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Cowboys vs. Texans MNF Picks, Predictions & Player Props: Which Texas Team Can Get Back on Track

Contributors
Updated November 18, 2024
8 min read
  • The Cowboys enter Monday’s game on a four-game losing streak while the Texans have lost three of their last four games

  • Cooper Rush is averaging just 3.4 yards per pass in limited action this season

  • Joe Mixon has scored a touchdown in five straight games while the Cowboys have allowed the second-most rushing touchdowns in the NFL this season

Week 11 of the NFL season comes to an end with the Battle of Texas between the Dallas Cowboys and the Houston Texans. Both teams enter the game in rough shape, as the Cowboys have lost four in a row and have also lost Dak Prescott to a season-ending injury. Meanwhile, the Texans blew a big lead last week against the Lions, giving them back-to-back losses and three losses in their last four games. For Dallas, hope is running out, so a win is much-needed, especially since the Cowboys are 0-4 at home this season. Meanwhile, the visiting Texans still lead the AFC South but would prefer to end their losing skid and get back on track.

Cowboys vs. Texans Odds

The Cowboys have history on their side, winning four of the six head-to-head meetings between the two Texas franchises. But that’s about all they have going for them, as the Texans are favored on the road by a little more than a touchdown. As mentioned, Dallas is 0-4 at home this season, which is also working against the Cowboys. Here are the current betting odds for Monday’s game according to Caesars Sportsbook:

Here are the current betting odds for Monday’s Cowboys vs. Texans game from Caesars Sportsbook. Place your bets at Caesars and claim one of the following bonuses: $1,000 First Bet on Caesars with promo code WSN1000.

TeamSpreadMoneylineOver/Under
Houston Texans-7.0 (-120)-385Over 41.0 (-110)
Dallas Cowboys+7.0 (+100)+300Under 41.0 (-110)
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Cowboys vs. Texans Predictions and Prop Bets

Cowboys vs. Texans My Pick

The Cowboys have turned into an unmitigated disaster during their four-game losing streak. As mentioned, being 0-4 at home doesn’t help their case. Cooper Rush is a low-end backup quarterback, so the Dallas offense takes a huge hit with him starting following Dak Prescott’s injury. While the Texans have injury problems of their own, they still have a steady rushing attack behind Joe Mixon and a reliable quarterback with C.J. Stroud. They will find a way into the end zone a few times, but the same can’t be said of Rush leading the Dallas offense. That should enable the Texans to pull away and win comfortably. Unlike last week when Houston blew a big lead against the Lions, the Cowboys don’t have the pieces to come from behind.

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Cowboys vs. Texans Predictions

Going on the road has been unkind to the Texans this season. They’ve suffered losses to the Vikings, Packers, and Jets away from home. However, they should be able to bring some of their fans with them to Dallas. They also have a solid rushing attack that plays well at home and on the road. There is also hope that Nico Collins will finally return from injury, giving a boost to C.J. Stroud and the passing attack.

While Stroud has had some ups and downs this year, throwing just two touchdown passes in his last four games, he’s capable of getting back on track. The Cowboys have allowed a minimum of 27 points in each of their last four games. That should give a balanced Houston offense an excellent chance of finding success.

If the Texans are able to surpass 20 points in this game, the chances are slim that the Dallas offense can keep up. In limited action behind Dak Prescott this season, Cooper Rush is averaging an abysmal 3.4 yards per pass. He completed 13 of 25 passes against the Eagles last week for a total of 45 yards. His 13 completions went for just 115 yards against the Falcons the previous week. That’s as limited as it gets, especially for a team ranked 31st in rushing.

The only reason the Cowboys have to be optimistic is the fact that the Texans are nursing some key injuries on defense. Also, in 10 games, the Texans have only managed to hold a team below 20 points once. However, given the limitations of the Dallas offense, even scoring 20 points against a banged-up Houston defense sounds a little far-fetched.

Cowboys vs. Texans Best Player Props

Cooper Rush Under 178.5 Passing Yards (-129 at Caesars Sportsbook)

This bet is so easy that it almost feels like a trap. Rush has barely eclipsed 200 total passing yards over three games, so the chances of him getting anywhere close to that total in a single game is almost laughable. While the Houston defense isn’t elite, the Texans are good enough to get the best of Rush. If his struggles continue, the Cowboys could easily bench him and give Trey Lance a chance, making it even less likely that Rush can reach this number.

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C.J. Stroud Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-109 at Caesars Sportsbook)

It hasn’t been easy for Stroud to get going over the last month. However, the Dallas defense has conceded nine touchdown passes over its last four games. Going back a little further, four of the last five quarterbacks to face the Cowboys have thrown multiple touchdown passes. C.J. Stroud is good enough to continue that trend, especially if Nico Collins returns from injury. Since the Cowboys are likely to struggle offensively, the Texans will throw the ball because they want to, not because they have to, which will make a huge difference for Stroud and put him in a better position to succeed.

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Joe Mixon Anytime Touchdown (-205 at Caesars Sportsbook)

Admittedly, there isn’t much value in this bet, but it feels like a sure thing. Mixon missed the second half of September with an injury but has scored at least one touchdown in each of the five games since he returned. He’s gotten 24 or more carries in four straight games, so you don’t have to worry about somebody else coming in the game when the Texans get in the red zone. The kicker is that the Dallas defense has allowed 15 rushing touchdowns this season. Only the Panthers have allowed more rushing touchdowns, making it safe to bank on Mixon scoring for a sixth straight game.

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Cowboys vs. Texans How to Watch

  • When: 8:15 PM, EST on Monday, November 18

  • Where: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas

  • How to Watch: ESPN & ABC

Cowboys vs. Texans Best Promos and Sportsbooks

For Monday Night Football, Caesars Sportsbook is among the most reliable NFL betting platforms. New users have a safety net of up to $1,000 on their first bet. Caesars also offers other promotions and a robust prop bet market, not to mention a platform that’s easy to navigate and find the exact bet you want.

More of our favorites can be found in the table below.

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Cowboys vs. Texans Injuries

Cowboys Injuries

  • QB Dak Prescott (Out)

  • WR Brandin Cooks (Injured Reserve)

  • OT Tyler Guyton (Questionable)

  • DE DeMarcus Lawrence (Injured Reserve)

  • LB DeMarvion Overshown (Questionable)

  • CB DaRon Bland (Questionable)

Texans Injuries

  • WR Stefon Diggs (Injured Reserve) 

  • RB Dameon Pierce (Questionable) 

  • WR Nico Collins (Questionable) 

  • OG LarDarius Henderson (Out)

  • DE Will Anderson Jr. (Questionable)

  • DT Mario Edwards (Out)

  • DT Folorunso Fatukasi (Questionable) 

  • CB Kamari Lassiter (Questionable)

  • CB Jeff Okudah (Injured Reserve)

More MNF Week 11 Picks and Bets

Monday Night Football Week 11 Picks

Monday Night Football Week 11 Prop Bets

Monday Night Football Week 11 Same Game Parlay

Caesars MNF Promo Code for Cowboys vs Texans

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Bryan Zarpentine WSN Contributor

Bryan Zarpentine

Sports Betting Analyst

Expertise:
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Bryan Zarpentine is a 2008 graduate of Syracuse University and has been working as a freelance writer and editor since 2010. During that time, he has contributed to countless sites while covering baseball, soccer, the NFL, college football, and college basketball.
Email: [email protected]
Nationality: American
Education: Bachelor of Arts
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Experience: 14 years
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