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Most NFL Passing Yards Odds, Predictions, Picks 2024: Final Four Shaping for Wild Finish

Written by: Michael Hanich
Updated January 24, 2024
8 min read
  • Miami Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa finished the 2023 NFL Regular Season as the season passing leader with 4,624

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback Baker Mayfield currently leads the postseason in passing yards thrown with 686.

  • Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson is the most viable option at quarterback to be considered for the league MVP.

NFL Passing Yards Leaders Odds

Odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook, correct as of January 24, 2024. Wager $5 at BetMGM and use our promo code WSNMGM for $158 in bonus bets!.

PlayerOddsTeam
Jared Goff-125
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Detriot Lions
Patrick Mahomes II+200
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Kansas City Chiefs
Brock Purdy+450
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San Francisco 49ers
Lamar Jackson+3000
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Baltimore Ravens
Nfl Most Passing Yards Predictions

NFL Passing Yards Leader Predictions

The AFC and the NFC Championship games are set to determine the best of the best this weekend. The top one seeds and the top three seeds are going to be led by some of the hottest quarterbacks in the NFL this postseason. Several quarterbacks have the potential to take the season passing leader, but a few have the system to accomplish this in the playoffs. These quarterbacks are going to bring great value for potentially leading the league in passing yards thrown. 

Top Projected Passing Yards Leaders 

Jared Goff - Detroit Lions (-125 BetMGM Sportsbook)

The player behind Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback Baker Mayfield for the top passer in this postseason is the player who helped eliminate him in the Divisional Round. In two games played this postseason, Detroit Lions quarterback Jared Goff has thrown for 564 yards, only 122 yards fewer than Mayfield.

Goff has been one of the most consistent passing performances in the two playoff games. He completed 22-of-27 for 277 yards and a touchdown in the home 24-23 home win over his former team in the Los Angeles Rams.

This past weekend, Goff completed 30-0f-43 of his passes for 287 yards and two touchdowns in the 31-23 home over the Buccaneers.

Goff has been nearly perfect leading a Lions’ offense that is one of the most dynamic and elusive this postseason. He possesses a series of different pass-catchers ranging from deep-threat receiver to elusive short-yardage playmakers after the catch. Even if the Lions lose to the San Francisco 49ers in the NFC Championship game, Goff could still be the postseason leader in passing yards.

Patrick Mahomes II (+200 BetMGM Sportsbook)

This 2023 NFL Season has been a difficult year for the offense of the Kansas City Chiefs and quarterback Patrick Mahomes. While the Chiefs finished the season with one of the most productive offenses in the league, the road to get there was difficult with the inefficient play of the receiver corp.

This postseason was a new start for Mahomes and the Chiefs. In the two games played, they are not letting their lack of elite receivers get in the way of a stout offensive run. 

Mahomes is third in the league in passing yards thrown with 477. He completed for 23-of-41 of his passes for 262 yards and a touchdown in the 26-7 home win over the Miami Dolphins in the Divisional Round.

Last week, Mahomes threw for 215 on 17 completions (out of 23 attempts) and two touchdowns in the Divisional Round 27-24 win at the Buffalo Bills. 

Brock Purdy - San Francisco 49ers (+450 BetMGM Sportsbook)

Going into his second season, San Francisco 49ers quarterback Brock Purdy had to be not only efficient but one of the best playmakers on the field. So far this season and postseason he is accomplishing that goal.

In terms of the postseason passing yards leaders, Purdy is among the top in the league, but due to the first game bye, he is not a major threat to quarterbacks like Jared Goff or Patrick Mahomes unless the 49ers lose in the NFC championship. Purdy is ranked 10th in the NFL this postseason in passing yards accounted for.

In the 49ers' close 24-21 win over the Green Bay Packers in the Divisional Round last weekend, Purdy through for 252 yards on 23-of 39 completions and a touchdown. It helps to have some of the most dynamic and elite talent on the offensive side of the ball being your pass catchers.

The biggest objective for Purdy is not to be a major threat in the passing game but to be an effective game manager. He has the potential to be a high-volume hazard, but that is not what the 49ers and head coach Kyle Shannon request of him. 

Lamar Jackson - Baltimore Ravens (+3000 BetMGM Sportsbook)

Last and certainly not least of the quarterbacks remaining in the playoffs is Baltimore Ravens dual threat quarterback Lamar Jackson. He has made a critical impact for this Ravens offense as they are legitimate super bowl favorites coming from the AFC side.

Jackson is a huge favor to win the NFL league MVP as he is not only the most efficient running quarterback, he is a dangerous and high volume passer. Every single time there is doubt and his ability to make deep passes, he always finds a way to make them in critical moments.

In the 34-10 Divisional Round win over the Houston Texans this past weekend, Jackson through four 151 yards look 151 yards on 16 - of - 22 completions and two touchdowns while also rushing for 100 yards and two touchdowns on 11 carries. 

He is not going to be a quarterback that beats you throwing the ball alone. His dynamic and elusive relation ability is going to be critical for the Ravens and potentially their biggest run for the Super Bowl yet. This being said, Jackson is 14th and passing yards account for this postseason out of 15 players who have attempted a pass. 

He is last among the starting quarterbacks in passing yards. One critical reason is because the Ravens were on a first round bye, but don't expect Jackson to be a serious threat for the postseason passing yards leader unless he has two monster games against the Kansas City Chiefs and AFC championship and potentially super bowl LVIII.

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NFL Most Passing Yards FAQ

How is the NFL Passing Leader Yards decided?

Who is the Reigning NFL Passing Yards Leader?

Who has won the NFL Passing Yards Leader the most?

Who was the oldest player to win the NFL Passing Yards Leader title?

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AUTHOR

Michael Hanich

378 Articles

Michael Hanich is a sports journalist/analyst with a wide variety of experience in the newspaper and digital field. He has a love for all sports. The leagues that he covers are College Football, the NFL, the NBA, the NHL, College Basketball (men’s and women’s), the MLB, Lacrosse, Volleyball, and the WNBA.

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