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Miami Dolphins vs New Orleans Saints Prediction, Betting Odds, Picks MNF

Written by: Mike Lukas
Updated October 14, 2022
12 min read
  • The Dolphins are on a seven-game win streak that makes them a true divisional threat
  • Two of the NO Saints’ QBs are out with Covid so rookie Ian Book will get the start
  • The 7-7 Miami Dolphins are on a six-game winning streak after starting 1-7

Dolphins vs Saints Odds

Odds taken from BetMGM. Click on the links below to head to the sportsbook and place your bet.

Dolphins vs Saints Odds Point Spread Points Total Money Line
Miami Dolphins +3 (-105)
O38.5 (-110)
New Orleans Saints -3 (-115)
U38.5 (-110)

Dolphins vs Saints Pick

Take the Dolphins and their winning momentum to cover the spread here over the Saints and their revolving door under center.

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Dolphins Vs Saints Week 16 Mnf

So much movement lately in the AFC East, including with this 7-7 Miami Dolphins team now on a seven-game win streak that makes them a true divisional threat and a potential AFC wildcard candidate, so expect QB Tua Tagovailoa to show up big in this one as he and WR DeVante Parker and TE Mike Gesicki continue to develop their productive connections.

The New Orleans Saints are most likely at a high confidence level after blanking GOAT QB Tom Brady’s Bucs last week, 9-0, a low offensive outing dominated by both teams’ defenses, but now they are dealing with a Covid-19 outbreak that has eliminated two of their main QBs so rookie Ian Book will get the starting nod, a cry for dual-threat Alvin Kamara to play big.

These two cross-conference rivals have played each other 12 previous times, with the New Orleans Saints winning 6 of those games and the Miami Dolphins winning the other 6 games.

Miami Dolphins vs New Orleans Saints Predictions

Can Dolphins QB Tua Tagovailoa Find Success on the Road?

The Dolphins are traveling to New Orleans with a 2-4 road record this season, so it will be up to quarterback Tua Tagovailoa and double-OCs George Godsey & Eric Studesville to figure out how to thrive amidst the noise of an enemy stadium filled with frothing fans.

Of course, Tua played for Alabama just a few seasons ago, so he is no stranger to running an offense while being screamed at by a hostile crowd, and now it seems as though he is catching onto the job at a pro level, with a passer rating of 100+ during four of his last five outings.

The Saints’ defense is ranked 13th overall but they are just 18th best against the pass, a relative weakness that Tagovailoa must exploit once his offense’s run game is established, a tough task when dealing with the sound of full volume New Orleans fan chaos all around.

Can Saints Rookie QB Ian Book Play Like a Pro Starter?

Once the Saints lost starting QB Jameis Winston to a season ending knee injury, head coach Sean Payton had a choice to make between veteran multi-tooled quarterback / receiver / halfback Taysom Hill, or backup QB Trevor Siemian who has done well before filling in.

Both have had their chances this season and due to a combination of level of play and injury the job is now Taysom Hill’s, 2-1 as the starting quarterback, last week with 13 completions for 154 yards and no TDs or turnovers in that incredible shutout of Tom Brady and his Bucs, 9-0.

But now both are out with Covid, so rookie Ian Book will start, a Notre Dame alum who is 6’ 0” tall and 211 pounds and has posted zero snaps in the regular season, though in four years with the Fighting Irish he recorded 728 completions for 8948 yards and 72 TDs with 20 picks.

Dolphins Key Player: (WR) Jaylen Waddle

Dolphins QB Tua Tagovailoa’s favorite targets have been DeVante Parker, TE Mike Gesicki, and slot receiver Albert Wilson, but now rookie receiver Jaylen Waddle is emerging as a dependable pass catcher who can get open and be where he is supposed to be.

A crafty and speedy playmaker, Waddle is 5’ 10” and 182 pounds, the Alabama alum a well-trained route runner who can also fight for yards after the catch, this year with 86 receptions off 114 targets for 849 yards and 4 touchdowns.

Check out how Waddle takes advantage of all the double-teams that defenses tend to throw DeVante Parker’s way, which shows veteran-level football IQ in a rookie receiver, a young player that could be connecting with Tua in Miami for a long time.

Saints Key Player: (DE) Cam Jordan

The Saints have the thirteenth best defense in the league right now, a big reason for that being the stellar play of veteran defensive end Cameron Jordan, now in his eleventh pro season and still making opposing quarterbacks shake in their cleats when they see him coming.

Jordan is not the biggest defensive end in the league at 6’ 4” and 287 pounds, but he has been around long enough to use his strong hands, quick legs, and nasty stunts to outmaneuver offensive linemen who are bigger than him.

This season in the thirteen games he’s played in, Jordan has decent numbers, so far with 6 sacks and 16 quarterback hits, 2 forced fumbles, 4 passes defended and 43 total tackles with 8 of those for a loss, a seasoned force of nature who should make Tua’s life difficult on Monday.

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How to Watch Dolphins vs Saints

Dolphins vs Saints Information
What Miami Dolphins vs New Orleans Saints
Where Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, LA
When Monday, December 27, 2021; 8:15 PM ET
How to watch ESPN
Image for Mike Lukas


Mike Lukas

1204 Articles

Mike Lukas is a retired standup comedian turned freelance writer now living in Dallas, Texas, originally from Cleveland, Ohio. His love for the game of football and all things Cleveland Browns turned Mike into a pro blogger years ago. Now Mike enjoys writing about all thirty-two NFL teams, hoping to help football gamblers gain a slight edge in their pursuit of the perfect wager. Email: [email protected]

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