When you sign-up through links on our site, we may earn an affiliate commission. Learn more >

Image for Mike Lukas Mike Lukas - Updated November 9, 2022

Most NFL Passing Yards 2022 Predictions, Odds, Picks

  • This year’s frontrunner is the LA Chargers QB Justin Herbert, a big-armed hurler
  • Last year’s winner was the Tampa Bay Bucs GOAT QB Tom Brady, who’s still on the list
  • The Most Passing Yards Award presentation happens on Saturday, February 11, 2023

2022 NFL Most Passing Yards Odds

Odds taken from DraftKings. Click on the links below to head to the sportsbook and place your bet.

AP NFL Most Passing Yards Odds
Justin Herbert, QB, LA Chargers +500
Patrick Mahomes, QB, KC Chiefs +750
Tom Brady, QB, TB Buccaneers +800
Derek Carr, QB, LV Raiders +1200
Matthew Stafford, QB, LA Rams +1800
Joe Burrow, QB, Cincinnati Bengals +1200

NFL Most Passing Yards – Our Pick

Derek Carr, QB, Las Vegas Raiders (+1200)

Carr seems ready to have a breakout season in 2022, that is if he and his plethora of targets can stay healthy.

Play Fantasy Sports Here!

Nfl Most Passing Yards Predictions

Football gamblers will be happy to know that oddsmakers have already made their best guesses as to which NFL quarterback they think will throw for the most yards during the 2022 regular season, a tough battle to win in this offensive-minded league.

Last year’s winner was the Tampa Bay Bucs GOAT QB Tom Brady, but he has slipped behind this year’s frontrunner, the Los Angeles Chargers QB Justin Herbert, the big-armed hurler who has plenty of the deep threat talent needed to stack the kind of yards this award requires.

Here we go over some of the QBs who are most likely to pass for the most yards this season so you can make a wise early bet on your favorites to win, and don’t forget that the regular NFL 2022 season will start in September and then this bet will be closed to all takers.

Good luck – win big!

Justin Herbert, QB, Los Angeles Chargers

Top of this list of potential 2022 Passing Yards Award winners is the Los Angeles Chargers hurler Justin Herbert, a 24-year-old former Oregon state player who became the Rookie of the Year in his first pro season in 2020, now much more acclimated to playing at the big boy level.

When you see who Herbert will be throwing footballs to – WRs Keenan Allen, Mike Williams, Joshua Palmer, TE Gerald Everett, RB Austin Ekeler – it’s no wonder the odds makers have him #1 here, a playmaker who posted 5,000+ yds last year despite missing the playoffs.

Expect Herbert to want revenge in the AFC West as that division continues to improve with better talent all around, and with the game planning of HC Brandon Staley and the genius of OC Joe Lombardi, this Pro Bowl Chargers quarterback could be your best bet here.

Tom Brady, QB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

A few other NFL QBs have done one thing that Bucs QB Tom Brady has accomplished, which is earn the Most Passing Yards Award four times in his career, though chances are Brady wants at least one more so he can keep chasing Drew Brees’s 7, two old-timers tackling NFL records.

This season could be another great one for Brady now that his other favorite non-Gronk targets WRs Mike Evans and Chris Godwin are fully healthy and his defense is still talented enough to get him back the ball, a balanced team now coached by Todd Bowles whom the players love.

Last season, Brady completed a league-leading 485 passes for a league-leading 43 touchdowns, incredible totals for any player let alone one who is half a decade away from 50, a coach on the field who makes his teammates better and who still wants to win every game.

Patrick Mahomes, QB, Kansas City Chiefs (+800)

When you’re one of the best players in the NFL playing on one of the league’s better teams like Patrick Mahomes is with the Kansas City Chiefs, it’s understandable that his 2021 season was considered sub-par by some haters only because of what is now expected of him.

Last season, defenses shut down Mahomes’ deep game and ability to scramble and gambled on his unwillingness to take the easy completions for five yards, a tendency that proved to be true at first and one that Patrick had to fight through and stop trying to win games on his own.

He did that (of course – it’s Mahomes) and led his Chiefs to the AFC Championship game where the Cincinnati Bengals managed to beat them by a field goal in overtime, and now without his Cheetah, Tyreek Hill, to throw balls at, Mahomes might have to reinvent his wheel.

Matthew Stafford, QB, Los Angeles Rams

The Los Angeles Rams and QB Mathew Stafford agreed to a four-year contract extension worth $160 million, so now the 13-year NFL veteran leader must earn those big bucks by keeping his team in the Super Bowl hunt despite how hard it is for most teams to repeat as winners.

This season, Stafford has plenty of talented WRs to aim footballs at, including Cooper Kupp, Van Jefferson, Allen Robinson, and TE Tyler Higbee, a group that did well last season, especially when Odell Beckham Jr. came aboard to help with depth during some injuries.

Stafford was stuck on the mediocre Detroit Lions for the first dozen seasons of his NFL career, and he led the Rams to a Super Bowl victory on his first year with the team, so who knows what else this former Georgia playmaker has in store, a 34-year old team leader now in his prime.

Derek Carr, QB, Las Vegas Raiders

One reason Las Vegas Raiders veteran QB Derek Carr should be considered for this bet is  wearing #17 and arguably the best WR in the league as well as a former college teammate at Fresno State, a deep threat named Davante Adams who is now sporting the black and silver.

Carr is a 3x Pro Bowl player who at 31-years old is the perfect age to lead from under center, especially now that he has a QB-friendly head coach in Josh McDaniels, the former Patriots Super Bowl-winning OC who is now going to game plan for Carr and his passing offense.

The other not-so-secret weapons at Carr’s passing disposal in 2022 is WR Hunter Renfrow who seems to always be open and able to get yards after the catch, and also TE Darren Waller who has soft hands and the size to make defenders miss their tackles, all ready to catch passes.

Where to Bet on NFL Most Passing Yards

Here are some of the best US sportsbooks to bet on the NFL this season!

Logo #2



Deposit Bonus Up to $1,000

21+ | T&Cs apply

Logo #3



Up To $1,250 On Caesars

21+ | Terms and conditions apply

Logo #4



Get 5 x $50 Bet Credits

21+ | T&Cs apply

Logo #5



$1,000 First Bet Offer

21+ | Terms and conditions apply

Most NFL Passing Yards FAQ

Who Was the NFL Most Passing Yards in 2021?

In 2021, the NFL’s Most Passing Yards winner was Tampa Bay Buccaneers QB Tom Brady, a GOAT who is most likely not bored with this award yet – he has thrown for the most yards in a season four times now – not a big deal for a 7x Super Bowl Champ and 5x Super Bowl MVP.Last season, with Brady under center, Tampa Bay went to the second round of the playoffs, first beating the Philadelphia Eagles in the Wildcard Round but then falling to the LA Rams in the Divisional round by a score of 27-30, not bad when you consider the Rams became champs.It might make sense to bet on old man Brady to take home this award again, the 44-year-old unicorn who seems to be capable of playing this boy’s game forever, though this season he will have to create his on-field miracles without his favorite target TE Rob Gronkowski who is retired.

How is the Winner of the Award Decided?

A nationwide panel of fifty members of the AP who cover the NFL on a regular basis selects the winner of the NFL Most Passing Yards award at the end of the season before the playoffs.The league will announce the winner at the NFL Honors Presentation, which is held the night before the Super Bowl is played.This season, the presentation will happen on Saturday, February 11, 2023, and as usual, it will not be televised for the public, but chances are the names of the winners will leak out so keep checking back for all the latest news and updates.

Latest NFL Articles

View More

Bet $20 Win $200 in Free Bets

21+ CO, VA, MI Only | Terms and conditions apply

Claim Now
Image for Mike Lukas


Mike Lukas

1233 Articles

Mike Lukas is a retired standup comedian turned freelance writer now living in Dallas, Texas, originally from Cleveland, Ohio. His love for the game of football and all things Cleveland Browns turned Mike into a pro blogger years ago. Now Mike enjoys writing about all thirty-two NFL teams, hoping to help football gamblers gain a slight edge in their pursuit of the perfect wager. Email: [email protected]

More info on Mike Lukas
We've been featured on:
espn logo
reuters logo
cbs-news logo
forbes logo
entrepreneur logo
entrepreneur logo
We only list licensed sportsbooks

© Rebel Penguin ApS 2023 (a subsidiary of Gaming Innovation Group Inc.)

We support responsible gambling. If you feel like you're losing control over your gambling experience, call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ, PA, WV), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-522-4700 (NV), 1-800-522-4700 (CO, TN), 1-855-2CALLGA (IL), 1-800-270-7117 (MI).

WSN.com is registered with the New Jersey Division of Gaming Enforcement (DGE) under affiliate vendor ID 89744, with the Indiana Gaming Commission (IGC) under certificate of registration number SWR-000148, approved by the Pennsylvania Gaming Control Board as a gaming service provider, under certificate registration number 117656-1, possesses a Vendor Minor sports betting license from the Colorado Limited Gaming Control Commission (account number 94414163), granted a vendor registration number VR007603-20-001 by the Michigan Gaming Control Board, an interim Sports Wagering Supplier license, under license number SWS 066, issued by the West Virginia Lottery Commission, a sports betting vendor registration, under registration number #100400, issued by the Director of Gaming Licensing and Investigations of the Virginia Lottery to operate in the State of Virginia, and a Vendor Registration issued by the Sports Wagering Committee of the Tennessee Education Lottery Corporation.

Advertising disclosure: WSN contains links to online retailers on its website. When people click on our affiliate links and make purchases, WSN earns a commission from our partners, including ESPN and various sportsbooks.