tagovailoa has completed more than 22.5 passes just twice. 

So why do we think he goes over here?

The Chargers do have a lousy run defense. Still, it looks like both Keenan Allen and Mike Williams will be back in the lineup, which hasn’t often happened this season. 

Allen played in Week 13 while Williams remained sidelined. However, Williams was a full participant in practice on Thursday, so he should play.

Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert will have a full roster of weapons to work with, which be great to have against a lousy Dolphins defense. 

This game could turn into a bit of a shootout with the Chargers offense back at full strength. Tagovailoa has played well enough this season that we’re not afraid of him playing in a shootout.