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Best Dolphins vs. Commanders Prop Bets NFL Week 13

Written by: Richard Janvrin
Published December 3, 2023
8 min read

The Miami Dolphins will square off against the Washington Commanders in Landover, MD, as two teams that throw plenty will look to live up to the 50 total assigned to this game.

Below, we have the three best player props for this matchup.

Dolphins vs Commanders Prop Bets

Miami Dolphins vs. Washington Commanders

Pick: Tua Tagovailoa Over 280.5 Passing Yards (-115) at DraftKings

Right off the bat, we’re taking over Tagovailoa’s passing yards. This season, Tagovailoa has 3,215 passing yards on 376 attempts. He’s had five games over 300 yards and one game with 466. He’s had six games north of the line here. Over his past three games, Tagovailoa has only eclipsed this once.

However, here in Week 13, Tagovailoa will take on a Commanders defense, allowing over 300 passing yards per game over their last three games, which leads the league.

Tagovailoa has numerous weapons to throw, and they should feast on this brittle secondary. 

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Pick: Sam Howell Over 264.5 Passing Yards (-115) at DraftKings

No quarterback in the league has more dropbacks, attempts, completions, or yards than Howell. Even in a 45-10 loss in Week 12, Howell managed 300 passing yards. The Dolphins have been holding teams to under 200 passing yards over the last three weeks, but they’ve also only played the Jets, Tim Boyle, and the Raiders and Aidan O’Connell in two of those. 

The Dolphins are nine-point favorites here, meaning Howell will have to throw early and often again. He should hit close to 300 once again here. 

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Pick: Tyreek Hill Over 99.5 Receiving Yards (-115) at Caesars 

We took over Tagovailoa’s passing yards, so we’re undoubtedly taking over Tyreek Hill’s receiving yards, which rest just under 100. Hill has gone for 100 yards or more this season in all but four games. The games he missed included a 40, 58, 88, and 61-yard performance. He’s had over 100 in two straight games and even had a 215-yard performance in Week 1. The Commanders allow many passing yards, and Hill will be the primary recipient of those yards from Tagovailoa. He’s had double-digit targets in five straight games. 

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Richard Janvrin

550 Articles

After graduating from the University of New Hampshire with a BA in Journalism, Richard Janvrin has been covering iGaming and sports betting since December 2018. Richard has covered betting at Bleacher Report, Gambling.com, The Game Day, Forbes, and more.

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