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As you can see from our parlay, we are going heavy on the Bills on Sunday as the table is set for a blowout win. They will be looking to bounce back from a tough loss against the Jags in London last weekend and will have a great chance to do so against a bad Giants team.
Speaking of the Giants, we know exactly what this team is. They are dead last in yards gained (255.2) and twenty-eighth in yards allowed (378.0) per game. Their lone win came in a shootout against the Cardinals in Week 2, and they have been outscored 85-31 in the three games since.
We will break down each leg of our SNF same-game parlay below, giving you everything you need to bet confidently on this weekend’s prime-time game.
This is one of the biggest spreads we've seen this season, but it will also be one of the easiest covers. Last week, the Bills fell victim to an overseas trap game against the Jags. However, we have seen how good this team can be in the previous four weeks. They have dominated since Week 1, including an impressive blowout win against an explosive Miami offense.
Buffalo’s success has resulted from their incredible balance on both sides of the ball. They are allowing the fifth-fewest points (16.0) while scoring the third most (31.8) per game. On top of that, they have one of the most significant home-field advantages in the league. The Bills have lost at home just once in the regular season since the beginning of the 2022 season. They faced the Raiders and Dolphins at home this season and outscored them 86-30.
Conversely, the Giants have proven to be one of the league’s worst teams. All four of their losses were by more than 14 points, which gives us the confidence to take this massive spread. Things won’t improve for them on Sunday Night, especially with quarterback Daniel Jones unlikely to play. The offense may also be without Saquon Barkley and Darren Waller, who are dealing with their own injuries.
Opponents need to be able to expose the Bills’ banged-up secondary to keep the game close, but the Giants just don’t have the tools to do it.
This is the easiest leg of our same-game parlay. The Bills have scored over 29 points in three of their four US games. The one exception came against an outstanding Jets defense. The Giants’ defense is nowhere near that level, as they are allowing 30.6 points per game. Their defense is more talented than their numbers show, but a lack of offense is wearing them down quickly. Considering their injuries on offense, that problem won’t go away on Sunday.
We also love this bet because the Giants have one of the league's worst turnover differentials (-5). Conversely, the Bills lead the NFL with 13 forced turnovers. Nothing can change a game more than turnovers, and we think they play a factor in Sunday’s blowout win for Buffalo.
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We are all over this bet due to Buffalo’s loss last weekend. The Bills were caught sleeping and will not make that mistake again today. The defeat means their matchup with the Giants will not be overlooked, especially since the Dolphins sit at 4-1. While the Giants are bad, the Bills' need for a bounce-back win will lead to them scoring early and often.
On top of the Bills' added motivation is that the Giants' offense has been devastated by injuries. They also have not scored first in any of their first five games. Considering the Bills' talent on both sides of the ball, this will be a very easy cover.
We are throwing this bet into our parlay, as it will hit if the other three do. We have shared why we love Buffalo’s offense to go off tonight, and the Giants have scored 25+ points just once this season. That one performance came against the Cardinals, whose defense ranks among the bottom ten in the league.
Buffalo’s defense can be overwhelming, especially against offenses like the Giants have. Even if Barkley and Waller play, they don’t have the weapons or talent to overcome what they see from the Bills.
Michael is an avid sports fan and a veteran bettor from Milwaukee. He learned the trade from his grandfather in Las Vegas as a kid and has turned that into a successful career. He cheers for all Wisconsin pro teams along with his Alma Mater Arizona State. He specializes in baseball betting, but has experience in football, basketball, and hockey as well. When he isn’t pouring over stats, he’s spending time with his two young children.More info on Michael Savio
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