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Best Steelers vs. Browns Prop Bets NFL Week 11

Written by: Richard Janvrin
Published November 19, 2023
8 min read
Steelers vs Browns Predictions

The Cleveland Browns will play the remainder of their season without quarterback Deshaun Watson, and now, Dorian Thompson-Robinson takes over. Both teams won in Week 10, with the Steelers improving to 6-3, keeping pace with the Baltimore Ravens.

Below, we have the best prop bet for this matchup.

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cleveland Browns

Pick: Alex Highsmith Over 0.75 Sacks (-130) at DraftKings

We’re loading up on defensive props in this one as the Steelers pass rush takes on a depleted Browns offensive line and a rookie quarterback. 

In DTR’s only start this season, he was sacked four times and was pressured 19 times. The offensive line is more depleted now, and his time to throw was 3.23 seconds, among the highest you’ll find in the NFL. The Browns are starting Geron Christian at left tackle to oppose Highsmith, and Christian has played just 49 pass-blocking snaps this year. He’s allowed one sack and three pressures. 

This is going to be a long day for DTR and this offensive line. 

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Pick: T.J. Watt Over 0.75 Sacks (-180) at DraftKings

Going over to the other side of the line, we’re slamming the over on Watt’s line of 0.75 sacks. He’ll take on James Hudson III. He’s played just 93 pass-blocking snaps this season. He’s allowed nine pressures, which is sixth on the team. The players above him have played at least 296 pass-blocking snaps. He has yet to allow a sack, but he allows a pressure per 10 pass blocking snaps on average. 

Watt is going to have a massive day. 

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Pick: Jaylen Warren 2+ Touchdowns (+1100) at Caesars

We’re taking a big swing for the last prop here, with Warren scoring two touchdowns or more. He scored last week and went for over 100 yards. This prompted the Steelers to name him as the starter. This is probably a 55/45 split at best right now, but Warren is explosive and should have plenty of opportunities here in a game where the Steelers defense should handle DTR and the Browns offense with ease. 

The Browns have performed well against running backs this season, but they did allow two touchdowns to the position last week against the Ravens.

With Warren being named the starter, the Browns offense likely inept, and them allowing two scores to running backs last week, why not take a swing here? 

Get a bonus bet of up to $1,000 at Caesars Sportsbook when you sign in using our exclusive link and use promo code “WSN1000.”

*All statistics are courtesy of Pro Football Focus. 

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Richard Janvrin

548 Articles

After graduating from the University of New Hampshire with a BA in Journalism, Richard Janvrin has been covering iGaming and sports betting since December 2018. Richard has covered betting at Bleacher Report, Gambling.com, The Game Day, Forbes, and more.

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