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NFL Prop Bets Week 13: Best NFL Player Props

Written by: Michael Hanich
Published December 3, 2023
7 min read
NFL Prop Bets Week 13

Miami Dolphins vs. Washington Commanders

My Pick – Tua Tagovailoa Prop to Account for Over 199.5 Passing Yards (-115) at DraftKings

When it comes to the top teams in the AFC, the Miami Dolphins are usually the team that follows the Kansas City Chiefs and the Baltimore Ravens because they cannot win big-time matchups. The Dolphins have the offense to keep up with some of the best teams in the league, but they lack long-term consistency due to injuries.

This Sunday, the Dolphins have a chance to create more stability with their offense as they go on the road to take on the Washington commanders. The Commanders have the worst-ranked scoring defense in the league (29.2 points allowed per game) and the third-worst passing defense in the league (264.6 passing yards allowed per game).

This season has been the best and healthiest year for Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa, who has thrown for 3,177 yards in 11 games. He has thrown for over 275 yards in six games this season. He should have no problems trying to account for high-volume performance on Sunday.

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Arizona Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

My Pick – Jaylen Warren Prop to Account for Over 58.5 Rushing Yards (-115) at DraftKings

The first game without Matt Canada as offensive coordinator for the Pittsburgh Steelers was a huge success last week. The offense of Pittsburgh accounted for over 400 Total yards for the first time in several seasons as the Steelers defeated the Cincinnati Bengals on the road 16-10.

Several players for Pittsburgh had huge performances last week and what could sure to be signs of a progressive offense. This Sunday, the Steelers will host the Arizona Cardinals, who are one of the worst teams in the league.

This will be a game where Steelers running back Jaylen Warren can get his momentum going. Arizona is ranked 30th in the league in rushing yards allowed per game (140.1). Warren rushed for over 85 yards in three of the last four games played for Pittsburgh.

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Cincinnati Bengals vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

My Pick – Trevor Lawrence Prop to Account for Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-115) at DraftKings

Before the season, the matchup between the Cincinnati Bengals and the Jacksonville Jaguars was to be a huge game that could decide AFC playoff seeding. Instead, the offense of the Bengals has fallen apart due to the injury of quarterback Joe Burrow and the defense has fallen apart due to free agency and poor roster management. Cincinnati is one of the worst-ranked rushing defense and passing defenses in the NFL this season.

The Jaguars are looking to climb back into the conversation of the top AFC teams in the league. They can thank the tremendous play of quarterback Trevor Lawrence as he has been consistent since the start of the season.

One of the biggest negative factors of the Jaguars’ offense is that they do not account for many passing touchdowns. Lawrence has thrown 12 touchdowns in 11 games, while the Jaguars have rushed for 12 more. He may have incredible passing yards on Monday Night Football, but he might not pass for multiple.

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Michael Hanich

378 Articles

Michael Hanich is a sports journalist/analyst with a wide variety of experience in the newspaper and digital field. He has a love for all sports. The leagues that he covers are College Football, the NFL, the NBA, the NHL, College Basketball (men’s and women’s), the MLB, Lacrosse, Volleyball, and the WNBA.

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