Bears quarterback Caleb Williams’ last interception came in Week 6 against the Jacksonville Jaguars
Lions quarterback Jared Goff has had two rushing yards or more in six of 11 games this season
Together, Lions running backs David Montgomery and Jahmyr Gibbs have 21 rushing touchdowns. They’re individually inside the top three in rushing touchdowns this season
The 4-7 Chicago Bears are on the road in Week 13 against the 10-1 Detroit Lions on Thanksgiving Day. The Bears are in fourth place in the NFC North, while the Lions are first in the same division.
Below are the odds for this game, my best bet, predictions, and best player props.
Look below for the moneyline, point spread, and total odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook where you can receive $150 in bonus bets after placing and winning a $5 wager.
Team | Moneyline | Point Spread | Total |
---|---|---|---|
Bears | +385 | +9.5 (-108) | Over 48.5 (-105) |
Lions | -500 | -9.5 (-112) | Under 48.5 (-115) |
Bears quarterback Caleb Williams turned in a nice performance in Week 12 with 340 passing yards and two touchdowns, but he has an even more difficult task here against the Lions.
Both teams are on a short week playing on Thanksgiving, but the Lions have only given up one passing touchdown over the last four games.
In fact, the Lions have never allowed more than one passing touchdown in any game this season.
As for turnovers, the Lions generate 1.27 interceptions per game. Before last week, they had at least one interception in every game this season.
Also, over the last two games, the Lions have held opposing quarterbacks to 172 yards passing or less.
This is going to be too tough of a game for the Bears to be in. Lions win by 14 or more.
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As mentioned above, teams have had trouble scoring touchdowns on the Lions this season. Their allowed average of 0.64 per game is the lowest in the league.
The other issue for the Bears here is the Lions run defense. They allow just 68.73 rushing yards per game to opposing running backs and hold them under four yards per carry.
As for touchdowns, they haven’t allowed a rushing touchdown over the past two games. They’ve never given up a touchdown to a running back in the passing game.
Looking at the Bears defense, they were so strong to start the season. They’ve still been OK against the pass, but over the last three games, they’ve given up four passing touchdowns. Over the last two games, they’ve seen quarterbacks throw for at least 261 yards.
While the Lions do have a top-six passing offense, they’re even better running the ball, ranking inside the top four at 150.8 yards per game.
On top of that, Lions running back David Montgomery is tied for second in the NFL in rushing touchdowns with 11, while fellow running back Jahmyr Gibbs is tied for third with 10.
This season, the Bears are allowing 111.09 rushing yards and 0.91 rushing touchdowns per game to opposing running backs. As for yards per carry, that number is closing in on five at 4.89.
In this game, I see numerous ways for the Lions to score, especially on the ground, while finding few ways for the Bears to get into the endzone.
Lions win this one 27-13.
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Heading into this game, Williams hasn’t thrown an interception since Week 6 against the Jacksonville Jaguars and has just five on the season.
However, according to Pro Football Focus, he has 12 turnover-worthy plays this season, including three last week against the Minnesota Vikings.
The Lions defense averages well over one per game and had intercepted at least one per game until last week.
Look for the Bears to be down multiple scores here, forcing Williams to throw more. Inside a dome without needing to worry about the weather, the Lions will come away with at least one on the rookie signal-caller.
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Nothing says Thanksgiving football like a fun player prop, and what better than Goff’s rushing yards?
This season, he has two rushing yards or more in six of 11 games.
As for his opponent, the Bears have given up two rushing yards or more to opposing quarterbacks in eight of 11 games this season.
To go even deeper, Goff averages 1.6 yards per rush attempt, so we may only need one tote for him to cross the two-yard mark.
Have some fun with this one.
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I’m going with Gibbs to score twice or more for the final prop, and I'd wager a half-unit.
As mentioned above, Gibbs has 10 rushing touchdowns this season and also has one in the passing game.
He’s scored multiple times in three games this season and faces a Bears defense allowing nearly one rushing touchdown to opposing running backs.
They’ve surrendered multiple touchdowns to the position only twice this season, but with the Lions playing from ahead, I think we could see plenty of Gibbs, as he averages 5.8 yards per carry.
He’ll move the chains plenty and secure a win for the Lions.
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When: Thursday, Nov. 28 at 2:30 PM ET
Where: Ford Field in Detroit, MI
Where to Watch: CBS
If you’re looking for the best odds for the Lions vs. Bears matchup or any other Week 13 NFL game, check out our top recommended NFL betting sites. I always check out FanDuel and Caesars Sportsbook. FanDuel has the best point spread odds, while Caesars never disappoints with the player prop options.
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Lions offensive tackle Taylor Decker is questionable
Lions defensive tackle DJ Reader is questionable with an illness
Lions wide receiver Amon-Ra St. Brown is questionable with a knee injury
Lions cornerback Carlton Davis is questionable with a knee injury
Lions wide receiver Kalif Raymond is questionable with a foot injury
Lions running back David Montgomery is questionable with a shoulder injury
Bears safety Elijah Hicks has been ruled out
Bears center Ryan Bates has been ruled out
DFS fans on Thanksgiving Day can get Jared Goff on the discount from 240.5 PASS YDS to 199.5 PASS YDS for the Lions vs. Bears game at 12:30 PM EST, courtesy of Sleeper. Claim this offer by clicking the image below!
NFL FanDuel Promo Code for Thanksgiving Day Games
Thursday Night Football Week 13 Picks
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