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Cincinnati Bengals moneyline (-162)
Bengals over 13.5 second-half points (+100)
Over 42.5 points (-290)
Bengals -1.5 in the first half (-105)
This week’s edition of Sunday Night Football features two teams looking to catch up to their division rivals. Both are loaded with playmakers on both sides of the ball, promising an exciting clash on Sunday.
The Bengals have been on fire lately, as it appears quarterback Joe Burrow’s calf injury has healed. The offense now looks like it did in 2022, and the defense seems to be getting better each week.
The Bills have been going in the other direction, but they upgraded their defense at the trade deadline. They hope a replacement for injured cornerback Tre’Davious White will help re-establish this defense as one of the best in the NFL.
Below, we will break down our favorite same-game parlay listed above for this primetime matchup, giving you the odds and insights you need to bet confidently.
The addition of Rasul Douglas will boost the Bills, but not enough to overcome a red-hot Bengals offense. Cincinnati scored a whopping 31 points on the Niners just one week ago, thanks to another great game from Joe Burrow. He finished the game with 283 passing yards, 43 rushing yards, three touchdowns, zero interceptions, and an 87.5% completion percentage. Considering he will have his full arsenal of receivers healthy, expect Burrow to expose this Buffalo secondary.
On defense, the Bengals have been fantastic over the last three games. They did not allow more than 20 points during that span, including against Christian McCaffrey and the Niners. Their pass rush has been led by Trey Hendrickson, who has eight sacks on the season. In the secondary, they have three players with multiple interceptions. That means they will be able to put pressure on Allen and capitalize on any mistakes he is forced to make.
This game will likely be close, but we love the Bengals to win at home.
We love this bet due to how well the offense has been playing in the second half. They have scored at least 14 second-half points in two of their previous three games, and we see them doing so again tonight.
The Bills secondary will be better with Rasul Douglas now on the roster, but this will be his first game in a Bills uniform. Douglas had been playing a lot of meaningless games with the Packers this season, but that will change tonight. He will be in primetime as he faces one of the best passing attacks in the league. Playing cornerback is relatively universal, but it will take time for him to adjust to this defense.
We like the Bengals to exploit Douglas and the Bills secondary in the second half. A close game will force the Bengals to work quickly through the air, and it will lead to a lot of points. Given that they scored 17 points in the second half last week against the Niners, we think they have no problem putting up a big total against the Bills on Sunday.
To quote the great Michael Scott, “Desperate situations always yield the quickest results”. We think the Bills' recent skid is going to have them come out desperate for a win on Sunday night. They have lost the division lead to Miami, and they need to turn things around quickly if they want a chance to get it back.
The Bills' desperation will show up in their offense, leading to Josh Allen looking to move the ball quickly and efficiently down the field. He has accounted for at least three touchdowns in two of his last three games, and we think he will do so again this week.
We have talked about how much we like this Bengals offense against the Bills secondary, making this an easy leg to add to our parlay.
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We love the Bengals to cover this spread in the first half. Their offense is back to being elite, and they will be playing in front of a wild home crowd. Given how well Burrow and the offense have been playing, we think they strike early and often, setting the stage for a high-scoring thriller in Cincinnati.
The Bengals really turned things around in Week 5 when they beat the Cardinals 34-20. It was a badly needed win after starting 1-4 and showed that Joe Burrow’s calf injury was indeed healing. Since then, the Bengals have led by at least two points at halftime in all three games. They are doing a lot of damage early in games, and we think they do so again on Sunday.
Michael is an avid sports fan and a veteran bettor from Milwaukee. He learned the trade from his grandfather in Las Vegas as a kid and has turned that into a successful career. He cheers for all Wisconsin pro teams along with his Alma Mater Arizona State. He specializes in baseball betting, but has experience in football, basketball, and hockey as well. When he isn’t pouring over stats, he’s spending time with his two young children.More info on Michael Savio
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