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Week 15 in the NFL concludes with the Eagles and Seahawks on Monday Night Football. The money is pouring in on Philadelphia, but this is far from an easy game for the Birds.
Philadelphia was on a tear the entire season until facing the 49ers and the Cowboys in the last two weeks. The way the Eagles played against San Francisco and Dallas it made the media question their legitimacy.
Philadelphia can claim the #1 seed in the NFC, but it will take much work and a little help.
Seattle has faced a lot of adversity this season, including the injury to their quarterback, Geno Smith. Smith missed last week's game with a groin injury that will likely hold him out of this week's game.
While Smith isn’t the best quarterback in the league, he’s been a game manager for the Seahawks and helped the team win games. Lock didn’t look terrible last week in his start against the fierce 49ers defense, but he didn’t play well enough to win.
Philadelphia comes into this matchup as three-point favorites on the road. The small spread is because Philadelphia is on the road and struggling. However, this is a good spot to figure things out against Seattle. Let’s break down our favorite prop bets for the matchup.
Since being traded to the Eagles from Detroit, D’Andre Swift has been the lead back for the Eagles. Philadelphia has struggled to maintain a number one back in the past few years, but this hasn’t been the case in 2023.
Swift has been ineffective when facing top-ten run defenses this season. Although, if he gets an opportunity against a defense outside of the top ten, he shines. He tends to maximize his opportunities regardless of how much he gets the ball.
The Seattle run defense ranks in the back third of the NFL, giving up an average of 123 rushing yards and 1.3 touchdowns per game. Jalen Hurts seems to steal many of the goal-line carries from Smith, but we believe the running back will be extremely active around the goal line.
A.J. Brown has been a focal point of the Eagles' offense since arriving in Philadelphia. It really seems like Brown was the missing piece this offense needed to put them over the top.
If the Eagles return to the Super Bowl, Brown will be one of the biggest reasons for the success.
In the last two games, while they were both highly contested games, it came down to the reliability of Hurts under center. Brown has been extremely useful as of late.
He has been targeted 35 times in his last two matchups. We expect this game to be close, so the Eagles should have to throw the ball. This gives Brown the ability to go over 6.5 receptions.
The Seahawks' defense has given up big numbers to opposing wide receivers, and they don’t look to have improved in the slightest. This defense gives up the eighth most receptions in the league, so look for Hurts to target Brown immediately.
Tyler Lockett has been with Seattle for the past five years and has always been a threat deep down the field. Even with a backup quarterback, we believe Lockett will exceed this line.
In Lockett’s past four games, he’s averaged 65 yards per game receiving. Philadelphia’s defense is one of the worst in the league against the pass, which supports the over.
All of these stats post a good chance at some long plays by the veteran and for him to hit this small over like he has time after time this season.
We expect Drew Lock to get the start and keep Lockett very active. Lockett typically runs deep routes, so he can exceed this line with a few deep completions.
Tanner Kern has been working in the betting industry since 2020. He currently is a social media content creator at DraftKings and contributes to multiple sites in addition to WSN, including Forbes and VSiN. He is also the cohost of the podcast Ride the Line at WSN.More info on Tanner Kern
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